IPOdesktop.com Pre-IPO grading & scoring methodology
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Financial Performance & Scoring -- © 2006 Gaskins IPO Desktop/IPOdesktop |
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Pre-IPO analysis, grading & scoring -- updated Dec 9 |
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. Business Model Rating Criteria |
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A = high growth market, potential leader; B = more competitive market; C= 'public venture capital' |
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. Calculations |
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. IPO Price to annualized Sales Ratio -- (Price / Sales) |
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Numerator |
Denominator |
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IPO market capitalization… |
Annualized Sales (last six or nine months) |
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(post-IPO # of shares times mid-point of IPO price range) |
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. IPO Price to annualized Earnings (loss) -- (Price / Earnings) |
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Numerator |
Denominator |
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IPO market cap |
Annualized Earnings (loss) from the last quarter |
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========================================================================= |
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SEARCH BY COMPANY |
In your browser use 'Edit/Find' to search for companies |
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or ticker for analysis |
scheduled below |
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========================================================================= |
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Summary ratios for the week of Dec 11 (IPOs not previously analyzed, scored & graded) |
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(P/E ratios based on annualizing recent results, see notes) |
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VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
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Affymax (AFFY) |
$322 |
48.3 |
-5 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
25% |
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biopharma creating drugs: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 14mm |
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Altra Holdings (AIMC) |
$317 |
0.7 |
20 |
4.1 |
-5.1 |
47% |
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power transmission & motion control: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 21mm |
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Artes Medical (ARTE) |
$207 |
n/a |
-8 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
29% |
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injectable aesthetic cosmetic products: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 16mm |
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Atlas Energy LLC (ATN) |
$734 |
2.4 |
10 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
17% |
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natural gas/oil in the Appalachia: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 37mm |
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Cal Dive Intern'l (DVR) |
$1,256 |
2.5 |
10 |
17.7 |
28.8 |
27% |
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oil/natural gas diving services: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 84mm |
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Carrols RestaurantTAST |
$324 |
0.4 |
25 |
-18.0 |
-1.4 |
69% |
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franchise restaurant operator: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 21.6mm |
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DCT Industrial (DCT) |
$2,865 |
11.4 |
-597 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
7% |
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REIT: C, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 191mm |
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Double-Take Soft DBTK |
$205 |
3.7 |
30 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
37% |
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data protection software: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 20.5mm |
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Genesis Lease (GLS) |
$689 |
4.1 |
19 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
89% |
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aircraft lessor: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 31.1mm |
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Guidance Soft (GUID) |
$297 |
5.7 |
-97 |
8.9 |
8.9 |
23% |
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forensic software: B-, 8 |
Post-IPO shrs: 22mm |
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IPG Photonics (IPGP) |
$631 |
4.7 |
36 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
21% |
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fiber lasers & amplifiers for commncatn: B-, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 43.5mm |
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Isilon Systems (ISLN) |
$545 |
9.7 |
-27 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
14% |
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digital content clustered storage sys: C, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 60.5mm |
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MEDecision (MEDE) |
$187 |
4.1 |
-50 |
5.2 |
8.0 |
37% |
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software/services for healthcare payers: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs:15mm |
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NewStar Financial NEWS |
$535 |
12.5 |
82 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
33% |
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debt financing for mid-sized businesses: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 33.5mm |
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Obagi Medical (OMPI) |
$305 |
4.2 |
64 |
-80.3 |
-20.6 |
25% |
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topical skincare products: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 22mm |
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Teekay Offshore Pt TOO |
$392 |
0.8 |
33 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
36% |
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offshore shipping/storage: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 19.6mm |
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US BioEnergy (USBE) |
$1,050 |
8.7 |
161 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
15% |
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ethanol: C, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 66mm |
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WSB Financial (WSFG) |
$78 |
4.9 |
19 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
44% |
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regional bank: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 5.2mm |
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========================================================================= |
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SEARCH BY COMPANY |
In your browser use 'Edit/Find' to search for companies |
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or ticker for analysis |
scheduled below |
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========================================================================= |
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Affymax |
AFFY, C+, 6 |
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biopharma creating drugs |
Post-IPO shrs: 14mm |
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Palo Alto, CA |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
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Rev ($mm) |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
5.0 |
Cap (mm) |
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Profit (loss) ($mm) |
($28) |
($22) |
($34) |
($23) |
($48) |
$322 |
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*nine months ended Sept 30, 05 |
@$23 |
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**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
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VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Affymax (AFFY) |
$322 |
48.3 |
-5 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
25% |
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SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
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1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
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20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
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Summary |
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. Two collaboration agreements with Takeda, resutling in significant cash (see below) |
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. Takeda also purchased stock in February 2006 at $18.86 per share |
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Business |
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. Developing novel peptide-based drug candidates to improve the treatment of serious and often |
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life-threatening conditions. |
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Lead product |
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. Lead product candidate, Hematide, is designed to treat anemia associated with chronic kidney |
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disease and cancer. Anemia is a serious condition in which blood is deficient in red blood cells |
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and hemoglobin. It is common in patients with chronic kidney disease, cancer, heart failure, |
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inflammatory diseases and other critical illnesses, as well as in the elderly. If left untreated, |
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anemia may increase the risk of other diseases or death. |
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. Hematide is a synthetic peptide-based erythropoiesis stimulating agent, or ESA, designed to |
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stimulate production of red blood cells. Hematide is designed to be longer acting than currently |
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marketed ESAs, and therefore has the potential to offer both better care for patients and reduced |
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cost and complexity for healthcare providers. |
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Clinical trials |
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. Currently conducting Phase 2 clinical trials in patients suffering from end-stage renal disease |
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who are on dialysis, as well as in earlier stage chronic kidney disease patients, or predialysis |
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patients. |
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. If the results of our ongoing Phase 2 trials for Hematide continue to be positive, we would expect |
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to commence separate Phase 3 trials in both dialysis and predialysis patients during 2007. |
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. In oncology supportive care, has initiated Phase 2 clinical trials evaluating Hematide in cancer |
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patients who suffer from anemia as a consequence of their chemotherapy treatment. |
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History |
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. Incorporated in July 2001 and acquired certain assets, technology and intellectual property and |
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assumed certain liabilities of Affymax Research Institute, or ARI, from GlaxoSmithKline plc. |
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. ARI was originally founded in 1988 by Dr. Alejandro Zaffaroni as a combinatorial chemistry |
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company focused on accelerating the drug discovery process through innovative technologies. |
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Collaborations |
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. Two collaboration agreements, with Takeda, which have been combined for accounting purposes |
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due to their proximity of negotiation. |
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. Consideration from these collaboration agreements includes nonrefundable upfront license fees, |
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reimbursement for sales of active pharmaceutical ingredients, or API, clinical and regulatory |
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milestone payments, reimbursement of third party U.S. clinical development expenses, product |
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profit share revenues (as co-promotion revenues) and royalties. |
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. In February 2006, issued an exclusive license to Takeda for the development and |
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commercialization of Hematide in Japan. Pursuant to this agreement, Takeda paid $27 million, |
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consisting of $17 million in upfront license fees and $10 million for the purchase of 530,082 |
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shares of Series E Redeemable Convertible Preferred Stock at a price of $18.86 per share, which |
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was determined was at fair value. |
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. In addition, is eligible to receive clinical and regulatory milestone payments of up to an aggregate |
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of $75 million upon Takeda's successful achievement of clinical development and regulatory |
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milestones in Japan |
