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Financial Performance & Scoring -- © 2007 Gaskins IPO Desktop/IPOdesktop |
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Pre-IPO analysis, grading & scoring -- updated Jan 26 |
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. Business Model Rating Criteria |
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A = high growth market, potential leader; B = more competitive market; C= 'public venture capital' |
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. Calculations |
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. IPO Price to annualized Sales Ratio -- (Price / Sales) |
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Numerator |
Denominator |
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IPO market capitalization… |
Annualized Sales (from recent results) |
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(post-IPO # of shares times mid-point of IPO price range) |
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. IPO Price to annualized Earnings (loss) -- (Price / Earnings) |
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Numerator |
Denominator |
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IPO market cap |
Annualized Earnings (loss) from the last quarter |
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=================== |
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SEARCH BY COMPANY |
In your browser use 'Edit/Find' to search for companies |
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or ticker for analysis |
scheduled below |
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=================== |
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January 29 week schedule |
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VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Animal Health(AHII) |
$271 |
0.5 |
75 |
3.4 |
-6.8 |
48% |
|
animal health prod dist: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 19mm |
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|
Duncan Enrgy Prtnr DEP |
$402 |
0.5 |
17 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
65% |
|
Formed by EPD, $12bb market cap: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 20mm |
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|
Employers Hldgs (EIG) |
$791 |
1.7 |
5 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
44% |
|
workman's comp ins: B-, 8 |
Post-IPO shrs: 53mm |
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|
HFF (HF) |
$589 |
2.8 |
54 |
70.1 |
266.7 |
39% |
|
real estate fin services: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 37mm |
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Molecular Insight (MIPI) |
$371 |
n/a |
-13 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
20% |
|
molecular imaging & radiotherapeutics: C, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 25mm |
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|
XTENT (XTNT) |
$388 |
n/a |
-16 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
21% |
|
medical devices for artery disease: C, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 23mm |
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=================== |
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SEARCH BY COMPANY |
In your browser use 'Edit/Find' to search for companies |
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|
or ticker for analysis |
scheduled below |
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=================== |
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Analysis, grading, scoring |
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January 29 week |
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Animal Health Intern'l |
AHII, C+, 6 |
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animal health products dist |
June 30 fiscal |
***predecessor*** |
Post-IPO shrs: 19mm |
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|
Westlake TX |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$503 |
$536 |
$571 |
$128 |
$146 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
19% |
18% |
20% |
20% |
18% |
$271 |
|
Operating profit % |
4% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
4% |
@$25 |
|
Interest ($mm) |
5.0 |
5.0 |
14.0 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
|
|
Interest % of revenue |
1.0% |
1.0% |
0.9% |
2.5% |
2.6% |
|
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$10.2 |
$7.3 |
$7.4 |
$0.7 |
$0.9 |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
2.0% |
1.4% |
1.3% |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
|
*three months ended Sept 30 |
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VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Animal Health(AHII) |
$271 |
0.5 |
75 |
3.4 |
-6.8 |
48% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
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|
20 is perfect |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Leveraged buyout on June 30, 2005 |
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Business |
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. Based upon net sales, one of the largest animal health products distributors in the United States. |
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. Distributes more than 35,000 products sourced from more than 1,500 manufacturers. |
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. Currently does not manufacture any products and are dependent on manufacturers for supply of |
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products. |
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. The top 10 manufacturers supplied products that accounted for approximately 60% of our |
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purchases in fiscal 2006, and one manufacturer, Pfizer, Inc., or Pfizer, accounted for approximately 26% of purchases. |
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Customers |
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Principal customers are veterinarians, production animal operators and animal health product |
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retailers |
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Leveraged buy-out |
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. Commenced operations in 1954 as part of a family-owned drug store business. |
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. Following a series of business combinations, renamed Walco International, Inc. in 1972. |
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. On June 30, 2005, investment funds affiliated with Charlesbank Capital Partners LLC, or |
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Charlesbank, acquired the Company. |
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. In September 2006, changed our name to Animal Health International, Inc. |
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Three months ended September 30, 2006 compared to three months ended Sept 30, 2005 |
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Net sales |
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. Net sales increased $18.0 million, or 14.1%, to $145.7 million for the three months ended |
