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2 of 3 China IPO files |
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Pre-IPO analysis, grading & scoring |
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. Business Model Rating Criteria |
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A = high growth market, potential leader; B = more competitive market; C= 'public venture capital' |
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. Calculations |
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. IPO Price to annualized Sales Ratio -- (Price / Sales) |
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Numerator |
Denominator |
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IPO market capitalization… |
Annualized Sales (based on recent results) |
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(post-IPO # of shares times mid-point of IPO price range) |
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. IPO Price to annualized Earnings (loss) -- (Price / Earnings) |
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Numerator |
Denominator |
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IPO market cap |
Annualized Earnings (loss) from the last quarter |
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=================== |
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SEARCH BY COMPANY |
In your browser use 'Edit/Find' to search for companies |
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or ticker for analysis |
below |
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=================== |
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China Digital TV (STV) |
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digital television access systems in China: C+, 8 |
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Oct 4, 2007 @ $!6 |
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WuXi PharmaTech (WX) |
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biopharma R&D outsourcing: B-, 9 |
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Aug 8, 2007 @ $$14 |
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E-House (China) (EJ) |
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China real estate services: B-, 9 |
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Aug 7, 2007 @ $13.80 |
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Perfect World (PWRD) |
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China online 3D video games: B-, 8 |
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July 25, 2007 @ $16 |
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Spreadtrum Com (SPRD) |
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Chinese designer of wireless handset Ics: C+, 7 |
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June 26, 2007 @ $14 |
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Yingli Green Energy (YGE) |
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Vertically integrated photovoltaic prod: B-, 8 |
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June 7, 2007 @ $11 |
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LDK Solar (LDK) |
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multicrystalline wafers for solar cells: B-, 8 |
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May 31, 2007 @ $27.00 |
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China Sunergy (CSUN) |
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solar cell products, China: C+, 7 |
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May 16, 2007 @ $11 |
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=================== |
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Noah Education Holdings |
NED, B-, 8 |
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interactive education content in China |
June 30 fiscal year |
Post-IPO shrs: 37mm |
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Shenzhen, China |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
IPO Mkt |
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|
Rev ($mm) |
$73 |
Cap (mm) |
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|
Gross profit % |
44% |
55% |
52% |
$396 |
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|
Operating profit % |
8% |
6% |
12% |
@$10.8 |
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|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$9 |
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|
Profit (loss) % |
19% |
7% |
12% |
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|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings* |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Noah Education (NED) |
$396 |
5.4 |
46 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
27% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
|
Business |
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. A leading provider of interactive education content in China. |
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. Develops and markets interactive, multimedia learning materials mainly to complement prescribed |
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textbooks used in China's primary and secondary school curriculum, covering subjects such as English, |
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Chinese, mathematics, physics, chemistry, biology, geography, political science and history. |
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. Delivers content primarily through DLDs, into which content is embedded or subsequently downloaded at |
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over 8,500 points of sale, approximately 2,000 download centers, or through NED's website, |
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www.noahedu.com. |
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. In addition, derives a significant, but decreasing, portion of revenue from the sale of E-dictionaries. |
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DLDs - fast adoption rate |
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(DLD is a library package of C functions that performs dynamic link editing. Programs that use dld can add |
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or remove compiled object code from a process anytime during its execution. Loading modules, searching |
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|
libraries, resolving external references, and allocating storage for global and static data structures are all |
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performed at run time.) |
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. First introduced in 2003, DLDs have become the main platform for interactive learning in the Chinese |
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market. |
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. DLD sales in China grew at a CAGR of 41.7% from 2004 to 2006, according to CCID Consulting, which |