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. In June 2006, expanded collaboration to develop and commercialize Hematide worldwide, which |
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includes the co-development and co-commercialization of Hematide in the U.S. Takeda received |
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an exclusive license to develop and commercialize Hematide outside of the U.S. |
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. Beginning January 1, 2007, Takeda will bear the first $50 million of third-party expenses related |
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to clinical development in pursuit of U.S. regulatory approval of Hematide. |
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. Thereafter, Takeda will bear 70% of the third-party U.S. clinical development expenses, while |
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AFFY will assume 30% of these expenses. |
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. Under the June 2006 agreement, Takeda paid an upfront license fee of $105 million, and AFFY |
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is eligible to receive from Takeda up to an aggregate of $280 million upon the successful |
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achievement of clinical development and regulatory milestones. |
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. Further, AFFY may receive from Takeda up to an aggregate of $150 million upon the |
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achievement of certain worldwide annual net sales milestones. |
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. AFFY and Takeda will share equally in the net profits and losses of Hematide in the U.S. Takeda |
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will pay a variable royalty based on annual net sales of Hematide outside the U.S. |
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Competition |
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. According to IMS Health, the worldwide EPO market totaled $13 billion in revenue for the 12 |
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months ended June 2006 of which the global lenders, PROCRIT, marketed by J&J, represented |
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29% of the market, and Aranesp, marketed by Amgen, represented 33% of the market. |
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. Aranesp, introduced in 2001, is rapidly gaining market share, particularly in the oncology |
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market. In late 2005, U.S. quarterly sales of Aranesp surpassed those of PROCRIT. |
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. Also in 2005, Amgen submitted a biologics license supplement to include a once-monthly dosing |
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regimen for predialysis patients in the label for Aranesp. |
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. In October 2006, the FDA responded to Amgen's filing with a request for additional clinical data |
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for the once-monthly dosing regimen, including an additional clinical study. |
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Use of $72mm in IPO proceeds |
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o $50 million to fund Phase 3 clinical trials and long term carcinogenicity studies for Hematide; |
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o $5 million to fund manufacturing scale-up, which involves technical development of large lot |
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processes to produce commercial quantities of Hematide; |
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o $5 million to fund pre-approval commercial development, competitive positioning analyses, |
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physician education and development of a commercial sales and marketing organization in |
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preparation for the potential commercial launch of Hematide; |
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o $5 million to fund research and development relating to other product candidates; |
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o remainder to fund working capital, capital expenditures and other general corporate purposes. |
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============================== |
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Altra Holdings |
AIMC, C+, 7 |
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power transmission & motion control |
Post-IPO shrs: 21mm |
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Quincy, Massachusetts |
proforma |
2005 |
Sept 06* |
IPO Mkt |
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Rev ($mm) |
see notes |
$426 |
$354 |
Cap (mm) |
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Gross Profit % |
below |
28% |
28% |
$317 |
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Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$1 |
$12 |
@$15 |
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Profit (loss) % |
0.2% |
3% |
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EBIDTA ($mm) |
$45 |
$50 |
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Profit (loss) % |
10% |
14% |
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*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
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VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
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Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
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Altra Holdings (AIMC) |
$317 |
0.7 |
20 |
4.1 |
-5.1 |
47% |
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SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
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1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
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20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
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FINANCIAL STATEMENT NOTES |
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The term "Pro forma" refers to operations after giving effect to the Other Transactions and the |
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Hay Hall Acquisition after conversion into U.S. dollars at the assumed exchange rates described |
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herein (see "Formation, Recent Acquisitions and Other Transactions" |
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Summary |
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. Leveraged buy-out, growth by acquisition |
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. EBITDA is a relatively low percentage of sales |
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Business |
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. Global designer, producer and marketer of a wide range of MPT and motion control products |
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with a presence in over 70 countries. |
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. Global sales and marketing network includes over 700 direct OEM customers and over 3,000 distributor outlets. |
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Formation, Recent Acquisitions and Other Transactions |
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The PTH Acquisition |
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On November 30, 2004, acquired the original core business through the acquisition of Power |
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Transmission Holding LLC, or PTH, from Warner Electric Holding, Inc., a wholly-owned |
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subsidiary of Colfax Corporation, for $180.0 million in cash. |
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The Kilian Transactions |
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On October 22, 2004, The Kilian Company, or Kilian, a company formed at the direction of |
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Genstar Capital LLC, or Genstar Capital, the principal equity sponsor, acquired Kilian |
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Manufacturing Corporation from Timken U.S. Corporation for $8.8 million in cash and the |
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assumption of $12.2 million of debt. At the completion of the PTH Acquisition, (i) all of the |
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outstanding shares of Kilian capital stock were exchanged for approximately $8.8 million of |
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shares of capital stock and Kilian and its subsidiaries were transferred to AIMC's wholly owned |
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subsidiary, Altra Industrial Motion, Inc and (ii) all outstanding debt of Kilian was retired with a |
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portion of the proceeds of the sale of Altra Industrial's 9.0% senior secured notes due 2011 |
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The Hay Hall Acquisition |
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On February 10, 2006, AIMC acquired all of the outstanding share capital of Hay Hall Holdings |
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Limited, or Hay Hall, for $50.3 million in cash. Hay Hall and its subsidiaries became indirect |
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wholly owned subsidiaries. In connection with the acquisition of Hay Hall, Altra Industrial issued |
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Ł33.0 million of 111/4% senior notes due 2013. |
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The Bear Linear Acquisition |
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On May 18, 2006, Altra Industrial acquired substantially all of the assets of Bear Linear for $5.0 |
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million in cash. Approximately $3.5 million was paid at closing and the remaining $1.5 million is |
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payable over the next two and a half years. Bear Linear manufactures high value-added linear |
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actuators for mobile off-highway and industrial applications. |
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Products |
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. Include industrial clutches and brakes, enclosed gear drives, open gearing, couplings, engineered |
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bearing assemblies, linear components and other related products. |
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. Products serve a wide variety of end markets including energy, general industrial, material |
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handling, mining, transportation and turf and garden. |
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Sales |
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. Primarily sells products to a wide range of OEMs and through long-standing relationships with |
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industrial distributors such as Motion Industries, Applied Industrial Technologies, Kaman |
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Industrial Technologies and W.W. Grainger. |
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Gross margin improvement |
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Improved our gross profit margin and operating profit margin every year from fiscal year |
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2002 through fiscal year 2005 by implementing strategic price increases, utilizing low-cost |
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country sourcing of components, increasing our productivity and employing a more efficient sales |
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and marketing strategy. |
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Competition |
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. While the power transmission industry has undergone some consolidation, AIMC estimates that |
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in 2005 the top eight broad-based MPT companies represented approximately 21% of the U.S. |
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power transmission market. |
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. The remainder of the power transmission industry remains fragmented with many small and |
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family-owned companies that cater to a specific market niche often due to their narrow product |
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offerings |
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. Competes with such larger companies as Emerson Power Transmission Manufacturing, L.P., |
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Regal Beloit Corporation and Rockwell Automation. |
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Use of $41.5mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 3.3mm shares |
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(shareholders intent to sell 6.7mm shares) |
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. Repay $24.4mm debt |
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. Balance for general working capital |
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============================== |
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Artes Medical |
ARTE, C+, 6 |
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injectable aesthetic cosmetic products |
Post-IPO shrs: 16mm |
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San Diego, CA |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
none |
none |
none |
none |
none |
Cap (mm) |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
($6) |
($12) |
($2) |
($16) |
($19) |
$207 |
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
@$13 |
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**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
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VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Artes Medical (ARTE) |
$207 |
n/a |
-8 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
29% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
|
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Summary |
