|
Financial Performance & Scoring -- © 2007 Gaskins IPO Desktop/IPOdesktop |
||||||
|
Pre-IPO analysis, grading & scoring -- updated June 26 |
||||||
|
. Business Model Rating Criteria |
||||||
|
A = high growth market, potential leader; B = more competitive market; C= 'public venture capital' |
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|
. Calculations |
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|
. IPO Price to annualized Sales Ratio -- (Price / Sales) |
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|
Numerator |
Denominator |
|||||
|
IPO market capitalization… |
Annualized Sales (based on recent results) |
|||||
|
(post-IPO # of shares times mid-point of IPO price range) |
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|
. IPO Price to annualized Earnings (loss) -- (Price / Earnings) |
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|
Numerator |
Denominator |
|||||
|
IPO market cap |
Annualized Earnings (loss) from the last quarter |
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|
Includes Blackstone, see last pre-IPO report |
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|
=================== |
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|
June 25wk week IPO schedule |
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|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
AuthenTec (AUTH) |
$260 |
7.0 |
-34 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
29% |
|
fingerprint authentication sensors: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 26m |
|||||
|
comScore (SCOR) |
$411 |
5.4 |
69 |
5.7 |
5.6 |
18% |
|
Market research: C+, 8 |
Post-IPO shrs: 27.4m |
|||||
|
Data Domain (DDUP) |
$648 |
12.0 |
-108 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
14% |
|
disk-based storage applicances: C+, 8 |
Post-IPO shrs: 52m |
|||||
|
Polypore Intern'l (PPO) |
$846 |
1.6 |
101 |
2.5 |
-2.0 |
37% |
|
membranes for batteries & medical apps: C, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 40m |
|||||
|
PROS Holdings (PRO) |
$284 |
5.3 |
31 |
12.5 |
12.5 |
26% |
|
pricing/revenue optimization software: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 26m |
|||||
|
Quark Pharma (QURK) |
$238 |
4.1 |
8 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
27% |
|
RNA interference-based treatments: C, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 18m |
|||||
|
ShoreTel (SHOR) |
$392 |
4.3 |
70 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
19% |
|
IP telecommunications systems: C+, 7 |
June 30 fiscal |
Post-IPO shrs: 41m |
||||
|
Spectra Energy LP (SEP) |
$892 |
8.4 |
10 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
22% |
|
natural gas transporation/storage L.P.: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 44.6m |
|||||
|
Spreadtrum Com (SPRD) |
$497 |
4.7 |
62 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
21% |
|
Chinese designer of wireless handset Ics: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 41mm ADSs equiv |
|||||
|
June 25wk financials, analysis, grading, scoring |
||||||
|
AuthenTec |
AUTH, C+, 6 |
|||||
|
fingerprint authentication sensors |
Post-IPO shrs: 26m |
|||||
|
Melbourne, FL |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$14 |
$19 |
$33 |
$7 |
$9 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
46% |
41% |
42% |
43% |
46% |
$260 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$5 |
-$6 |
-$8 |
-$1.1 |
-$1.9 |
@$10 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-34.8% |
-31.8% |
-23.8% |
-14.9% |
-20.4% |
|
|
*quarter ended March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
AuthenTec (AUTH) |
$260 |
7.0 |
-34 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
29% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Mixed-signal semiconductor company providing fingerprint authentication sensors and solutions to the |
||||||
|
high-volume PC, wireless device and access control markets. |
||||||
|
. Believes its products, based on a patented TruePrint-based technology, are the most accurate, reliable, |
||||||
|
cost-effective, easy to use and versatile products commercially available today. |
||||||
|
Shipments |
||||||
|
. Since inception, has shipped over 16 million sensors which have been integrated into over 150 different |
||||||
|
models of laptops, desktops and PC peripherals as well as over 6 million mobile phones. |
||||||
|
. In response to increasing demand, shipped over 6.9 million sensor units in 2006, a 122.6% increase over |
||||||
|
the 3.1 million sensor units shipped in 2005. |
||||||
|
. During the three months ended March 30, 2007, shipped 1.9 million sensor units and generated revenue of |
||||||
|
$9.3 million, an increase of 32.0% and 25.7%, respectively, over the three months ended March 31, 2006. |
||||||
|
Outsources manufacturing |
||||||
|
. Does do not own or operate own semiconductor fabrication, wafer bumping, assembly or test facilities |
||||||
|
Depends on independent vendors to manufacture, assemble and test fingerprint sensor products |
||||||
|
Customer concentration, for the quarter ended Mary 31, 2007 |
||||||
|
Fujitsu Ltd. 24.6 |