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|
projects DLD sales in China to grow at a CAGR of 20.8% from 2007 to 2009. |
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|
. NED believes the fast adoption of, and growing demand for, DLDs is due to the manner in which DLDs |
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present traditional content in an engaging multimedia format and at a pace and order selected by each |
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individual student, thereby creating a more tailored and more enjoyable teaching and learning experience. |
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Market position |
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|
According to CCID Consulting, in 2006 and the first half of 2007, NED was ranked |
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. No. 1 by revenue and by the combined number of DLDs and E-dictionaries sold, and |
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|
. No. 2 in 2006 and No. 1 in the first half of 2007 by revenue and by the number of DLDs sold, among |
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|
interactive education content providers that distribute content through DLDs and E-dictionaries in China. |
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|
Fiscal 2007 revenue compared with 2006 (June 30 fiscal) |
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|
Net revenue increased 41.3% in fiscal 2007 from fiscal 2006. |
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|
. The increase was primarily attributable to a substantial increase in sales of DLDs, offset by a decrease in |
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|
E-dictionary sales. |
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|
. Sold 557,093 DLDs in fiscal 2007, an increase of 63.7% from 340,343 DLDs sold in fiscal 2006. |
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|
. Average selling price of DLDs increased 12.0% as NED introduced a number of models with more |
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|
innovative features and offered better content offering. |
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|
. The increase in average selling price was moderated by an increase in sales discounts given to distributors |
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|
to stimulate sales, from 8.7% of net revenue in fiscal 2006 to 13.0% in fiscal 2007. |
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|
. Sold 775,659 E-dictionaries in fiscal 2007 compared to 904,747 E-dictionaries in fiscal 2006. As a result |
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|
of a decrease in market demand, lowered selling prices of E-dictionaries and the average selling price of E |
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|
dictionaries decreased by 6.7%. |
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|
Competition |
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|
. The interactive education content market in China is rapidly evolving and very competitive. |
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|
. Some competitors who were present when we entered the market in 2004 no longer operate in this field |
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|
and others have lost their dominant positions. |
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|
. According to CCID Consulting, as of the end of 2006, the top five companies accounted for |
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|
approximately 80% of the DLD market. |
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|
. Main competitors in the DLD market include Shanghai Ozing Digital Technology Limited and |
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|
Guangdong Bubugao Electronic Industry Limited. Our main competitors in the E-dictionaries market |
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|
include Guangdong Bubugao Electronic Industry Limited and Global View Co., Ltd. |
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. Also competes indirectly with online education content providers, such as Beijing No. 4 Middle School |
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|
Net and Hu Bei Province Huang Gang Middle School Net, and providers of interactive education content |
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|
through CD-ROMs such as HUMAN Education & Technology Co., Ltd. and Guangdong Dongtian Culture |
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Enterprise Co., Ltd. |
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Use of $84mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 8.7mm ADSs |
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(shareholders intent to sell 1.12mm ADSs) |
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o US$40 million to fund our expansion into complementary businesses such as tutoring and test preparation |
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services, including possible acquisitions; |
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o US$20 million to fund efforts to enhance our branding and sales channels; |
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o US$10 million to fund the development of educational content and diversification of delivery platforms; |
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o US$10 million to fund research and development efforts; and |
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|
o the balance to fund working capital requirements. |
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|
=================== |
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|
China Digital TV Holding |
STV, C+, 8 |
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|
digital television access systems in China |
Post-IPO shrs: 55.5mm |
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|
Beijing, China |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
June, 06* |
June, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$4 |
$13 |
$30 |
$10 |
$22 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit |
50% |
70% |
76% |
80% |
81% |
$666 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$3.3 |
$4.5 |
$13.0 |
$3.4 |
$12.2 |
@$12 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-92% |
34% |
43% |
33% |
56% |
|
|
* six months ended June 30 |
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|
Last four quarters |
Sept, 06 |
Dec, 06 |
March, 07 |
June, 07 |
||
|
Rev ($mm) |
$10 |
$10 |
$10 |
$11 |
||
|
Gross Profit |
79% |
75% |
84% |
80% |
||
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$5.7 |
$3.8 |
$6.2 |
$6.0 |
||
|
Profit (loss) % |
55% |
40% |
60% |
54% |
||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