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. Expects to ship product in the first quarter of 2007 |
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. FDA approved on Octobe 27, 2006 |
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Business |
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|
. Developing, manufacturing and commercializing a new category of injectable aesthetic products |
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for the dermatology and plastic surgery markets. |
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. On October 27, 2006, the FDA approved ArteFill, ARTE's non-resorbable aesthetic injectable |
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implant for the correction of facial wrinkles known as smile lines, or nasolabial folds. |
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Advantages of ArteFill |
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. Currently, there are two categories of injectable aesthetic products used for the treatment of facial |
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wrinkles: (1) temporary muscle paralytics, which block nerve impulses to temporarily paralyze |
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the muscles that cause facial wrinkles, and (2) temporary dermal fillers, which are injected into |
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the skin or deeper facial tissues beneath a wrinkle to help reduce the appearance of the wrinkle. |
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. Unlike existing temporary muscle paralytics and temporary dermal fillers, which are comprised |
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of materials that are completely metabolized and absorbed by the body, ArteFill is a proprietary |
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formulation comprised of polymethylmethacrylate, or PMMA, microspheres and bovine collagen, |
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or collagen derived from calf hides. |
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. PMMA is one of the most widely used artificial materials in implantable medical devices, and is |
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not absorbed or degraded by the human body. |
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. Following injection, the PMMA microspheres in ArteFill remain intact at the injection site and |
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provide a permanent support structure to fill in the existing wrinkle and help prevent further |
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wrinkling. |
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. As a result, ARTE believes that ArteFill will provide patients with aesthetic benefits that may |
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last for years. |
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Expected product shipments |
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|
. ARTE intends to commence commercial shipments of ArteFill during the first quarter of 2007 |
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. The strategy is to establish ArteFill as a leading injectable aesthetic product. |
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|
. Plans to drive the adoption of product through a direct sales and marketing effort to |
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dermatologists, plastic surgeons and cosmetic surgeons in the United States. |
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. Initially intends to target dermatologists, plastic surgeons and cosmetic surgeons whom ARTE |
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has identified as having performed a significant number of procedures involving injectable |
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aesthetic products |
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Competition |
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. In the United States, will compete primarily with companies that offer temporary injectable |
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aesthetic products approved by the FDA for the correction of facial wrinkles, such as Medicis |
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|
Pharmaceutical Corporation and Allergan, Inc. |
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. In addition, will compete with companies that offer products that physicians currently use off |
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|
label for the correction of facial wrinkles, including BioForm Medical, Inc. and Dermik |
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|
Laboratories, a subsidiary of sanofi-aventis. |
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|
. A number of companies, such as Mentor Corporation, are currently developing new products that |
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|
may be used for the treatment of facial wrinkles, although ARTE believes none of them involve a |
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|
non-resorbable injectable aesthetic implant. |
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|
. Also will compete with companies that offer different treatments for facial wrinkles, including |
||||||
|
topical cosmeceuticals and creams, chemical peels, laser skin treatments and microdermabrasion. |
||||||
|
. In addition, in March 2006, Allergan completed its acquisition of INAMED Corporation. As a |
||||||
|
result of this transaction, the market for injectable aesthetic products experienced a significant |
||||||
|
concentration of products within a single entity with greater resources and the ability to provide an |
||||||
|
expanded range of products and services and pricing programs. These companies and others have |
||||||
|
developed and will continue to develop new products that compete with ARTE's products. |
||||||
|
Use of $52mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. Build sales and marketing organization and implement promotional and advertising campaigns |
||||||
|
related to the commercial launch of ArteFill; |
||||||
|
. To conduct long-term, post-market safety study of ArteFill; to further automate and expand |
||||||
|
capacity at the manufacturing facilities |
||||||
|
. To conduct further studies to evaluate the feasibility, safety and efficacy of ArteFill for other |
||||||
|
aesthetic applications. |
||||||
|
. Remainder for working capital and for other general corporate purposes |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
Atlas Energy Resources |
ATN, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
natural gas/oil in the Appalachia |
Post-IPO shrs: 37mm |
|||||
|
Moon Township, PA |
Sept 30 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
fiscal |
$108 |
$156 |
$221 |
$300 |
300 |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
proforma |
$70 |
$734 |
|||
|
Profit (loss) % |
23% |
@$20 |
||||
|
EBIDTA ($mm) |
$93 |
|||||
|
Profit (loss) % |
31% |
|||||
|
Reserves to production ratio (years) |
20x |
17.6x |
||||
|
Sept 30 fiscal |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Atlas Energy LLC (ATN) |
$734 |
2.4 |
10 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
17% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Summary -- partnership units |
||||||
|
. Sponsored by ATLS, market cap $987mm |
||||||
|
. Expected to pay out 8.4% initially on an annualized basis |
||||||
|
Partnership units & distribution policy |
||||||
|
. Intends to distribute on a quarterly basis at least $0.42 per unit |
||||||
|
. $1.68 per unit per year, an annualized rate of 8.4% |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Focused on the development and production of natural gas and, to a lesser extent, oil principally |
||||||
|
in the Appalachian Basin. |
||||||
|
. Sponsors and manages tax-advantaged investment partnerships, in which ATN coinvests, to |
||||||
|
finance the exploitation and development of acreage. |
||||||
|
History |
||||||
|
. Formed in 2006 to own and operate substantially all of the natural gas and oil assets and the |
||||||
|
investment partnership management business of Atlas America, Inc. (Nasdaq: ATLS, $987mm market cap). |
||||||
|
. Are managed by Atlas Energy Management, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Atlas America. |
||||||
|
Assets |
||||||
|
As of September 30, 2006, principal assets consisted generally of: |
||||||
|
. working interests in 6,415 gross producing gas and oil wells; |
||||||
|
. overriding royalty interests in 632 gross producing gas and oil wells; |
||||||
|
. investment partnership business, which includes equity interests in 91 investment partnerships |
||||||
|
and a registered broker-dealer which acts as the dealer-manager of ATN's investment partnership |
||||||
|
offerings; |
||||||
|
. 568,900 gross (516,200 net) acres, primarily in the Appalachian Basin, over half of which, or |
||||||
|
approximately 308,300 gross (294,800 net) acres, are undeveloped; and |
||||||
|
. an interest in a joint venture that gives ATN the right to drill up to 300 net wells before June 30, |
||||||
|
2007 on approximately 212,000 acres in Tennessee. |
||||||
|
In addition, at March 31, 2006, the date of ATN's most recent reserve report, had proved reserves |
||||||
|
of 170.9 Bcfe, including the reserves net to equity interest in the investment partnerships and |
||||||
|
direct interests in producing wells. |
||||||
|
Production |
||||||
|
. For the twelve month period ended September 30, 2006, produced 25,924 Mcfe/d which includes |
||||||
|
the proportionate share of production from investment partnerships as well as direct interests in |
||||||
|
producing wells. |
||||||
|
. This resulted in an average proved reserves to production ratio, or average reserve life, of |
||||||
|
approximately 18 years based on proved reserves at March 31, 2006. |
||||||
|
. As of September 30, 2006, had identified approximately 400 proved undeveloped drilling |
||||||
|
locations and approximately 2,700 additional potential drilling locations on ATN's acreage and |
||||||
|
Tennessee joint venture acreage. |
||||||
|
. According to Rigdata.com, ATN was the 11th most active operator in the United States based on |
||||||
|
well starts from January 2006 to October 2006. |
||||||
|
Use of $116mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
Distribution to Atlas America, the parent |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
Cal Dive International |
DVR, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
oil/natural gas diving services |
Post-IPO shrs: 84mm |
|||||
|
Houston, TX |
2005* |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
||
|
Rev ($mm) |
$464 |
$379 |
$373 |
Cap (mm) |
||
|
Gross Proft % |
17% |
45% |
45% |
$1,256 |
||
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$93 |
@$15 |
||||
|
Profit (loss) % |
25% |
|||||
|
EBITDA |
$160 |
|||||
|
EBITDA % |
43% |
|||||
|
*proforma--see notes below, Sept , 2006 nine months |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Cal Dive Intern'l (DVR) |
$1,256 |
2.5 |
10 |
17.7 |
28.8 |
27% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
FINANCIAL STATEMENT NOTES |
||||||
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. Spinoff from Helix ($3.3bb market cap, which also purchased two companies for the subsidiary |
||||||
|
. 100% of proceeds going as a dividend to Helix |
||||||
|
. Low p/e ratio |
||||||
|
. Historical consolidated proforma financial statements not available |
||||||
|
Recent acquisitions |
||||||
|
. In August 2005, DVR acquired vessels and diving assets from Torch for an aggregate purchase |
||||||
|
price of $26.4 million (including assets held for sale). The operating results of the acquired vessels |
||||||
|
from Torch are included in historical combined statements of operations since the acquisition date |
||||||
|
of August 31, 2005. |
||||||
|
. Also, in late 2005 and early 2006, DVR acquired the diving and shallow water pipelay business |
||||||
|
of Acergy for an aggregate purchase price of $124.3 million. |
||||||
|
Note on proforma financial statements |
||||||
|
"The operating results of the assets acquired from Acergy during 2005 are included in the |
||||||
|
historical combined statements of operations since the acquisition date of November 1, 2005." |
||||||
|
"Unaudited pro forma combined financial data as of and for the year ended December 31, 2005 do |
||||||
|
not include the results of operations of the assets acquired from Torch prior to their acquisition in |
||||||
|
August 2005 because this transaction did not qualify as a "business combination" under FASB |
||||||
|
Statement No. 141" |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Marine contractor providing manned diving, pipelay and pipe burial services to the offshore oil |
||||||
|
and natural gas industry. |
||||||
|
. Based on the size of the fleet, DVR believes that it is the market leader in the diving support |
||||||
|
business, which involves services such as construction, inspection, maintenance, repair and |
||||||
|
decommissioning of offshore production and pipeline infrastructure, on the Gulf of Mexico Outer |
||||||
|
Continental Shelf, or OCS. |
||||||
|
. Also provide these services directly or through partnering relationships in select international |
||||||
|
offshore markets, such as the Middle East (United Arab Emirates, Oman, Egypt and Saudi Arabia) |
||||||
|
and Trinidad. |
||||||
|
Spin of Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (NYSE: HLX, $3.3 billion market cap) |
||||||
|
. Direct, wholly owned subsidiary of Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc., a diversified energy |
||||||
|
services company. On March 6, 2006, the parent company changed its name from Cal Dive |
||||||
|
International, Inc. to Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc., at which time it passed the Cal Dive |
||||||
|
International, Inc. name to DVR. |
||||||
|
. Upon completion of this offering, DVR will be the successor to all of Helix's shallow water |
||||||
|
marine contracting business. At this time, Helix will directly own 61,506,691 of DVR's |
||||||
|
outstanding shares of common stock, representing approximately 73.5% of the total voting power |
||||||
|
of common stock |
||||||
|
Fleet |
||||||
|
. Based in Houston, Texas, we currently own and operate a diversified fleet of 26 vessels, |
||||||
|
including 23 surface and saturation diving support vessels as well as three shallow water pipelay |
||||||
|
vessels. |
||||||
|
. DVR believes that its fleet of diving support vessels is the largest in the world. |