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September 30, 2006, from $127.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2005. |
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. This increase in net sales was primarily attributable to continued expansion into new territories, |
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the addition of new customers and increased sales to existing customers. |
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. In addition, vendor initiated price increases that occurred in June 2005 accelerated approximately |
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$6 million of customer purchases, which might otherwise have occurred in the quarter ended |
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September 30, 2005, into the quarter ended June 30, 2005. |
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. No similar vendor price increases occurred in June 2006. The number of field sales |
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representatives increased to 223 as of September 30, 2006, from 218 as of September 30, 2005, |
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while the number of inside sales representatives decreased to 55 as of Septe |
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Gross profit |
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. Gross profit increased by $2.3 million, or 9.2%, to $27.1 million for the three months ended |
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September 30, 2006, from $24.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2005. |
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. Gross profit as a percentage of sales was 18.6% for the three months ended September 30, 2006, |
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compared to 19.4% for the three months ended September 30, 2005. |
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. Gross profit increased as a result of sales growth but was offset by an unfavorable shift in |
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product mix to more sales of lower gross margin products. |
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Seasonality |
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Seasonality has been caused by product usage, climate changes, promotions and announced price |
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increases. |
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. Historically, sales have been higher during the spring and fall months due to increased sales of |
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production animal health products. |
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. The transportation of production animals during the spring and fall months drives seasonal |
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product usage. The transportation of production animals occurs during various times in the |
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animal's life cycle. |
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SEC cease and desist order |
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"On June 28, 2006, the SEC announced the filing and simultaneous settlement of cease-and-desist |
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proceedings against us and our Chief Executive Officer, James Robison, relating to our purchase |
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of products from Virbac and the filing and simultaneous settlement of a civil action against Virbac |
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Corporation and certain of its officers. The SEC found that from late 1999 through the first half of |
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2003, Virbac improperly reported inflated revenue relating to sales to certain of its distributors, |
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including us. The SEC made the following additional findings: that we caused Virbac to violate |
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Sections 17(a)(2) and 17(a)(3) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Act, |
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and Section 13(a) and 13(b) of the Exchange Act, and that we caused similar violations by Virbac |
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employees, by participating in transactions intended to help Virbac inflate its revenues and thereby |
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achieve its sales and income targets. In the settled cease-and-desist proceedings (in which we and |
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Mr. Robison neither admitted nor denied the SEC's findings), we and Mr. Robison consented to |
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an SEC order to cease and desist from committing or causing any violation and any future |
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violation of certain antifraud provisions set forth in Section 17(a) of the Securities Act, violation |
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of the Exchange Act's reporting, recordkeeping and internal accounting controls provisions, and |
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violation of the Exchange Act's financial record falsification and internal accounting controls |
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circumvention prohibitions, set forth in Sections 13(a) and 13(b) of the Exchange Act and the |
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rules and regulations thereunder. In connection with the settlement, Mr. Robison paid a $50,000 |
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fine to the SEC." |
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Competition |
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. Primary competitors, excluding manufacturers, include the following and other national, |
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regional, local and specialty distributors: Butler Animal Health Supply, LLC, IVESCO, LLC |
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(Iowa Veterinary Supply), Lextron, Inc., MWI Veterinary Supply, Inc., Professional Veterinary |
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Products, Ltd., and Webster Veterinary Supply, a division of Patterson Companies, Inc. |
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. Distribution of animal health products is often characterized as "ethical" and "over-the-counter," |
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commonly referred to as OTC, channels of product movement. Ethical distribution is defined as |
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those sales of goods to licensed veterinarians for use in their professional practice. |
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Use of $91mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 9.1mm shares |
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(2.7mm shares intended to be offered by leveraged buyout sponsor, Charlesbank Capital Partners) |
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o $40.0 million will be used to repay amounts owed under $40.0 million second lien term loan; |