China Digital TV (STV) |
$666 |
15.0 |
28 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
22% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
|
|
ADS offering |
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Note: last four quarters had essentially flat revenue |
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|
No corporate taxes |
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|
. For tax purposes STV is based in the Cayman Islands |
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|
. The Cayman Islands currently levies no taxes on individuals or corporations based upon profits, income, |
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|
gains or appreciations and there is no taxation in the nature of inheritance tax or estate duty or withholding |
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|
tax applicable to us or to any holder of ADSs or ordinary shares. |
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|
Business |
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|
. The leading provider of conditional access, or CA, systems to the Peoples Republic of China's (PRC) |
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|
rapidly growing digital television market. |
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|
. STV'sCA systems, which consist of smart cards, head-end software for television network operators and |
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terminal-end software for set-top box manufacturers, enable digital television network operators in the PRC |
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|
to control the distribution of content and value-added services to their subscribers and block unauthorized |
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|
access to their networks. In addition, STV licenses its set-top box design to set-top box manufacturers and |
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sell advanced digital television application software, such as electronic program guides and subscriber |
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|
management systems, to digital television network operators. |
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The industry |
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. The PRC has the largest television viewing market in the world, with televisions in 362 million |
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|
households, of which 139 million households subscribed to cable television, as of December 31, 2006, |
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|
according to Analysys International. The commercial potential of the PRC cable television industry, |
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|
however, has yet to be fully developed. |
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|
. Digital television offers a range of advantages over analog television, including enhanced picture quality, |
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|
more efficient use of bandwidth, improved content protection and the opportunity to offer value-added |
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|
services to viewers. The transition from analog to digital television services in the PRC introduces |
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|
significant opportunities in the PRC cable television industry. This transition is being driven by the |
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|
following key factors: |
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|
. In 2003, the PRC State Administration of Radio, Film and Television, or the SARFT, announced a target |
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|
of 2010 for all television broadcasts to be made in digital format (in addition to any parallel transmissions |
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|
in analog format) |
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|
. And a target of 2015 for cable television networks to switch off all analog transmissions. In February |
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|
2007, the SARFT ordered cable television network operators nationwide to continue to provide at least six |
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|
analog television channels for the indefinite future for the benefit of those unable or unwilling to subscribe |
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|
to digital television services. |
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|
Market share |
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|
. According to Analysys International, STV was the leader in the PRC CA systems market in 2006 and |
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|
each of the first and second quarters of 2007. |
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|
. According to Analysys International, in the second quarter of 2007 STV had an approximately 44% |
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|
market share based on the number of smart cards shipped, followed by DVN Holdings Ltd. With |
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|
approximately 19% market share, Irdeto Access BV with approximately 12% market share, NDS Group |
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|
with approximately 9% market share, Kudelski SA with approximately 9% market share, Sumavision |
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|
Technologies Co., Ltd. with approximately 5% market share, and others accounting for the remaining 2%. |
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|
Smart cards |
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|
. Derives a substantial majority of our revenues from sales of smart cards, which accounted for 85.6% and |
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|
87.9% of total revenues in 2006 and in the six months ended June 30, 2007, respectively. |
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|
. Expects that the sales of smart cards will continue to constitute the majority of revenues in the near future. |
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|
. Sold 0.2 million, 1.5 million and 3.9 million smart cards in 2004, 2005 and 2006, respectively, and sold |
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|
2.8 million smart cards in the six months ended June 30, 2007, compared to 1.3 million in the same period |
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|
of 2006. |
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|
. The number of smart cards sold by STV in each of the first and second quarters of 2007 represented |
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|
approximately 44% of the smart cards that were shipped in the PRC in such period, according to Analysys |