% |
|||||
|
Compal Electronics, Inc.20.4% |
||||||
|
Inventec Corporation 15.4% |
|
|||||
|
Richpower Electronic Devices Co. 13.9% |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
Competes primarily with other suppliers of biometric fingerprint sensors used in PC, wireless device and |
||||||
|
access control applications. |
||||||
|
. Principal competitors include private companies focused on the fingerprint sensor market such as Atrua, |
||||||
|
Inc., Fidelicia Microsystems, Inc., Symwave, Inc., UPEK, Inc., Validity Sensors, Inc., and certain divisions |
||||||
|
operating within public companies such as Atmel, Lite-on Technology Group, Mitsumi Electronic Co., Ltd. |
||||||
|
and others. |
||||||
|
. The manufacturing, packaging and method of acquiring and analyzing biometric information employed by |
||||||
|
competitors is generally different than AUTH's, and different amongst each competitor |
||||||
|
Use of $51m in IPO proceeds from sale of 5.6mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intend to see 1.9mm shares) |
||||||
|
General corporate purposes, including working capital, a portion of which to use to increase the number of |
||||||
|
personnel in sales and marketing and research and development groups |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
comScore |
SCOR, C+, 8 |
|||||
|
Market research |
Post-IPO shrs: 27.4m |
|||||
|
Reston, VA |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$35 |
$50 |
$66 |
$15 |
$19 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
63% |
64% |
69% |
66% |
72% |
$411 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$3 |
-$9 |
$6 |
$0.1 |
$1.5 |
@$20 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-9.1% |
-18.8% |
8.6% |
0.6% |
7.9% |
|
|
Adjusted EBITEDA |
$10 |
$3 |
||||
|
Adjusted EBITEDA % of rev |
15% |
14% |
||||
|
Operating cash flow ($mm) |
$11 |
$15 |
$3 |
|||
|
Operating cash flow % of reve |
17% |
17% |
||||
|
Subscription revenues ($mm) |
$11 |
$14 |
||||
|
Subscription revenues % of rev |
73% |
76% |
||||
|
*quarter ended March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
compare & contrast |
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
comScore (SCOR) |
$411 |
5.4 |
69 |
5.7 |
5.6 |
18% |
|
buy-out price |
||||||
|
NetRatings--purchased 6/22 |
$748 |
8.5 |
968 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
$21 |
|
by Neilsen |
||||||
|
Some analysts are suggest a comparable (NetRatings) buy-out price for SCOR for be $20 |
||||||
|
comScore (SCOR) $20 |
$548 |
7.2 |
91 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
$20 |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Provide a leading digital marketing intelligence platform that helps customers make better-informed |
||||||
|
business decisions and implement more effective digital business strategies. |
||||||
|
. Products and solutions offer customers deep insights into consumer behavior, including objective, detailed |
||||||
|
information regarding usage of their online properties and those of their competitors, coupled with |
||||||
|
information on consumer demographic characteristics, attitudes, lifestyles and offline behavior. |
||||||
|
Platform |
||||||
|
. The digital marketing intelligence platform is comprised of proprietary databases and a computational |
||||||
|
infrastructure that measures, analyzes and reports on digital activity. |
||||||
|
. The foundation of the platform is data collected from a comScore panel of more than two million Internet |
||||||
|
users worldwide who have granted explicit permission to confidentially measure their Internet usage |
||||||
|
patterns, online and certain offline buying behavior and other activities |
||||||
|
Customer based & subscription dollars |
||||||
|
. The total customer base grew during the first three months of 2007 by a net increase of 37 customers to a |
||||||
|
total of 743 customers as of March 31, 2007 compared to 706 customers as of December 31, 2006. |
||||||
|
. There was continued revenue growth in both subscription revenues, which increased by approximately |
||||||
|
$3.6 million from $10.9 million in the first three months of 2006 to $14.5 million in the first three months |
||||||
|
of 2007 |
||||||
|
Subscription Revenues |
||||||
|
. Generate a significant proportion of subscription-based revenues from the Media Metrix product family |
||||||
|
. Products within the Media Metrix family include Media Metrix 2.0, Plan Metrix, World Metrix and |
||||||
|
Video Metrix. |
||||||
|
. Intends to commercially launch Ad Metrix in the second quarter of 2007. These product offerings provide |
||||||
|
subscribers with intelligence on digital media usage, audience characteristics, audience demographics and |
||||||
|
online and offline purchasing behavior. |
||||||
|
. Also generates subscription-based revenues from certain reports and analyses provided through comScore |
||||||
|
Marketing Solutions, if that work is procured by customers for at least a nine month period and the |
||||||
|
customer enters into an agreement to continue or extend the work |
||||||
|
Campaign Metrix |