||||||
|
. Customers include major and independent oil and natural gas producers, pipeline transmission |
||||||
|
companies and offshore engineering and construction firms. |
||||||
|
Business indicators |
||||||
|
. The primary leading indicators DVR relies upon to forecast the performance of our business are |
||||||
|
crude oil and natural gas prices and drilling activity on the Gulf of Mexico OCS, as measured by |
||||||
|
mobile offshore rig counts. |
||||||
|
. Demand for our services generally lags successful drilling activity by six to 18 months. |
||||||
|
Period comparisons |
||||||
|
Revenues |
||||||
|
. For the nine months ended September 30, 2006, our revenues increased 193% to $372.9 million, |
||||||
|
compared to $127.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005. |
||||||
|
. This increase was primarily a result of the Torch and Acergy acquisitions in the third and fourth |
||||||
|
quarters of 2005, respectively. |
||||||
|
. Revenues derived from assets purchased in these acquisitions were $173.6 million in the first |
||||||
|
three quarters of 2006. |
||||||
|
. In addition, the increase was due to improved market demand, much of which was the result of |
||||||
|
infrastructure damages caused by recent hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico. |
||||||
|
. This resulted in significantly improved utilization rates (95% in the first three quarters of 2006 as |
||||||
|
compared to 71% in the same period of 2005) and an overall increase in pricing for services. |
||||||
|
Gross profit. |
||||||
|
. Gross profit for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 increased 335% to $168.9 million, |
||||||
|
compared to $38.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005. |
||||||
|
. This increase was attributable to additional gross profit derived from the Torch and Acergy |
||||||
|
acquisitions, improved utilization rates and increased average contract pricing. |
||||||
|
. Gross profit derived from assets purchased in these acquisitions was $87.4 million in the first |
||||||
|
three quarters of 2006. |
||||||
|
. Gross margins increased to 45% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 from 31% in the |
||||||
|
first three quarters of 2005 due to the factors noted above. |
||||||
|
Competitors |
||||||
|
Diving services |
||||||
|
. Principal competitors for diving services include Global Industries, Ltd., Tetra Technologies Inc. |
||||||
|
(through its wholly owned subsidiary, Epic Divers & Marine, L.L.C.) and Oceaneering |
||||||
|
International, Inc., as well as a number of smaller companies that often compete solely on price |
||||||
|
. Based on the size of DVR's fleet, it is the largest saturation and surface diving service provider |
||||||
|
on the Gulf of Mexico OCS. |
||||||
|
Shallow water pipelay services |
||||||
|
. Principal competitors for shallow water pipelay services on the Gulf of Mexico OCS include |
||||||
|
Global Industries, Horizon Offshore, Inc. and several independent companies. |
||||||
|
. Other foreign-based marine contractors have either positioned, or announced their intention to |
||||||
|
deploy, certain vessels, equipment and personnel to perform services on the Gulf of Mexico OCS |
||||||
|
in response to demand for hurricane-related repair projects. |
||||||
|
Employees |
||||||
|
As of October 31, 2006, had approximately 1,200 employees, |
||||||
|
Use of $307mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. All of the net proceeds to Helix as a dividend. |
||||||
|
. Spin of Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (NYSE: HLX, $3.3 billion market cap) |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
Carrols Restaurant |
TAST, C+, 6 |
|||||
|
franchise restaurant operator |
Post-IPO shrs: 21.6mm |
|||||
|
Syracuse, New York |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$645 |
$698 |
$707 |
$533 |
$563 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Cost of Sales % |
28% |
29% |
29% |
29% |
28% |
$324 |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$1 |
($8) |
($4) |
($5) |
$10 |
@$15 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
0% |
-1% |
-1% |
-1% |
2% |
|
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Carrols RestaurantTAST |
$324 |
0.4 |
25 |
-18.0 |
-1.4 |
69% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. Large restaurant chain |
||||||
|
. Recently turned profitable |
||||||
|
. Shareholders selling 2/3 of the shares |
||||||
|
. Proceeds to repay debt |
||||||
|
. Still highly leveraged in terms of debt |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. One of the largest restaurant companies in the United States operating three restaurant brands in |
||||||
|
the quick-casual and quick-service restaurant segments with 542 restaurants located in 16 states as |
||||||
|
of September 30, 2006. |
||||||
|
. Own and operate two Hispanic restaurant brands, Pollo Tropical and Taco Cabana (together |
||||||
|
referred to by us as our Hispanic Brands), which we acquired in 1998 and 2000, respectively. |
||||||
|
. Also is the largest Burger King franchisee, based on the number of restaurants, and have operated |
||||||
|
Burger King restaurants since 1976. |
||||||
|
. As of September 30, 2006, company-owned restaurants included 73 Pollo Tropical restaurants |
||||||
|
and 141 Taco Cabana restaurants, and TAST operated 328 Burger King restaurants under |
||||||
|
franchise agreements. |
||||||
|
. Also franchises Hispanic Brand restaurants with 29 franchised restaurants located in Puerto Rico, |
||||||
|
Ecuador and the United States as of September 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
. Primary growth strategy is to develop new company-owned Hispanic Brand restaurants |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
. Pollo Tropical's competitors include national chicken-based concepts, such as Boston Market |
||||||
|
and KFC, and regional chicken-based concepts, as well as quick-service hamburger restaurant |
||||||
|
chains and other types of quick-casual restaurants. |
||||||
|
. Taco Cabana's restaurants, although part of the quick-casual segment of the restaurant industry, |
||||||
|
compete in Texas, Oklahoma and New Mexico with quick-service restaurants, including those in |
||||||
|
the quick-service Mexican segment such as Taco Bell, other quick-casual restaurants and |
||||||
|
traditional casual dining Mexican restaurants. |
||||||
|
. Burger King restaurants competed with McDonald's and Wendy's restaurants. According to |
||||||
|
Technomic, McDonald's restaurants had aggregate U.S. system-wide sales of $25.6 billion for the |
||||||
|
year ended December 31, 2005 and operated 13,727 restaurants in the United States at that date, |
||||||
|
and Wendy's restaurants had aggregate system-wide sales of $7.7 billion for the year ended |
||||||
|
December 31, 2005 and operated 6,018 restaurants in the United States at that date. |
||||||
|
Employees |
||||||
|
As of September 30, 2006, employed approximately 16,300 persons |
||||||
|
Use of $76mm in IPO proceeds from sale from 5.7mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intend to sell 9.3mm shares |
||||||
|
Repay $76.0 million of debt |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
DCT Industrial |
DCT, C, 6 |
|||||
|
REIT |
Post-IPO shrs: 191mm |
|||||
|
Denver, CO |
proforma |
2005 |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
||
|
Rev ($mm) |
$250 |
$188 |
Cap (mm) |
|||
|
Profit (loss), continuing ops |
($10) |
($4) |
$2,865 |
|||
|
Profit (loss) % |
-4% |
-2% |
@$15 |
|||
|
Funds from operations ($mm) |
$100 |
$76 |
||||
|
Funds from operations (%) |
40% |
40% |
||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
DCT Industrial (DCT) |
$2,865 |
11.4 |
-597 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
7% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. REIT which operates & develops |
||||||
|
. Plans on distributing most of the taxable net income |
||||||
|
. However, taxable net income isn't visible, especially for this kind of RET |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. REIT specializing in the ownership, acquisition, development and management of bulk |
||||||
|
distribution and light industrial properties located in 23 of the highest volume distribution markets |
||||||
|
in the United States. |
||||||
|
. In addition, manages, and owns interests in, industrial properties through DCT's institutional |
||||||
|
capital management program. |
||||||
|
Distribution Policy |
||||||
|
Intends to make regular quarterly distributions of all or substantially all net taxable income to |
||||||
|
holders of common stock. |
||||||
|
Properties |
||||||
|
. As of September 30, 2006, owned interests in 388 industrial real estate buildings consisting of |
||||||
|
233 bulk distribution properties, 113 light industrial properties and 42 service center or flex |
||||||
|
properties totaling 60.4 million rentable square feet. |
||||||
|
. Portfolio of consolidated operating properties consists of interests in 374 industrial properties |
||||||
|
totaling 55.0 million rentable square feet that were 92.9% occupied as of September 30, 2006. |
||||||
|
. In addition, as of September 30, 2006, had majority interests in four consolidated development |
||||||
|
properties, a 20% interest in six unconsolidated properties in an institutional joint venture and |
||||||
|
investments in four development joint venture properties. |
||||||
|
. Currently owns 115 acres of land as well as options to acquire approximately 75 acres of land |
||||||
|
that DCT believes can support, in the aggregate, approximately 2.8 million rentable square feet of |
||||||
|
new industrial development. |
||||||
|
. Additionally, through a recently established SCLA joint venture described herein, DCT controls |
||||||
|
up to 4,350 acres of land located in the Inland Empire submarket of the Southern California |
||||||
|
industrial real estate market through master development agreements with a term of up to 13 years. |
||||||
|
Phase one of the SCLA project involves 344 acres DCT plans to acquire in 2006 that DCT |
||||||
|
believes can accommodate up to 6.5 million rentable square feet of industrial development. DCT |
||||||
|
anticipate starting construction of between 1.5 million and 2.0 million rentable square feet within |
||||||
|
the next 12 to 18 months. |
||||||
|
SCLA Joint Venture |
||||||
|
. In July 2005, DCT entered into a joint venture agreement, which was amended and restated in |
||||||
|
October 2006, with Stirling Airports International, LLC, or Stirling, to be the master developer of |
||||||
|
up to 4,350 acres in Victorville, California, part of the Inland Empire submarket of the Southern |
||||||
|
California industrial real estate market. |
||||||
|
. While our exact interest in the joint venture will depend on the amount of capital DCT |
||||||
|
contributes and the timing of contributions and distributions, the SCLA joint venture contemplates |
||||||
|
an equal sharing between DCT and Stirling of residual profits after all priority distributions. |
||||||
|
. The development project resulted from the closure of George Air Force Base in 1992 and is |
||||||
|
known as Southern California Logistics Airport, or SCLA. |
||||||
|
. SCLA is controlled by two development authorities: the Southern California Logistics Airport |
||||||
|
Authority and the Southern California Logistics Rail Authority, which DCT refers to collectively |
||||||
|
as the Authorities. SCLA is part of the approximately 60,000 acre Victor Valley Economic |
||||||
|
Development Authority. |
||||||
|
. Stirling entered into two master development agreements to be the exclusive developer of SCLA |
||||||
|
for the next 13 years (including extensions) and assigned to the SCLA joint venture its rights |
||||||
|
related to the 4,350 acres designated primarily for industrial development. |
||||||
|
Use of $166mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. DCT will contribute the net proceeds of this offering to its operating partnership in exchange for |
||||||
|
OP units. |
||||||
|
. DCT's operating partnership will subsequently use the net proceeds received from DCT to repay |
||||||
|
debt |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
Double-Take Software |
DBTK, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
data protection software |
Post-IPO shrs: 20.5mm |
|||||
|
Southborough, MA |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$24 |
$30 |
$41 |
$29 |
$42 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
79% |
87% |
88% |
90% |
86% |
$205 |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
($8) |
($7) |
($4) |
($1) |
$5 |
@$10 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-32% |
-24% |
-9% |
-4% |
12% |
|
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Double-Take Soft DBTK |
$205 |
3.7 |
30 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
37% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Compare & contrast -- annualizing last 2 qtrs for CVLT, 3 qtrs for DBTK |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
Dec 15 |
|
|
CommVault (CVLT)* |
$819 |
6.8 |
53 |
51 |
51 |
$19.65 |
|
Double-Take Soft (DBTK) |
$260 |
4.6 |
37 |
6.5 |
144 |
$12.66 |
|
*Net income before 'Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments' which are non-recurring |
||||||
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. High gross margin |
||||||
|
. Recently turned profitable |
||||||
|
. Upward sales momentum |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Develops, sells and supports affordable software that reduces downtime and protects data for |
||||||
|
business-critical systems. |
||||||
|
. DBKT believes it is the leading supplier of replication software for Microsoft server |
||||||
|
environments. |
||||||
|
. By loading DBTK's software onto servers running current Windows operating systems, |
||||||
|
organizations of any size can maintain an off-site standby server with replicated data, providing |
||||||
|
rapid recovery in the event of a disaster. |
||||||
|
. DBKT estimates that it has sold licenses for 100,000 copies of Double-Take to more than 10,000 |
||||||
|
customers. |
||||||
|
. In 2005, the median price of sales of Double-Take software licenses to customers was |
||||||
|
approximately $4,000 and the average sales cycle was less than three months. |
||||||
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
Compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
Revenue |
||||||
|