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|
International |
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|
Customers |
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|
. STV sells CA systems and digital television application software to PRC television network operators, |
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|
including cable, satellite and terrestrial television network operators and enterprises that maintain private |
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|
cable television networks within their facilities. |
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|
. Currently derives, and we expect to continue to derive, a significant portion of revenues during any given |
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|
period from a limited number of customers, primarily cable television network operators who are launching |
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|
new digital transmission systems, although the particular customers may vary from period to period. |
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|
PRC television network operators |
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|
. Aare in the early stages of switching from analog to digital transmissions, and the PRC government has |
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|
set a target of 2015 for operators nationwide to complete the digital transition. |
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|
. Benefiting from this transition and the expanding market for STV products, the business has experienced |
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|
significant growth since 2004. |
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|
. As of June 30, 2007, STV had installed CA systems at 130 digital television network operators in 26 of |
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|
the 32 provinces, autonomous regions and centrally administered municipalities in the PRC. |
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Research and Development |
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|
. STV'ssuccess to date has in large part resulted from strong research and development capabilities. As of |
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|
June 30, 2007, STV's research and development team consisted of 178 employees, up from 145 as of |
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|
December 31, 2006, and STV plans to further expand the team during the second half of 2007. |
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|
. Many of STV's current research and development staff are graduates of the PRC's top science and |
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|
engineering universities, including Tsinghua University, and have extensive experience in digital television |
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|
and encryption technologies. |
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|
. STV's research team played a leading role in drafting the PRC industry standards for CA systems, |
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|
electronic program guides and other key industry standards. STV is active in the China DRM Forum, which |
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|
aims to develop a PRC standard for digital rights management, and the Audio and Video Coding Standard |
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|
Workgroup of China, which has developed the PRC's own video and audio compression technology. |
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|
. In 2006, the Radio and Television Standards Institute of the SARFT awarded STVs their annual |
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|
technology innovator award, and honored Mr. Jian Han, STV's chief technology officer, with their |
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|
innovative person award. |
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|
Intellectual property |
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|
. STV develops all of its software internally |
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|
. As of June 30, 2007, held a total of three patents issued in the PRC and seven pending patent applications |
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|
in the PRC. |
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|
. Issued patents and pending patent applications relate primarily to digital transmission technologies, |
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|
encryption and decryption technologies, technologies relating to the production of set-top boxes and smart |
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|
cards and technologies relating to value-added services. |
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|
. Also completed copyright registration of 34 software programs for digital television in the PRC. |
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|
Competition |
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|
International |
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|
. Main international competitors in the CA systems business are Conax AS, Irdeto Access BV, Kudelski |
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|
SA, and NDS Group. These companies have longer operating histories and substantially greater financial, |
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|
technical and other resources than STV, which may enable them to respond more quickly than STV to |
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|
technological or commercial changes in our industry. |
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|
. Several of these companies entered the PRC market before STV but have been less successful in capturing |
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|
market share. Historically, these companies have generally focused on sales to the television network |
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|
operators in the PRC's largest cities. |
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|
. To the extent that international competitors may begin targeting small and mid-size television network |
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|
operators, STV believes that it can continue to compete successfully because of local knowledge and |
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|
relationships and more extensive customer support and service network. |
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|
Domestic |
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|
. Main domestic competitors are Compunicate Technologies Inc., DVN Holdings Ltd., and Sumavision |
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|