||||||
|
In the second quarter of 2007, intends to commercially launch Campaign Metrix, a product that will |
||||||
|
provide detailed information about online advertising campaigns. |
||||||
|
. Project revenues from Campaign Metrix will be generated when a customer accesses or downloads a |
||||||
|
report through the Web site. |
||||||
|
. Pricing for the Campaign Metrix product will initially be based on the scope of the information |
||||||
|
provided in the report generated by the customer. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
o large and small companies that provide data and analysis of consumers' online behavior, including |
||||||
|
Compete Inc., Hitwise Pty. Ltd and NetRatings, Inc.; |
||||||
|
o online advertising companies that provide measurement of online ad effectiveness, including aQuantive, |
||||||
|
Inc., DoubleClick Inc., ValueClick Inc., and WPP Group plc; |
||||||
|
o companies that provide audience ratings for TV, radio and other media that have extended or may extend |
||||||
|
their current services, particularly in certain international markets, to the measurement of digital media, |
||||||
|
including Arbitron Inc., Nielsen Media Research, Inc. and Taylor Nelson Sofres plc; |
||||||
|
o analytical services companies that provide customers with detailed information of behavior on their own |
||||||
|
Web sites, including Omniture, Inc., WebSideStory, Inc. and WebTrends Corporation; |
||||||
|
o full-service market research firms and survey providers that may measure online behavior and attitudes, |
||||||
|
including Harris Interactive Inc., Ipsos Group, Taylor Nelson Sofres plc and The Nielsen Company; and |
||||||
|
o specialty information providers for certain industries that we serve, including IMS Health Incorporated |
||||||
|
(healthcare) and Telephia, Inc. (telecommunications). |
||||||
|
Use of $67mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
Has no specific plans for the use of a significant portion of the net proceeds of this offering. |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Data Domain (DDUP) |
DDUP, C+, 8 |
|||||
|
disk-based storage applicances |
Post-IPO shrs: 52m |
|||||
|
Santa Clara, CA |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$1 |
$8 |
$46 |
$8 |
$20 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
-75% |
37% |
69% |
63% |
67% |
$648 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$10 |
-$14 |
-$4 |
-$0.8 |
-$1.5 |
@$12.5 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-1225.0% |
-170.4% |
-8.6% |
-10.1% |
-7.4% |
|
|
*quarter ended March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Data Domain (DDUP) |
$648 |
12.0 |
-108 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
14% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. A leading provider of capacity-optimized storage appliances for disk-based backup and network-based |
||||||
|
disaster recovery. |
||||||
|
. Appliances reduce the storage of redundant copies of data and associated storage costs within enterprises |
||||||
|
and are an alternative to tape-based protection storage systems. |
||||||
|
Industry |
||||||
|
. In 2007, revenues from the tape-based storage market are expected to be approximately $4.7 billion based |
||||||
|
on estimates from Freeman Reports, an industry research firm. |
||||||
|
. Storage solutions address protection storage requirements with low operating costs, ease of use, high |
||||||
|
performance, reliability and compatibility with leading enterprise backup software. |
||||||
|
Sales |
||||||
|
Sells appliances through a network of channel partners and a direct sales force. |
||||||
|
. As of March 31, 2007, had over 100 channel partners and DDUP appliances had been purchased by over |
||||||
|
750 enterprises worldwide. |
||||||
|
. In each of the year ended December 31, 2006 and the three months ended March 31, 2007, 85% of |
||||||
|
revenue was generated by sales through indirect channels |
||||||
|
Compression technology |
||||||
|
DDUP's disk-based appliances combine DDUP's Global Compression technology with industry standard |
||||||
|
components to enable dramatic reductions in the amount of stored backup data. |
||||||
|
. Global Compression technology incorporates a process called data deduplication, which avoids storing |
||||||
|
redundant copies of data while writing data to disk. |
||||||
|
. When used to deduplicate a single data set over 20 weeks of regular backup storage events, DDUP's |
||||||
|
appliances are designed to achieve a range of data compression of approximately 10x to 30x. |
||||||
|
. The actual range of data compression obtained by customers depends on the frequency of full backup |
||||||
|
events, the length of time backup data is retained and the redundancy of the backup data. |
||||||
|
. Through deduplication, DDUP's appliances enable enterprises to cost-effectively utilize WAN vaulting, a |
||||||
|
process by which enterprises replicate backup data offsite using a wide area network, or WAN. |
||||||
|
. DDUP's appliances also provide advanced levels of data protection that are designed to ensure that |