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o $45.0 million will be used to repay amounts owed under $45.0 million second lien term loan; |
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o balance for working capital and general corporate purposes, including potential acquisitions. |
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=================== |
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Duncan Energy Partners |
DEP, C+. 6 |
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Formed by EPD, $12bb market cap |
Post-IPO shrs: 20mm |
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Houston, TX |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 9 mos |
IPO Mkt |
|
|
Rev ($mm) |
$668 |
$749 |
<predecessor |
$947 |
$733 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Operating cost % |
91% |
92% |
proforma=> |
96% |
95% |
$402 |
|
Partnership profit ($mm) |
$53 |
$58 |
$20 |
$23 |
@$20 |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
7.9% |
7.8% |
2.1% |
3.1% |
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VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Duncan Enrgy Prtnr DEP |
$402 |
0.5 |
17 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
65% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
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|
20 is perfect |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Partnership unit offering |
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Business |
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. Delaware limited partnership formed by Enterprise Products Partners in September 2006 to own, |
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operate and acquire a diversified portfolio of midstream energy assets. |
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. Engaged in the business of gathering, transporting, marketing and storing natural gas and |
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transporting and storing natural gas liquids, or NGLs, and petrochemicals. |
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. DEP assets were previously owned by Enterprise Products Partners (NYSE:EDP, $12bb market |
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cap)and are part of its integrated midstream energy asset network, or "value chain," which |
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includes natural gas gathering, processing, transportation and storage; NGL fractionation (or |
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separation), transportation, storage and import and export terminaling; crude oil transportation; |
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and offshore production platform services. |
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EPD ownership |
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. After this offering, DEP will own 66% of the equity interests in the subsidiaries that hold DEP's |
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operating assets |
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. Affiliates of Enterprise Products Partners will continue to own the remaining 34%, after |
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receiving $410mm in cash (see use of proceeds below) for transferred assets, at historical cost |
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Four business segments: |
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o NGL & Petrochemical Storage Services. |
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The NGL & Petrochemical Storage Services segment consists of 33 salt dome caverns located in |
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Mont Belvieu, Texas, with an underground storage capacity of approximately 100 MMBbls, and |
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certain related assets. These assets receive, store and deliver NGLs and petrochemical products for |
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industrial customers located along the upper Texas Gulf Coast, which has the largest concentration |
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of petrochemical plants and refineries in the United States. |
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o Natural Gas Pipelines & Services |
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The Natural Gas Pipelines & Services segment consists of the Acadian Gas system, which is an |
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onshore natural gas pipeline system that gathers, transports, stores and markets natural gas in |
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Louisiana. The Acadian Gas system links natural gas supplies from onshore and offshore Gulf of |
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Mexico developments (including offshore pipelines, continental shelf and deepwater production) |
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with local gas distribution companies, electric generation plants and industrial customers, |
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including those in the Baton Rouge-New Orleans-Mississippi River corridor. In the aggregate, the |
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Acadian Gas system includes over 1,000 miles of high-pressure transmission lines and lateral and |
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gathering lines with an aggregate throughput capacity of approximately one Bcf/d and a leased |
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storage facility with approximately three Bcf of storage capacity. |
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o Petrochemical Pipeline Services |
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The Petrochemical Pipeline Services segment consists of two petrochemical pipeline systems with |
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an aggregate of 284 miles of pipeline. The Lou-Tex Propylene pipeline system consists of a 263 |
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mile pipeline used to transport chemical-grade propylene between Sorrento, Louisiana and Mont |
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Belvieu, Texas. The Sabine Propylene pipeline system consists of a 21-mile pipeline used to |
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transport polymer-grade propylene from Port Arthur, Texas to a pipeline interconnect in Cameron |
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Parish, Louisiana on a transport-or-pay basis. |
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o NGL Pipeline Services |
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The NGL Pipeline Services segment consists of a 290-mile pipeline system used to transport |
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NGLs from two Enterprise Products Partners' facilities located in South Texas to Mont Belvieu, |
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Texas and related interconnections. We acquired a 223-mile segment of the system in August |
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2006, and we are in the process of acquiring and constructing other segments of the pipeline. The |
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system became operational and began transporting NGLs in January 2007 after undergoing |