Technologies Co., Ltd., all of which are non-state-owned companies operating mainly in the PRC. |
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|
. They may offer their CA systems at a lower price than STV. However, STV believes that it has more |
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|
advanced technology and that STV's strong technology and leading market position will enable STV to |
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|
continue to compete successfully against these companies. |
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|
Dividend policy |
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|
. As a result of the substantial growth of revenues in 2005 and 2006, STV generated cash in excess of |
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|
ordinary business needs. Because STV had not identified any immediate investment or acquisition |
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|
opportunities, it declared dividends to shareholders in August 2006 and November 2006 and paid out such |
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|
dividends in August 2006 and February 2007, respectively. |
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|
. Currently intends to retain all available funds and any future earnings for use in the operation and |
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|
expansion of the business, and does not anticipate paying any cash dividends on ordinary shares, or |
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|
indirectly on ADSs, for the foreseeable future |
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|
Use of $131mm in IPO proceeds |
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|
. The principal reasons for this offering are to create a public market for our ordinary shares for the benefit |
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|
of all shareholders, to retain talented employees by providing them with equity incentives in a public |
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|
company, to promote our corporate brand and image and to raise capital. |
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|
. Intends to use net proceeds from this offering for research and development, sales and marketing, |
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|
acquisitions and general corporate purposes. |
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|
=================== |
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|
E-House (China) Hldigs |
EJ, B-, 9 |
|||||
|
China real estate services |
Post-IPO shrs:75mm |
|||||
|
Shanghai, China |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$31 |
$39 |
$56 |
$4 |
$16 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit |
69% |
72% |
82% |
68% |
85% |
$933 |
|
Operating profit (%) |
22% |
38% |
43% |
-43% |
37% |
@$12.5 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$5.6 |
$11.1 |
$18.0 |
-$1.3 |
$4.4 |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
18% |
29% |
32% |
-33% |
28% |
|
|
* three months ended March 31 |
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|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
E-House (China) (EJ) |
$933 |
10.1 |
37 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
20% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
3 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
9 |
|
|
Each ADS represents one ordinary share |
||||||
|
Recent developments |
||||||
|
. EJ estimates that it generated revenues ranging from approximately $22.5 million to $24.0 million for |
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|
the quarter ended June 30, 2007. |
||||||
|
. Also estimates that it had income from operations ranging from approximately $9.2 million to $10.0 million and |
||||||
|
. Net income ranging from approximately $6.0 million to $6.5 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2007. |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. A leading real estate services company in China based on scope of services, brand recognition and |
||||||
|
geographic presence. |
||||||
|
. Provides primary real estate agency services, secondary real estate brokerage services as well as real |
||||||
|
estate consulting and information services |
||||||
|
. China Real Estate Information Circle system, or CRIC system: EJ believes their CRIC system is the only |
||||||
|
information system that provides up-to-date, comprehensive and in-depth information covering residential |
||||||
|
and commercial real estate properties in all major regions in China. |
||||||
|
. EJ ranked as the largest real estate agency and consulting services company in China for three consecutive |
||||||
|
years from 2004 to 2006 by the China Real Estate Top 10 Committee, as measured by the number of |
||||||
|
transactions facilitated, transaction value and GFA of properties sold and geographic coverage. |
||||||
|
Segments |
||||||
|
For the quarter ended March 31, 2007 the segment distribution of revenue was |
||||||
|
. Real estate agency services, 79.4% |
||||||
|
. Secondary real estate brokerage services, 11.5% |
||||||
|
. Real estate consulting and information services, 9.1% |
||||||
|
Highlights |
||||||
|
o Enhanced brand recognition and leading position in the real estate services market, as evidenced by the |
||||||
|
award received on March 28, 2007 as the largest real estate agency and consulting service company for the |
||||||
|
third consecutive year; |
||||||
|
o CRIC system was further expanded from covering real estate data in nine cities as of March 31, 2007 to 24 cities |
||||||
|
as of June 30, 2007 |
||||||
|
o Secondary brokerage store network was further expanded from 114 stores as of March 31, 2007 to 141 |
||||||
|
stores as of June 30, 2007; |
||||||
|
o Experienced a minimum of 40.6% increase in revenues from $16.0 million for the first quarter of 2007 to |
||||||
|
the estimated revenues ranging from approximately $22.5 million to approximately $24.0 million for the |
||||||
|
second quarter of 2007; and |
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|
o Experienced a minimum of 36.4% increase in net income from $4.4 million for the first quarter of 2007 to |
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the estimated net income ranging from approximately $6.0 million to approximately $6.5 million for the |
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|
second quarter of 2007. |
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|
Tax issues |
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|
. Under the new Enterprise Income Tax Law, enterprises that are established under the laws of foreign |
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|
countries or regions and whose "de facto management bodies" are located within the PRC territory are |