. Total revenue increased $12.9 million, or 45%, from $28.9 million in the nine months ended |
||||||
|
September 30, 2005 to $41.8 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2006. |
||||||
|
. Of the total revenue in the 2006 nine-month period, 94% was attributable to sales to or through |
||||||
|
distribution partners, which was an increase from 90% of total revenue attributable to sales to or |
||||||
|
through distribution partners in the 2005 nine-month period. |
||||||
|
. Of total revenue in the 2006 nine-month period, 6% was attributable to direct sales to end users, a |
||||||
|
decrease from 10% of total revenue attributable to end users in the 2005 nine-month period. |
||||||
|
Software License Revenue |
||||||
|
. Software revenue increased $7.9 million, or 43%, from $18.3 million in the 2005 nine-month |
||||||
|
period to $26.2 million in the 2006 nine-month period. |
||||||
|
. The increase in software revenue was due to increased volume of $1.9 million resulting from |
||||||
|
broader demand for, and acceptance of, software, $1.1 million due to the release of the new |
||||||
|
product Double-Take for Virtual Systems, $1.8 million due to a price increase that was effective |
||||||
|
on August 1, 2005 and $3.1 million from Double-Take EMEA sales from May 24 through |
||||||
|
September 30, 2006. |
||||||
|
Net Income (Loss) |
||||||
|
. Net income increased from a loss of $1.2 million in the 2005 nine-month period to income of |
||||||
|
$5.0 million in the 2006 nine-month period. |
||||||
|
. This increase is related to revenue growth of 45% from the 2005 nine-month period while |
||||||
|
operating expenses have increased by only 15% in the same period. |
||||||
|
. This increase was the result of continued focus on expense control and continuing to leverage the |
||||||
|
existing sales force and partners to generate incremental revenue. |
||||||
|
Acquisition |
||||||
|
. On May 23, 2006, DBTK completed the acquisition of Sunbelt System Software S.A.S., which is |
||||||
|
now known as Double-Take Software S.A.S., or Double-Take EMEA. |
||||||
|
. From 1998 through the acquisition date, Double-Take EMEA was the principal or exclusive |
||||||
|
distributor of DBTK's software in our European, Middle Eastern and African markets and a |
||||||
|
certified Double-Take training organization. |
||||||
|
. Sales of DBTK's software and related services generated 93% of Double-Take EMEA's revenue |
||||||
|
in 2005. |
||||||
|
. The acquisition of Double-Take EMEA has provided DBTK with a direct presence in the |
||||||
|
European, Middle Eastern and African markets, the opportunity to further our strategic initiative to |
||||||
|
increase revenue generated outside of the United States, and opportunities for improved margins |
||||||
|
. The inclusion of Double-Take EMEA's assets and operations in the business since May 23, |
||||||
|
2006 has contributed to a significant increase in the size of the business. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
. Primary competitors include EMC (Legato), Neverfail, Symantec (Veritas) and CA, Inc. |
||||||
|
(XOsoft). |
||||||
|
. All competitors offer a variety of data protection and recovery solutions, some of which may |
||||||
|
offer features that DBTK does not offer or have more attractive pricing |
||||||
|
Use of $43.5 in IPO proceeds from sale of 5mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intend to sell 2.5mm shares) |
||||||
|
. $33.3 million for working capital and other general corporate purposes. |
||||||
|
. In addition, expects to use $10.2 million to fund a mandatory payment to the holders of our |
||||||
|
Series B convertible preferred stock in connection with the conversion of all of the outstanding |
||||||
|
shares of our Series B convertible preferred stock immediately before the completion of the |
||||||
|
offering. |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
Genesis Lease Limited |
GLS, C+, 6 |
|||||
|
aircraft lessor |
Post-IPO shrs: 31.1mm |
|||||
|
Limerick, Ireland |
2005 |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|||
|
Rental Rev ($mm) |
$160 |
$125 |
Cap (mm) |
|||
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$34 |
$27 |
$689 |
|||
|
Profit (loss) % |
21% |
22% |
@$22 |
|||
|
EBIDTDA ($mm) |
$146 |
$112 |
||||
|
EBIDTDA % |
91% |
90% |
||||
|
# of aircraft (end of period) |
41 |
41 |
||||
|
# of leases (end of period) |
30 |
30 |
||||
|
*12% tax rate |
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
|||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Genesis Lease (GLS) |
$689 |
4.1 |
19 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
89% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Note: |
||||||
|
An affiliate of GE has agreed to purchase from GLS, in a private placement exempt from |
||||||
|
registration pursuant to Section 4(2) of the Securities Act of 1933 that will be consummated |
||||||
|
concurrently with this offering, 3,450,000 ADSs at a price per share equal to the initial public |
||||||
|
offering price. |
||||||
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. A financial transaction |
||||||
|
. Creates a public company while simultaneously providing a buyer for 41 of GE's planes |
||||||
|
Dividend policy |
||||||
|
. Policy is to pay a quarterly dividend of $.47 per share |
||||||
|
. Annualized rate at price range mid-point of $22 is 8.5% |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Newly organized company formed to acquire and lease commercial jet aircraft and other aviation |
||||||
|
assets. Formed at the direction of GECAS to acquire an Initial Portfolio from affiliates of GE and |
||||||
|
to develop an independent aircraft leasing business. |
||||||
|
. Aircraft are leased under long-term contracts to a diverse group of airlines throughout the world. |
||||||
|
Strategy is to grow the portfolio through accretive acquisitions of aircraft, while paying regular |
||||||
|
quarterly dividends to shareholders. |
||||||
|
. Intends to leverage the worldwide platform of GE Commercial Aviation Services Limited, or |
||||||
|
GECAS, to service the portfolio of leases, allowing management to focus on executing our growth |
||||||
|
strategy. |
||||||
|
Initial portfolio |
||||||
|
. Will acquire the initial portfolio of 41 commercial jet aircraft from affiliates of GE with the net |
||||||
|
proceeds of this offering, a concurrent private placement of shares to GE and an $810 million |
||||||
|
aircraft lease securitization. |
||||||
|
. As of September 30, 2006, the weighted average age of the initial portfolio aircraft was 5.5 years, |
||||||
|
and the weighted average remaining lease term was 5.9 years |
||||||
|
. 38 of the 41 leases in the Initial Portfolio are subject to fixed rental rates. |
||||||
|
. Leases are scheduled to expire between 2008 and 2017 |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
As the exclusive servicer of GLS aircraft, GECAS competes in leasing, re-leasing and selling GLS |
||||||
|
aircraft with other aircraft leasing companies, including ILFC, AerCap, Aircastle, Aviation Capital |
||||||
|
Group, AWAS, Babcock & Brown, Boeing Capital, CIT Aerospace, GATX Air, Pegasus |
||||||
|
Aviation, RBS Aviation Capital and Singapore Aircraft Leasing Enterprise. |
||||||
|
Use of $581mm in IPO proceeds plus $76mm in a concurrent private placement |
||||||
|
with GE at the offering price) |
||||||
|
> The purchase price for the Initial Portfolio will be determined based on the initial public offering |
||||||
|
price in this offering, and will not be based upon a valuation of such assets. |
||||||
|
> The purchase price will be equal to the sum of: |
||||||
|
o net proceeds from thes offering (estimated at $580.7 million), plus |
||||||
|
o proceeds from the sale of shares to an affiliate of GE in the concurrent private placement |
||||||
|
(estimated at $75.9 million), plus |
||||||
|
o net proceeds of $804.5 million from the securitization, after deducting the initial purchasers' |
||||||
|
discount and fees, minus |
||||||
|
o $12.0 million to pay expenses related to the formation, this offering and the securitization, |
||||||
|
minus |
||||||
|
o a $20.0 million cash balance that will be retained for general corporate purposes |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
Guidance Software |
GUID, B-, 8 |
|||||
|
forensic software |
Post-IPO shrs: 22mm |
|||||
|
Pasadena, CA |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$18 |
$28 |
$40 |
$27 |
$39 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
62% |
64% |
70% |
70% |
71% |
$297 |
|
Sales & Marketing % |
36% |
39% |
41% |
41% |
49% |
@$13.5 |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
($1.6) |
($0.8) |
$1.5 |
$1.1 |
($2.3) |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
-9% |
-3% |
4% |
4% |
-6% |
|
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Guidance Soft (GUID) |
$297 |
5.7 |
-97 |
8.9 |
8.9 |
23% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
|
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. Top line revenue increases, gross margin stable at 70% |
||||||
|
. Recent loss due to a major increase in sales & marketing budgets |
||||||
|
. Sales & marketing expense increased 74% comparing Sept 30 nine months, |
||||||
|
based on a new product introduction & supporting existing products |
||||||
|
. Conservative accounting policy for sales & marketing expenses: expense immediately, account for |
||||||
|
revenue over the lifetime of the software license |
||||||
|
. GUID believes no single company competes across all of its markets |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Software solutions for digital investigations, including EnCase® Enterprise, a network-enabled |
||||||
|
product primarily for large corporations and government agencies, and EnCase® Forensic, a |
||||||
|
desktop-based product primarily for law enforcement agencies. |
||||||
|
. The EnCase® Enterprise customer base currently includes more than 95 of the Fortune 500 |
||||||
|
. GUID has deployed 24,000 units of EnCase® Forensic software to more than 1,000 government |
||||||
|
and law enforcement agencies and other customers worldwide. |
||||||
|
Comparison of the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 |
||||||
|
Revenues |
||||||
|
Revenues were $39.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 compared to $27.2 |
||||||
|
million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005, an increase of $12.2 million or 44.9%. |
||||||
|
. Product revenue was $22.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 compared to |
||||||
|
$15.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005, an increase of $7.0 million or |
||||||
|
44.8%. The increase in product revenue was a result of increased selling and marketing efforts, |
||||||
|
and a significant increase in head count of commissioned sales personnel. |
||||||
|
. In addition, in late 2005 GUID introduced the eDiscovery Suite, which has substantially |
||||||
|
increased the average transaction size, although the number of eDiscovery Suite transactions has |
||||||
|
been limited. |
||||||
|
. The first two quarters of each fiscal year is typically the period of lowest product sales due to the |
||||||
|
seasonal budgetary cycles of customers. The third quarter is seasonally the strongest sales quarter |
||||||
|
due to federal government customers. |
||||||
|
Services and maintenance revenues |
||||||
|
. Were $17.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 compared to $11.7 million for |
||||||
|
the nine months ended September 30, 2005, an increase of $5.3 million or 45.1%. |
||||||
|
. Services revenue grew by $2.6 million as a result of increased consulting revenue of $1.9 million |
||||||
|
and increased software implementation revenue of $0.6 million as well as increased training |
||||||
|
revenue of $0.1 million. |
||||||
|
. In addition, maintenance revenue grew by $2.1 million as a result of increased new product sales |
||||||
|
and increases in maintenance renewal rates. |
||||||
|
Selling & Marketing Costs |
||||||
|
Selling & Marketing Costs, up 74% for the first nine months |
||||||
|
Significan accounting policy--expense immediately, receive revenue over license period |
||||||
|
. Although GUID expenses its sales commissions at the time the related sale is invoiced to the |
||||||
|
client, revenues from EnCase® Forensic product, Premium License Support Program and |
||||||
|
consulting, maintenance and implementation are recognized over the relevant performance orver |
||||||
|
license period. |
||||||
|
. Accordingly, GUID generally experiences a delay between increased selling and marketing |
||||||
|
expenses and the recognition of a portion of the corresponding revenue. |
||||||
|
. GUID expects significant increases in selling and marketing expenses as it hires additional |
||||||
|
selling and marketing personnel and increase the level and scope of selling activities. |
||||||
|
More on increases in sales & marketing |
||||||
|
. Selling and marketing expenses increased to $19.2 million for the nine months ended September |
||||||
|
30, 2006 compared to $11.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005, an increase of |
||||||
|
$8.1 million or 74.0%. |
||||||
|
. Selling and marketing expenses increased to $19.2 million for the nine months ended September |
||||||
|
30, 2006 compared to $11.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005, an increase of |
||||||
|
$8.1 million or 74.0%. |
||||||
|
. The increase was primarily attributable to an increase in selling and marketing compensation |
||||||
|
expense for marketing personnel and commissioned sales representatives of $4.4 million, |
||||||
|
combined with an increase in travel expenses of $0.7 million and an increase in costs of $1.3 |
||||||
|
million associated with Computer and Enterprise Investigations Conference ("CEIC®") and other |
||||||
|
tradeshows. |
||||||
|
. In addition, facilities costs and other overhead costs increased by $0.7 million. |
||||||
|
. Selling and marketing head count increased from 80 to 118 at the respective period ends. |
||||||
|
. Selling and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue increased to 48.9% for the nine |
||||||
|
months ended September 30, 2006 from 40.7% for the nine months ended September 30, 2005, |
||||||
|
primarily due to the hiring of new selling and marketing personnel who typically require several |
||||||
|
quarters to generate corresponding increases in revenue and bearing, for the first time, all costs |
||||||
|
associated with CEIC®, which in prior years was co-hosted. |