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modifications, extensions and interconnections. Additional expansions are scheduled to be |
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completed during the remainder of 2007. |
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Use of $243mm in IPO proceeds |
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o distribute $212 million to Enterprise Products OLP as a portion of the cash consideration and |
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reimbursement for capital expenditures relating to the assets contributed |
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o provide $28.2 million to fund capital expenditures to complete planned expansions to the South |
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|
Texas NGL pipeline system and brine production and above-ground storage projects at Mont |
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Belvieu subsequent to the closing of this offering; and |
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o pay $2.9 million of other estimated net expenses associated with this offering and related |
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|
formation transactions |
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And will borrow $200mm more |
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. In addition, will borrow $200 million under a new $300 million credit agreement |
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. And will distribute $198.9 million of these borrowings to Enterprise Products OLP in partial |
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consideration for the assets contributed to upon the closing of this offering. |
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|
=================== |
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Employers Holdings |
EIG, B-, 8 |
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|
workman's compensation insurance |
Post-IPO shrs: 53mm |
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|
Reno, NV |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
Sept 05* |
Sept 06** |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$331 |
$457 |
$497 |
$371 |
$359 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
$96.0 |
$96.0 |
$138.0 |
$63.0 |
$116.0 |
$791 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
29% |
21% |
28% |
17% |
32% |
@$15 |
|
Combined exp & loss ratio |
78% |
85% |
75% |
88% |
64% |
|
|
*nine months ended Sept 30 |
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|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Employers Hldgs (EIG) |
$791 |
1.7 |
5 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
44% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
|
Conversion from a mutual company to a stock company |
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|
Note: |
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|
. P/E ratio based on annualizing Sept quarter results, however… |
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|
. Expense-loss ratio for the Sept quarter very low by historical standards |
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|
. Prices expected to drop, see 'net premiums earned' below |
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|
prices expected to drop |
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|
Dividend policy |
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|
. $0.06 per share of common stock per quarter beginning in the second quarter of 2007. |
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|
. 1.6% annualized rate of $.24 per year |
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|
Business |
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|
. Specialty provider of workers' compensation insurance focused on select small businesses |
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|
engaged in low to medium hazard industries. |
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|
. Historically targeted employers located in several western states, primarily California and |
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|
Nevada. We believe that the market we serve has, to date, been characterized by fewer |
||||||
|
competitors, more attractive pricing and strong persistency, or repeat business, when compared to |
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|
the U.S. workers' compensation insurance industry in general. |
||||||
|
. During 2005, based on net premiums written, was the largest, seventh largest and seventeenth |
||||||
|
largest non-governmental writer of workers' compensation insurance in Nevada, California and |
||||||
|
the United States, respectively, as reported by A.M. Best Company, or A.M. Best. |
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|
. Total assets of $3.2 billion at September 30, 2006. |
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|
Net Premiums Earned |
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|
. Nnet premiums earned have historically been generated primarily in California and Nevada. |
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|
. In California, EIG reduced rates by 60% since September 2003 through January 1, 2007, |
||||||
|
principally because of competitive conditions caused by regulatory changes designed to reduce |
||||||
|
loss costs in that market. |
||||||
|
. Expects that will need to further reduce rates in California in the foreseeable future. |
||||||
|
. Rates in Nevada have been stable and revenue growth is expected to be sourced from business in |
||||||
|
growing sectors in the Nevada economy, such as construction. |
||||||
|
. The bundling of products with those of principal strategic distribution partners, ADP and |
||||||
|
Wellpoint, has contributed to the growth of revenues because of its attractiveness to customers. |
||||||
|
The product bundling provides customers with both convenience and some level of premium |
||||||
|
savings to the employer for both independent lines of coverage, which EIG believes increases the |
||||||
|
persistency of the business. |
||||||
|
Geographic areas |
||||||
|
. In 2005, generated 77.7% and 18.3% of direct premiums written in California and Nevada, |
||||||
|
respectively. |
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|
. Also writes business in seven other states (Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Montana, Texas |
||||||
|
and Utah) and is licensed to write business in six additional states (Florida, Maryland, New |
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|
Mexico, New York, Oregon and Pennsylvania). |
||||||
|
Marketing & sales |
||||||
|
. Markets and sells insurance products through independent local and regional agents and brokers, |
||||||
|
and through our strategic distribution partners, |
||||||
|
. Including principal partners, ADP, Inc., or ADP, and Blue Cross of California, an operating |
||||||
|
subsidiary of Wellpoint, Inc., or Wellpoint. |
||||||
|
. In 2005, policies underwritten directly or through independent agents accounted for 70.6%, of |
||||||
|
gross premiums written, |
||||||
|