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|
considered PRC resident enterprises, and will be subject to the PRC enterprise income tax at the rate of |
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|
25% on their worldwide income. |
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|
. However, the new law does not define the term "de facto management bodies." Substantially all of our |
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|
management are currently located in China, and if they remain located in China after January 1, 2008, the |
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|
effective date of the new law, EJ's offshore holding companies may be considered PRC resident enterprises |
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|
and therefore be subject to the PRC enterprise income tax at the rate of 25% on their worldwide income |
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|
. This may increase EJ's tax expenses and adversely affect results of operations. |
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|
Customer concentration & developer relationships |
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|
. Generated 95.2%, 89.2% and 81.6% of total revenues from primary real estate agency services in 2004, |
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|
2005 and 2006, respectively. |
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|
. Although EJ is expanding service offerings, EJ expects to continue to rely on primary real estate agency |
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|
services to generate a significant portion of revenues for the foreseeable future. |
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|
. Revenues from primary real estate agency services are typically generated on a project-by-project basis |
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|
and are non-recurring in nature. This may contribute to the fluctuations in our period-to-period operation |
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|
results. |
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|
. EJ typically enters into agency agreements with developers shortly before they are expected to obtain |
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|
permits to sell their newly developed properties. However, the timing of obtaining these sales permits |
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|
varies from project to project and is subject to uncertain and potentially lengthy delays as developers need |
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|
to obtain a series of other permits and approvals related to the development before obtaining the sales |
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|
permit. |
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|
Seasonal |
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|
. Operating income and earnings have historically been substantially lower during the first quarter than |
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|
other quarters. |
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|
. This results from the relatively low level of real estate activity during the winter and the Chinese New |
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|
Year holiday period, which normally falls within the first quarter each year. |
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|
Competition |
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|
> EJ's competitive position in Shanghai, Wuhan and Fuzhou is stronger than its position in other local |
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|
markets. |
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|
. In Shanghai, EJ remained as the leading comprehensive real estate services company for three consecutive |
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|
years starting in 2004 and |
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|
. EJ's leading position was recognized by the prestigious "Golden Bridge" Award EJ received annually for |
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|
the same period from the Shanghai Real Estate Services Company Association. |
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|
> In the primary real estate agency services market, main competitors include World Union Real Estate |
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|
Consultancy (China) Ltd., Hopefluent Group Holdings Limited, Shanghai T&D Real Estate Co. Ltd. And |
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|
B.A. Consulting Company, all of which operate in multiple cities in China |
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|
> In the secondary real estate brokerage services market, EJ competes with established international and |
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|
domestic real estate brokerage firms, including Century 21 China Real Estate, Centaline Group, Coldwell |
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|
Banker, Shanghai House Exchange Co., Ltd., SUNCO Real Estate Co., Ltd., and 5i5j Real Estate Co. Ltd., |
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|
in terms of number of brokerage storefronts, sales force and geographic coverage. |
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|
> In the real estate consulting and information service market, competes with other leading international |
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|
and domestic real estate services companies which provide real estate consulting services, including DTZ |
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|
International, Jones Lang LaSalle, CB Richard Ellis and First Pacific Savills |
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|
Use of $130mmin IPO proceeds from sale of 11.45mm ADSs |
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|
(shareholders intend to sell 3.15 ADSs) |
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|
o $20.0 million to fund capital expenditure, including approximately $10.0 million to fund opening of new |
||||||
|
secondary storefronts and approximately $10.0 million to invest in information and operational systems; |
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|
o $5.0 million to expand our sales and marketing efforts; and |
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|
o balance for general corporate purposes, including funding possible acquisitions of complementary |
||||||
|
businesses, although EJ is not currently negotiating any such transactions. |
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|
=================== |
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|
WuXi PharmaTech |
WX, B-, 9 |
|||||
|
biopharma R&D outsourcing |
Post-IPO shrs:60mm |
|||||
|
Shanghai, China |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
Ma | |