||||||
|
EnCase® software solutions: |
||||||
|
o Enable enterprise-class digital investigations |
||||||
|
GUID's software is designed to conduct enterprise-class digital investigations that operate across |
||||||
|
complex and heterogeneous network environments that can comprise up to hundreds of thousands |
||||||
|
of servers, desktops and laptops. |
||||||
|
o Lower the cost of digital investigations |
||||||
|
GUID's software lowers the cost of conducting digital investigations by automating processes that |
||||||
|
are typically done by outside consultants, enabling our customers to internalize digital |
||||||
|
investigation tasks, such as responding to eDiscovery requests and investigating corporate policy |
||||||
|
violations or IT security breaches. |
||||||
|
o Discover concealed data |
||||||
|
GUID's software enables comprehensive digital investigations by discovering deleted or |
||||||
|
concealed data. Using EnCase® software, customers are able to collect data from sectors on the |
||||||
|
hard drive in a raw format and analyze the entire accessible hard drive, including all files and |
||||||
|
obscure areas. |
||||||
|
o Minimize disruption |
||||||
|
EnCase® software architecture enables customers to easily access the servers, desktops or laptops |
||||||
|
across their entire network from a single, centralized console. This enables our customers to |
||||||
|
minimize any disruption to business and to preserve the confidentiality of any digital |
||||||
|
investigation, even from the persons whose computers are being searched. |
||||||
|
o Preserve data for use in court |
||||||
|
EnCase® software, which is the recognized standard for digital investigations in the legal |
||||||
|
community, collects data in a forensically-sound manner in order for it to be used as evidence in |
||||||
|
court. Since its introduction in 1998, EnCase® software has been used in thousands of criminal |
||||||
|
and civil cases, including a number of recent high profile criminal cases such as the Scott Peterson |
||||||
|
murder case and the BTK killer case. |
||||||
|
eDiscovery Suite released in late 2005 |
||||||
|
. The release of the eDiscovery Suite in late 2005 has increased the average transaction size, |
||||||
|
although the number of eDiscovery Suite transactions has been limited. |
||||||
|
. On an ongoing basis, GUID anticipates that sales of its EnCase® Enterprise products and related |
||||||
|
services, in particular the eDiscovery Suite solution, will comprise a substantial portion of future |
||||||
|
revenues. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
GUID says that while no single company competes with GUID across all of markets, it faces |
||||||
|
significant competition in each of the core markets in which GUID operates. Principal |
||||||
|
competitors include: |
||||||
|
o computer forensic companies that develop forensic tools that compete with GUID's EnCase® |
||||||
|
Forensic product; |
||||||
|
o managed security services companies which offer managed incident response services which |
||||||
|
compete against GUID's incident response services; and |
||||||
|
o consulting companies, such as the Big 4 consulting/accounting firms and Kroll Ontrack, that |
||||||
|
offer consulting services for traditional digital investigations and eDiscovery in place of |
||||||
|
implementing a packaged software solution. |
||||||
|
Principal indirect competitors include: |
||||||
|
o traditional security companies such as McAfee and Symantec, that offer blocking and monitoring |
||||||
|
technologies for incident response; |
||||||
|
o storage infrastructure companies, such as EMC, ZANTAZ and Symantec, which advertise some |
||||||
|
eDiscovery capabilities to complement their core product offerings around content management, |
||||||
|
e-mail archiving and storage software; |
||||||
|
o internal IT organizations that develop their own security systems; and |
||||||
|
o providers of corporate insurance to the Global 2000, whose policies permit and pay for the use of |
||||||
|
consulting or other services to defend against a specific case but not the purchase of products or |
||||||
|
software to enhance the overall digital investigative capability for the company. |
||||||
|
Use of $37mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 3.25mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intend to sell 1.75mm shares) |
||||||
|
o expansion of domestic and international sales and marketing organizations, which may include |
||||||
|
increasing the number of direct sales personnel, expanding reseller and other sales relationships |
||||||
|
with third-parties and investing in advertising and marketing activities to increase brand |
||||||
|
awareness; |
||||||
|
o further development of product offerings, which may include increasing the number of software |
||||||
|
engineering and quality assurance personnel; and |
||||||
|
o pursuit of other corporate opportunities that may arise in the future, including possible |
||||||
|
acquisitions of complementary businesses, technologies or other assets. |
||||||
|
. In addition, may use a portion of the net proceeds together with our existing cash balances to |
||||||
|
fund a final distribution to existing pre-IPO stockholders |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
IPG Photonics |
IPGP, B-, 7 |
|||||
|
fiber lasers & amplifiers for commncatn |
Post-IPO shrs: 43.5mm |
|||||
|
Oxford, MA |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$34 |
$61 |
$97 |
$62 |
$101 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
-14% |
30% |
35% |
33% |
43% |
$631 |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
($3) |
$2 |
$7 |
$4 |
$13 |
@$14.5 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-8% |
3% |
8% |
6% |
12% |
|
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
IPG Photonics (IPGP) |
$631 |
4.7 |
36 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
21% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. Top line revenue increases accompanied by significant gross margin increase |
||||||
|
. IPGP believes that it is the only fiber laser manufacturer that sells industrial-grade continuous |
||||||
|
wave fiber lasers with output power levels of over 500 watts. |
||||||
|
. However, expects increased competition from fiber laser manufacturers or alternative solid state technologies |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. IPGP believes it is the leading developer and manufacturer of a broad line of high-performance fiber |
||||||
|
lasers for diverse applications in numerous markets. Since founding in 1990, has pioneered the |
||||||
|
development and commercialization of optical fiber-based lasers. |
||||||
|
. IPGP's diverse lines of low, mid and high-power lasers and amplifiers are used in materials |
||||||
|
processing, communications, medical and advanced applications |
||||||
|
Comparison of Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
Net sales |
||||||
|
. Net sales increased by $38.9 million, or 62.5%, to $101.1 million in the nine months ended |
||||||
|
September 30, 2006 from $62.2 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2005. |
||||||
|
. This increase was primarily attributable to a higher volume of sales of fiber lasers in materials |
||||||
|
processing applications, where net sales increased by $34.7 million or by 89.1% of the total |
||||||
|
increase in net sales. |
||||||
|
. Medical applications accounted for 5.8% of the total increase in net sales. |
||||||
|
. The growth in net sales resulted primarily from increased market acceptance of high-power fiber |
||||||
|
lasers and the continued growth in sales of low and medium-power fiber lasers for materials |
||||||
|
processing. Net sales growth was also driven by increases in sales in the medical market for |
||||||
|
aesthetic applications. |
||||||
|
Cost of sales and gross margin |
||||||
|
. Cost of sales increased by $16.2 million, or 38.8%, to $58.0 million in the nine months ended |
||||||
|
September 30, 2006 from $41.8 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2005, as a result |
||||||
|
of the increased sales volume. |
||||||
|
. Gross margin increased to 42.7% in the nine months ended September 30, 2006 from 32.9% in |
||||||
|
the nine months ended September 30, 2005 because of a reduction in the cost of internally |
||||||
|
manufactured optical components, including semiconductor diodes, more favorable absorption of |
||||||
|
fixed manufacturing costs as a result of higher production volumes and, to a lesser extent, a shift |
||||||
|
in product mix including increased sales of higher-margin low and mid-power fiber lasers and |
||||||
|
reduced sales of certain types of lower-margin fiber amplifiers. |
||||||
|
New generation of lasers |
||||||
|
. Fiber lasers are a new generation of lasers that combine the advantages of semiconductor diodes, |
||||||
|
such as their long life and high efficiency, with the high amplification and precise beam qualities |
||||||
|
of specialty optical fibers to deliver superior performance, reliability and usability at a generally |
||||||
|
lower total cost of ownership compared to CO2 and crystal lasers. |
||||||
|
. IPGP products are displacing traditional lasers in many current applications and enabling new |
||||||
|
applications for lasers. |
||||||
|
. Vertically integrated operations allow IPGP to rapidly develop and integrate advanced products, |
||||||
|
protect proprietary technology and ensure access to critical components while reducing |
||||||
|
manufacturing costs |
||||||
|
Sales & distribution |
||||||
|
. IPGP sells products globally to original equipment manufacturers, or OEMs, system integrators |
||||||
|
and end users. |
||||||
|
. Markets products internationally primarily through a direct sales force and also through |
||||||
|
agreements with independent sales representatives and distributors. |
||||||
|
. Has sales offices in the United States, Germany, Italy, United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, |
||||||
|
India and Russia. |
||||||
|
Employees |
||||||
|
As of September 30, 2006, had 1,000 full-time employees |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
> Materials processing market |
||||||
|
. Competes with makers of high-power conventional CO2 and solid-state lasers, including Lasag |
||||||
|
Ltd., Rofin-Sinar Technologies, Inc., and Trumpf Inc., and makers of mid and low-power |
||||||
|
conventional CO2 and solid-state lasers such as Coherent, Inc., GSI Group Inc., Newport |
||||||
|
Corporation and Rofin-Sinar Technologies, Inc. |
||||||
|
. Also competes with fiber laser makers including Keopsys SA, Mitsubishi Cable Industries, Ltd., |
||||||
|
Miyachi Unitek Corporation, MPB Communications Inc., SPI Lasers plc and JDS Uniphase |
||||||
|
Corporation for low and/or mid-power lasers. |
||||||
|
In addition |
||||||
|
. IPGP believes that it is the only fiber laser manufacturer that sells industrial-grade continuous |
||||||
|
wave fiber lasers with output power levels of over 500 watts. |
||||||
|
. IPGP says that while it is currently a technology and price leader in fiber lasers and has a large |
||||||
|
share of the fiber laser market as compared to competitors that make fiber lasers, IPGP expects |
||||||
|
competition from established laser makers that may have started or may start programs to develop |
||||||
|
and sell fiber lasers or alternative new solid state laser technologies. |
||||||
|
> Because many of the components required to develop and produce low-power fiber lasers are |
||||||
|
becoming increasingly available, barriers to entry are decreasing, and IPGP expects new |
||||||
|
competitive products to enter the market. For example, several well-established conventional laser |
||||||
|
manufacturers are known to be interested in developing and licensing technology for fiber lasers. |
||||||
|
> Communications market |
||||||
|
. Principal competitors are manufacturers of high-power fiber amplifiers and DWDM systems, |
||||||
|
such as Avanex Corporation, Bookham Inc., the Scientific-Atlanta division of Cisco Systems, Inc. |
||||||
|
(Scientific-Atlanta), Emcore Corporation, JDS Uniphase Corporation and MPB Communications |
||||||
|
Use of $82mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 6.24mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intend to sell 2.76mm shares) |
||||||
|
. To repurchase series B warrants, to repay debt |
||||||
|
. For general corporate purposes, which may include working capital, expansion of manufacturing |
||||||
|
facilities, purchases of equipment and expansion of our applications development and service |
||||||
|
capabilities |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
Isilon Systems |
ISLN, C, 7 |
|||||
|
digital content clustered storage sys |
Post-IPO shrs: 60.5mm |
|||||
|
Seattle, WA |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$1 |
$8 |
$21 |
$12 |
$42 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
33% |
45% |
45% |
40% |
52% |
$545 |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
($8) |
($13) |
($19) |
($15) |
($15) |
@$9 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-638% |
-162% |
-91% |
-122% |
-36% |
|
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Isilon Systems (ISLN) |
$545 |
9.7 |
-27 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
14% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Compare & contrast |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
Dec 15 |
|
|
Network Appliance (NTAP) |
$15,310 |
6.1 |
57 |
7.8 |
10.8 |
$41.60 |
|
Riverbed Tech (RVBD) |
$1,950 |
25.8 |
-109 |
18.4 |
18.4 |
$29.71 |
|
Isilon Systems (ISLN) |
$1,384 |
24.7 |
-69 |
169 |
786 |
$22.87 |
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. Significant top line revenue growth |
||||||
|
. Gross margin increased to 52% for the nine months ended Sept 3, 2006 |
||||||
|
. Still losing significant amounts of money |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. ISLN believes it is the leading provider of clustered storage systems for digital content, based on |
||||||
|
customer adoption, breadth of product offerings and technology capabilities. |
||||||
|
Market need |
||||||
|
. As more information is recorded and communicated in images and pictures rather than text and |
||||||
|
words, the volume of digital content - which includes video, audio, digital images, computer |
||||||
|
models, PDF files, scanned images, reference information, test and simulation data and other |
||||||
|
unstructured data - is growing rapidly. |