. While those underwritten through strategic relationships generated $126.9 million, or 27.7% |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
. Includes other specialty workers' compensation carriers, state agencies, multi-line insurance |
||||||
|
companies, professional employer organizations, third-party administrators, self-insurance funds |
||||||
|
and state insurance pools. |
||||||
|
. In Nevada, the three largest competitors are American International Group, Inc., Builders |
||||||
|
Insurance Company Inc. and Liberty Mutual Insurance Company. |
||||||
|
. In California, the three largest competitors are the California State Compensation Insurance |
||||||
|
Fund, American International Group, Inc. and Zenith National Insurance Company. |
||||||
|
Use of $322mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
o $10.5 million is estimated to be required for the cost of the non-recurring fees and |
||||||
|
o $6.1 million is estimated to be required for the cost of the non-recurring fees and expenses |
||||||
|
directly related to this offering; |
||||||
|
o $10.5 million is estimated to be necessary to provide consideration to members eligible solely for |
||||||
|
cash; and |
||||||
|
o $294.6 million is estimated to be used to make elective cash payments to those eligible members |
||||||
|
that elect to receive this form of consideration in the conversion. |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
HFF (HF) |
HF, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
financial services for real estate |
Post-IPO shrs: 37mm |
|||||
|
Pittsburgh, PA |
2006 |
Sept 06* |
IPO Mkt |
|||
|
Rev ($mm) |
proforma, see |
$206 |
$156 |
Cap (mm) |
||
|
Cost of Revt % |
'reorginzation transaction' |
58% |
57% |
$589 |
||
|
Profit (loss) ($mm) |
below |
$11.0 |
$8.2 |
@$16 |
||
|
Profit (loss) % |
5% |
5% |
||||
|
*nine months ended Sept 30 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
HFF |
$589 |
2.8 |
54 |
70.1 |
266.7 |
39% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Business |
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. A leading provider of commercial real estate and capital markets services to the U.S. commercial |
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real estate industry based on transaction volume |
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. And is one of the largest private full-service commercial real estate financial intermediaries in the |
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country |
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. Operates out of 18 offices nationwide with more than 130 transaction professionals and |
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270 support associates. In 2005 |
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. Advised on $32 billion of completed commercial real estate transactions, more than a 40% |
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increase compared to the approximately $22 billion of completed transactions advised on in 2004. |
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Integrated national capital markets platform |
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allows HF to effectively act as a "one-stop shop" for clients, providing a broad array of capital |
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markets services including: |
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o Debt placement; |
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o Investment sales; |
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o Structured finance; |
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o Private equity, investment banking and advisory services; |
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o Note sale and note sales advisory services; and |
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o Commercial loan servicing. |
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Revenues |
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. Over 95% of revenues are capital market service revenues. |
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. These capital market service revenues are in the form of fees collected from clients, usually |
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negotiated on a transaction-by-transaction basis, which includes origination fees, investment sales |
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fees earned for brokering sales of commercial real estate, loan servicing fees and note sale and |
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note sales advisory and other production fees |
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Competition |
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. The top competitors HF faces on national, regional and local levels include, but are not limited |
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to, CB Richard Ellis Group, CBRE Capital Markets (formerly L.J. Melody & Company), |
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Cushman & Wakefield, Eastdil Secured, Trammell Crow, Jones Lang LaSalle, Northmarq Capital |
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(Marquette) and CapMark (formerly GMAC). |
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. There are numerous other local and regional competitors in each of the local markets where we |
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are located as well as the markets we do business in. |
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Reorganization Transactions |
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. HFF, Inc. was formed in November 2006 for purposes of this offering. HFF, Inc. has not |
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engaged in any business or other activities except in connection with its formation and the |
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Reorganization Transactions. |
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. If HF had effected the Reorganization Transactions on January 1, 2006, this assumed tax rate for |
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2006 would have been approximately 46%. |
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. Upon the consummation of this offering, HFF, Inc. will contribute the net proceeds raised in this |
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offering to HoldCo LLC, its wholly-owned subsidiary. In consideration for the net proceeds from |
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this offering and one share of Class B common stock, HFF Holdings will sell all of the shares of |
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Holliday GP, which is the sole general partner of each of the Operating Partnerships, and |
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approximately 39% of the partnership units in each of the Operating Partnerships (including |
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partnership units in the Operating Partnerships held by Holliday GP), or approximately 45% of the |
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partnership units in each of the Operating Partnerships (including partnership units in the |
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