||||||
|
. Enterprises are utilizing this digital content to create new products and services, generate new |
||||||
|
revenue streams, accelerate research and development cycles and improve their overall |
||||||
|
competitiveness. |
||||||
|
Worldwide market |
||||||
|
External disk storage systems |
||||||
|
The worldwide market for external disk storage systems will grow from $17.4 billion in 2005 to |
||||||
|
approximately $22.7 billion in 2010, according to estimates from a May 2006 market analysis |
||||||
|
report by International Data Corporation, or IDC. |
||||||
|
Dedicated storage systems to grow much faster |
||||||
|
. The market for storage systems dedicated to digital content is estimated to grow at a much faster |
||||||
|
rate. According to a January 2006 research report by the Enterprise Strategy Group, or ESG, |
||||||
|
certain industries including multimedia, oil and gas, scientific research, healthcare, personal |
||||||
|
Internet services and software development will experience rapid growth in file-based storage |
||||||
|
capacity. |
||||||
|
. For example, in disk-based digital archiving, which is one portion of the market ISLN systems |
||||||
|
address, ESG forecasts that the demand for storage capacity will grow from 377 petabytes in 2005 |
||||||
|
to nearly 11,000 petabytes in 2010 |
||||||
|
. Representing a 96% compound annual growth rate, with the substantial majority of this stored |
||||||
|
information comprised of unstructured content, such as office documents, web pages, digital |
||||||
|
images and audio and video files. |
||||||
|
ISLN's dedicated, clustered storage solution |
||||||
|
. Recognizing the growth and importance of this type of data, ISLN designed and developed its |
||||||
|
clustered storage systems specifically to address the needs of storing and managing digital content. |
||||||
|
. ISLN systems are comprised of three or more nodes. Each node is a self-contained, rack |
||||||
|
mountable device that contains industry standard hardware, including disk drives, a central |
||||||
|
processing unit, or CPU, memory chips and network interfaces, and is integrated with ISLN's |
||||||
|
proprietary OneFS® operating system software, which unifies a cluster of nodes into a single |
||||||
|
shared resource. |
||||||
|
. To date, ISLN has sold our clustered storage systems to more than 300 customers across a wide |
||||||
|
range of industries. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
. Primary competitors include large traditional networked storage vendors including EMC |
||||||
|
Corporation, Hewlett-Packard Company, Hitachi Data Systems Corporation, International |
||||||
|
Business Machines Corporation, Network Appliance, Inc. and Sun Microsystems, Inc. |
||||||
|
. In addition, competes against internally developed storage solutions as well as combined third |
||||||
|
party software and hardware solutions. |
||||||
|
. Also, a number of new, privately held companies are currently attempting to enter ISLN's |
||||||
|
market, some of which may become significant competitors in the future. |
||||||
|
. Some of competitors, including EMC and Network Appliance, have made acquisitions of |
||||||
|
businesses that allow them to offer more directly competitive and comprehensive solutions than |
||||||
|
they had previously offered |
||||||
|
Use of $67mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. $10.1mm to repay debt |
||||||
|
. Remaining net proceeds for working capital and other general corporate purposes, including |
||||||
|
capital expenditures of $11.0 million in 2007 and expenditures for product development and |
||||||
|
expanding manufacturing, engineering, operations, marketing and sales departments |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
MEDecision |
MEDE, C+, 6 |
|||||
|
software/services for healthcare payers |
Post-IPO shrs:15mm |
|||||
|
Wayne, PA |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$21 |
$28 |
$39 |
$24 |
$34 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
52% |
54% |
59% |
56% |
69% |
$187 |
|
Operating income % |
1.2% |
2.6% |
8.2% |
2.2% |
0.2% |
@$12.5 |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
($0.5) |
($0.0) |
$2.2 |
($0.6) |
($2.8) |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
-2% |
0% |
6% |
-3% |
-8% |
|
|
Includes loss on convertible stock options |
$2.4 |
|||||
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
MEDecision (MEDE) |
$187 |
4.1 |
-50 |
5.2 |
8.0 |
37% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. Inconsistent profit history |
||||||
|
. Limited market |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Software, services and clinical content to healthcare payers that allow them to improve the |
||||||
|
quality and affordability of healthcare provided to their members and increase their administrative |
||||||
|
efficiency. |
||||||
|
. MEDE's Collaborative Care Management solution analyzes data, automates payer workflow |
||||||
|
processes and electronically connects payers, healthcare providers and patients, providing them |
||||||
|
with a common view of the patient's health that helps to foster better clinical decision making. |
||||||
|
Small market |
||||||
|
MEDE operates in a relatively small market, where it has 56 of approximately 350 potential |
||||||
|
customers |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
. MEDE's Integrated Medical Management suite competes with Landacorp, Inc., McKesson |
||||||
|
Corporation and The TriZetto Group, Inc., each of which offer products that compete with one or |
||||||
|
more modules in MEDE's suite of solutions |
||||||
|
Use of $34.6mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 3.3mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intend to sell 2.2mm shares) |
||||||
|
. $9.5 million to pay accrued preferred stock dividends |
||||||
|
. Remaining proceeds for general corporate purposes, including working capital needs |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
NewStar Financial |
NEWS, C+, 6 |
|||||
|
debt financing for mid-sized businesses |
Post-IPO shrs: 33.5mm |
|||||
|
Boston, MA |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
||
|
Net interest income |
$15.2 |
$8.8 |
$32.1 |
Cap (mm) |
||
|
Net interest income after credit losses |
49% |
40% |
79% |
$535 |
||
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
($6) |
($6) |
$5 |
@$16 |
||
|
Profit (loss) % |
-39% |
-65% |
15% |
|||
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
NewStar Financial NEWS |
$535 |
12.5 |
82 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
33% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. Profitable for the nine months ended Sep 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
. Notice the jump in net interest income after credit losses. Is that ratio sustainable? |
||||||
|
. Pricing at 1.5x book value |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Commercial finance company that provides customized debt financing solutions to middle- |
||||||
|
market businesses, mid-sized specialty finance companies, issuers of asset-backed and commercial |
||||||
|
mortgage-backed securities, and commercial real estate borrowers. |
||||||
|
. Principally focuses on the direct origination of loans and other debt products that meet risk and |
||||||
|
return parameters. |
||||||
|
. Direct origination provides direct access to customers' managements, enhances due diligence and |
||||||
|
allows significant input into customers' capital structures and direct negotiation of transaction |
||||||
|
Comparison of the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 |
||||||
|
Interest income |
||||||
|
. Interest income increased $57.9 million, from $19.1 million for the nine months ended |
||||||
|
September 30, 2005 to $77.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. |
||||||
|
. The increase was primarily due to growth in average interest earning assets of $755.6 million, as |
||||||
|
well as an increase in the yield on average interest earning assets from 8.18% to 9.65% primarily |
||||||
|
driven by an increase in prevailing interest rates, offset in part by a reduction in credit spreads. |
||||||
|
Interest expense |
||||||
|
. Interest expense increased $34.6 million, from $10.3 million for the nine months ended |
||||||
|
September 30, 2005 to $45.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. |
||||||
|
. The increase was primarily due to an increase in average borrowings of $664.9 million to fund |
||||||
|
growth in interest earning assets, as well as an increase in our cost of borrowings. |
||||||
|
. The increase in the cost of borrowings, from 5.41% to 6.53%, was primarily attributable to an |
||||||
|
increase in LIBOR of approximately 1.3%, partially offset by negotiated lower borrowing spreads |
||||||
|
on credit facilities and a greater reliance on lower cost term debt securitizations. |
||||||
|
Net interest margin |
||||||
|
. Net interest margin increased from 3.77% for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 to |
||||||
|
4.02% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. |
||||||
|
. The increase in net interest margin was due to an increase in our net interest spread, partially |
||||||
|
offset by an increase in debt to equity ratio. |
||||||
|
. The net interest spread, the difference between gross yield on interest earning assets and the total |
||||||
|
cost of interest bearing liabilities, increased from 2.78% to 3.11%. |
||||||
|
Provision for credit losses |
||||||
|
. The provision for credit losses increased from $5.3 million for the nine months ended September |
||||||
|
30, 2005 to $6.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. |
||||||
|
. The increase in the provision was primarily due to the growth and change in the mix of the loans |
||||||
|
in the loan portfolio. |
||||||
|
Three specialized lending groups |
||||||
|
o Middle Market Corporate, which originates, structures and underwrites senior debt and, to a |
||||||
|
lesser extent, second lien and mezzanine debt for companies with annual EBITDA typically |
||||||
|
between $5 million and $50 million; |
||||||
|
o Structured Products, which originates, structures and underwrites senior and subordinated debt |
||||||
|
for mid-sized specialty finance companies with assets typically between $25 million and $250 |
||||||
|
million and invests in subordinated tranches of asset-backed securitizations; and |
||||||
|
o Commercial Real Estate, which originates, structures and underwrites first mortgage debt and, to |
||||||
|
a lesser extent, subordinated debt, primarily to finance acquisitions of real estate properties |
||||||
|
typically valued between $10 million and $50 million and invests in subordinated tranches of |
||||||
|
commercial mortgage-backed securitizations. |
||||||
|
Portfolio |
||||||
|
. As of September 30, 2006 the loan portfolio, consisted of 162 transactions that totaled |
||||||
|
approximately $1.5 billion of funding commitments, representing $1.3 billion of balances |
||||||
|
outstanding and $238.5 million of funds committed but undrawn. |
||||||
|
. NEWS finances its loan portfolio through a combination of debt and equity. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
Competes with a large number of financial services companies, including: |
||||||
|
o specialty& commercial finance companies, including business development companies & REITs; |
||||||
|
o private investment funds and hedge funds; |
||||||
|
o national and regional banks; |
||||||
|
o investment banks; and |
||||||
|
o insurance companies. |
||||||
|
Use of $161mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. Repay $37.5mm in senior debt |
||||||
|
. Pending the senior debt application of the net proceeds, NEWS intends to utilize the net proceeds |
||||||
|
from this offering to repay short-term indebtedness under credit facilities or invest in short-term, |
||||||
|
investment-grade, interest bearing securities |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
Obagi Medical Products |
OMPI, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
topical skincare products |
Post-IPO shrs: 22mm |
|||||
|
Long Beach, CA |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$49 |
$56 |
$65 |
$46 |
$55 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
84% |
84% |
82% |
83% |
84% |
$305 |
|
Operating income % |
37% |
38% |
32% |
32% |
20% |
@$14 |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$11.3 |
$14.1 |
$9.0 |
$6.5 |
$3.6 |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
23% |
25% |
14% |
14% |
7% |
|
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Obagi Medical (OMPI) |
$305 |
4.2 |
64 |
-80.3 |
-20.6 |
25% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Summary |
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|
. OMPI believes that the Nu-Derm Condition and Enchance System is the only clinically |
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|
proven, prescription-based, topical skin health system on the market that has been shown to |
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|
enhance the skin's overall health by correcting photo-damage at the cellular level, resulting in a |
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|
reduction of the visible signs of aging. |
||||||
|
. In July 2006, OMPI launched the Nu-Derm Condition and Enhance System, for use in |
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|
conjunction with commonly performed cosmetic procedures including Botox injections. |
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|
. Resulting in an increase of GS&A % to 63% from 50%, and decline in the profit margin % |
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|
Business |
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|
. Specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the aesthetic and therapeutic skin health markets. |
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|
. Develops and commercialize prescription-based, topical skin health systems that enable |
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physicians to treat a range of skin conditions, including pre-mature aging, photo-damage, |
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|
hyperpigmentation, acne and soft tissue deficits, such as fine lines and wrinkles. |
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|
Nine months ended September 30, 2006 |
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|
compared to nine months ended September 30, 2005 |
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|
Selling, general and administrative, increased to 63% of sales, up from 50% |
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|
> OMPI expects selling, general and administrative expenses to decrease as a percentage of net |
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|
sales. |
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|
> Selling, general and administrative expenses increased $12.0 million to $34.9 million during the |
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|
nine months ended September 30, 2006, as compared to $22.9 million for the nine months ended |
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|
September 30, 2005. This increase is primarily due to the following: |
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|
(i) a $3.6 million increase due to the employment of additional employees during the nine months |
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|
ended September 30, 2006, as compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2005; |
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|
(ii) a $4.1 million increase in development costs related to our acne and elasticity product lines |
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|
and future product pipeline development; |
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|
(iii) a $2.2 million increase in expenses related to an anticipated initial public offering; |
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|
(iv) a $1.9 million increase in market research and promotion activity aimed towards targeting |
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|
physicians and patients; |
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|
(v) a one-time payment of $0.4 million to Dr. Zein Obagi, or Dr. Obagi, one of the principal |
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|
stockholders and one of our former officers and directors, under a non compete agreement; |
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|
(vi) a $0.2 million increase in new indication sales research and promotions; |
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|
(vii) a $0.2 million increase in sales and marketing volume driven activities; and |
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|
(viii) a $0.2 million increase in non-cash compensation expense due to the adoption of SFAS No. |
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|
123R on January 1, 2006, which was partially offset by a $0.8 million decline in Vitamin C |
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|
product development costs. |
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|
Current products |
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|
. Primary product is the Obagi Nu-Derm System, which OMPI believes is the only clinically |
||||||
|
proven, prescription-based, topical skin health system on the market that has been shown to |
||||||
|
enhance the skin's overall health by correcting photo-damage at the cellular level, resulting in a |
||||||
|
reduction of the visible signs of aging. |
||||||
|
. The primary active ingredients in this system are 4% hydroquinone and OTC skin care agents. In |
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|
April 2004, OMPI introduced the Obagi-C Rx System consisting of a combination of prescription |
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|
and OTC drugs and adjunctive cosmetic skin care products to treat skin conditions resulting from |
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|
sun damage and the oxidative damage of free radicals. |
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|
. The central ingredients in this system are 4% hydroquinone and Vitamin C. |
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|
. In October 2005, we launched the Obagi Professional-C products, a complete line of proprietary, |
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|
non-prescription products, which consists of Vitamin C serums used to reduce the appearance of |
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|
damage to the skin caused by ultraviolet radiation and other environmental influences. |
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|
. In July 2006, OMPI launched the Nu-Derm Condition and Enhance System, for use in |
||||||
|
conjunction with commonly performed cosmetic procedures including Botox injections. |
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|
. OMPI also markets tretinoin, used for the topical treatment of acne in the United States, and |
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|
Obagi Blue Peel products, used to aid the physician in the application of skin peeling actives. |
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|
Future products |
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|
. OMPI focuses research and new product development activities on improving the efficacy of |
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|
established prescription and OTC therapeutic agents by enhancing the penetration of these agents |
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|
across the skin barrier using proprietary technologies collectively known as Penetrating |
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|
Therapeutics. |
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|
. OMPI is currently evaluating new systems to address acne and skin elasticity and, based on |
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|
positive interim clinical results, plans to introduce them to the market in early 2007 |
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|
U.S. distribution |
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|
OMPI markets all of products through a direct sales force in the United States primarily to plastic |
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|
surgeons, dermatologists and other physicians who are focused on aesthetic skin care. |
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|
. As of September 30, 2006, we sold our products to over 4,200 physician-dispensing accounts in |
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|
the United States, with no single customer accounting for more than 5% of our net sales. |
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|
. Current products are not eligible for reimbursement by Medicare or other third-party payors. |
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|
International distribution |
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|
. Markets products internationally through 12 international distribution partners that have sales and |
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|
marketing activities in approximately 35 countries outside of the United States. |
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|
. Much like the business model in the United States, these distributors sell OMPI products through |
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|
direct sales representatives to physicians, or through alternative distribution channels depending |
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|
on regulatory requirements and industry practices |
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|
Competition |
||||||
|
. OMPI believes direct competitors in the physician-dispensed channel include BioMedic from La |
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|
Roche Posay, TNS from Skin Medica, Inc., Kinerase from Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, |
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|
various products from SkinCeuticals a division of L'Oreal S.A., M.D. Forté and PREVAGE from |
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|
Allergan, Inc., Vitamin C and various products from IS Clinical, and Neova from PhotoMedex, |
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|
Inc. |
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|
. Indirect competitors which generally sell skin care products directly to consumers consist of |
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|
large cosmetic companies, including but not limited to The Estee Lauder Companies Inc., Helene |
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|
Curtis Industries, Inc., L'Oreal S.A., Matrix Essentials, Inc., a division of L'Oreal, Procter & |
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|
Gamble Company, Neutrogena, a division of Johnson & Johnson, Revlon, Inc. and Unilever N.V. |
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|
Other companies use medical devices to treat facial aesthetics. |
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|
. If launched, OMPI's acne product will compete with Triaz from Medicis Pharmaceutical |
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|
Corporation, Benzaclin from Dermik Laboratories, Inc., Brevoxyl and Duac from Stiefel |
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|
Laboratories Inc., Benzac® from Galderma Laboratories, L.P. and ZoDerm from Bradley |
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|
Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Our acne product will also indirectly compete with OTC anti-acne products. |
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|
. If launched, OMPI's elasticity system will have clinical evidence of aiding the restoration of |
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|
elasticity and mature elastin in aged skin. OMPI currently knows of no products which have |
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|
clinical evidence to support this claim. However, there are several products which claim to |
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|
enhance elastin. |
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|
. OMPI's products also compete with current and future medical devices, such as lasers, which are |
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|
or will be positioned for a variety of skin enhancements such as facial rejuvenation, dermal |
||||||
|
thickening, acne and other uses. OMPI believes its Obagi Systems are complementary to many of |
||||||
|
these procedures. |
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|
Use of $48.3mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 4mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intend to sell 1.35mm shares) |
||||||
|
. Repay $35mm in debt |
||||||
|
. Remainder will largely be driven by the success of new products and developing technologies |
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|
and the identification of new technology licensing opportunities |
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|
============================== |
||||||
|
Teekay Offshore Prtnrs |
TOO, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
offshore shipping/storage |
Post-IPO shrs: 19.6mm |
|||||
|
Nassau, Bahamas |
2005 |
June 06* |
IPO Mkt |
|||
|
Rev ($mm) |
proforma see |
$678 |
$349 |
Cap (mm) |
||
|
Time charge expense % |
notes below |
21% |
22% |
$392 |
||
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$27 |
$6 |
@$7 |
|||
|
Profit (loss) % |
4% |
2% |
||||
|
EBIDTDA ($mm) |
$198 |
$103 |
||||
|
EBIDTDA % |
29% |
30% |
||||
|
*six months ended June30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Teekay Offshore Pt TOO |
$392 |
0.8 |
33 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
36% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Summary |
||||||
|
. New subsidiary formed in August 2006 by NYSE:TY, $3.21 bb market cap |
||||||
|
. Primarily a financial transaction, proceeds to repay acquisition debt |
||||||
|
Partnership units |
||||||
|
. TOO intends to make minimum quarterly distributions of $0.35 |
||||||
|
. $1.40 annually, at the price range mid-point, 7% annualized distribution |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. An international provider of marine transportation and storage services to the offshore oil |
||||||
|
industry. |
||||||
|
. Formed in August 2006 by Teekay Shipping Corporation (NYSE: TK, $3.21 billion market |
||||||
|
cap), a leading provider of marine services to the global oil and natural gas industries, to further |
||||||
|
develop its operations in the offshore market. |
||||||
|
. TOO plans to leverage the expertise, relationships and reputation of Teekay Shipping |
||||||
|
Corporation and controlled affiliates to pursue growth opportunities in this market. |
||||||
|
. Upon the closing of this offering, Teekay Shipping Corporation will own a 65.0% interest in |
||||||
|
TOO), including a 2.0% general partner interest through our general partner, which Teekay |
||||||
|
Shipping Corporation owns and controls. |
||||||
|
. Upon the closing of this offering, TOO will own a 26.0% interest in Teekay Offshore Operating |
||||||
|
L.P. (or OPCO), which owns and operates the world's largest fleet of shuttle tankers, in addition |
||||||
|
to floating storage and offtake (or FSO) units and double-hull conventional oil tankers. |
||||||
|
. TOO will control OPCO through our ownership of its general partner, and Teekay Shipping |
||||||
|
Corporation will own the remaining 74.0% interest in OPCO. |
||||||
|
Use of $129mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
Repay acquisition debt |
||||||
|
============================== |
||||||
|
US BioEnergy |
USBE, C, 7 |
|||||
|
ethanol |
Post-IPO shrs: 66mm |
|||||
|
Inver Grove Heights, MN |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
||
|
Rev ($mm) |
proforma see |
$105 |
$79 |
$90 |
Cap (mm) |
|
|
Gross Profit % |
notes below |
24% |
25% |
29% |
$1,050 |
|
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$9 |
$9 |
$5 |
@$16 |
||
|
Profit (loss) % |
9% |
11% |
5% |
|||
|
*nine months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
||||||
|
**nine months ended Sept 30, 2006 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
US BioEnergy (USBE) |
$1,050 |
8.7 |
161 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
15% |
|
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
||
|
SCORECARD |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Compare & contrast |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
Dec 8 |
|
|
Aventine Renewable (AVR)* |
$950 |
0.6 |
45 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
$22.72 |
|
AVR includes $10.6mm in other expenses in the annualized Sept quarter |
||||||
|
Verasun Energy, Corp. (VSE) |
$1,710 |
2.9 |
13 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
$22.70 |
|
US BioEnergy (USBE) | ||||||