||||||
|
backup data is accurate and recoverable. |
||||||
|
International |
||||||
|
. Expects growth in international markets to be a significant factor contributing to revenue growth in future |
||||||
|
periods. |
||||||
|
. International revenue accounted for approximately 32% and 28% of total revenue in the year ended |
||||||
|
December 31, 2006 and the three months ended March 31, 2007, respectively. |
||||||
|
. However, over time, DDUPexpects international revenue to increase in absolute dollars and as a |
||||||
|
percentage of total revenue. |
||||||
|
Three Months Ended March 31, 2007 Compared to the Three Months Ended March 31, 2006: |
||||||
|
> Product revenue increased $12.5 million, from $5.4 million in the three months ended March 31, 2006 to |
||||||
|
$17.9 million in the three months ended March 31, 2007, |
||||||
|
. Due to an increase in the number of units sold to new and existing customers, an increase in the number of |
||||||
|
sales personnel, an increase in the number of our channel partners, and the introduction of new products. |
||||||
|
. These products, which have higher capacity and higher performance, were sold at higher average sales |
||||||
|
prices. DDUP expects to continue to release new products with higher capacity and higher performance. |
||||||
|
> Support and services revenue increased $2.0 million, from $172,000 in the three months ended March 31, |
||||||
|
2006 to $2.1 million in the three months ended March 31, 2007. |
||||||
|
. This increase was the result of increased product sales and, to a lesser extent, the renewal of support and |
||||||
|
services contracts by existing customers. |
||||||
|
. Substantially all customers purchase support and services contracts when they purchase appliances.. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
The protection storage market is highly competitive and is driven by rapidly changing technology. |
||||||
|
. In addition to competing with traditional providers of tape-based storage systems, such as Sun |
||||||
|
Microsystems, Inc. and Quantum Corporation, DDUP |
||||||
|
. Competes with other established storage companies such as EMC Corporation and Network Appliance, |
||||||
|
Inc., and to a lesser extent Hitachi Data Systems Corporation, Hewlett-Packard Company and International |
||||||
|
Business Machines Corporation, that offer a variety of different protection storage products. |
||||||
|
. Some of our competitors sell, or have announced plans to sell, capacity-optimized storage products that |
||||||
|
compete directly with DDUP appliances. |
||||||
|
. Also competes with a number of emerging hardware and software companies that may become more |
||||||
|
significant competitors in the future. In addition, in certain segments of the market, we may compete with |
||||||
|
WAN acceleration and backup software providers that incorporate deduplication capabilities in their |
||||||
|
products. |
||||||
|
Use of $78mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. expansion of domestic and international sales and marketing activities, including hiring additional |
||||||
|
personnel and growing the network of channel partners; |
||||||
|
. investment in research and development to enhance the capacity and performance of appliances; |
||||||
|
. deployment of products and technology into other sectors of the storage market; and |
||||||
|
. other corporate opportunities that may arise in the future. |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Polypore Intern'l |
PPO, C, 7 |
|||||
|
membranes for batteries & medical apps |
Post-IPO shrs: 40m |
|||||
|
Charlotte, NC |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$490 |
$435 |
$480 |
$115 |
$130 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
31% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
37% |
$846 |
|
Operating Income % |
13% |
15% |
9% |
17% |
19% |
@$21 |
|
Interest % |
10% |
19% |
19% |
19% |
18% |
|
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$7 |
-$3 |
-$30 |
-$1.5 |
$2.1 |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
1.5% |
-0.7% |
-6.2% |
-1.3% |
1.6% |
|
|
*quarter ended March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Polypore Intern'l (PPO) |
$846 |
1.6 |
101 |
2.5 |
-2.0 |
37% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. A leading global high technology filtration company that develops, manufactures and markets specialized |
||||||
|
microporous membranes used in separation and filtration processes. |
||||||
|
. Manufactures products at facilities in North America, Europe and Asia. |
||||||
|
Two business segments |
||||||
|
(i) the energy storage segment, which accounted for approximately 72% of fiscal 2006 net sales; and |
||||||
|
(ii) the separations media segment, which accounted for approximately 28% of our fiscal 2006 net sales. |
||||||
|
Three months ended March 31, 2007 compared with the three months ended April 1, 2006 |
||||||
|
> Net sales for the three months ended March 31, 2007 were $129.8 million, an increase of $14.5 million, |
||||||
|
or 12.6%, from the three months ended April 1, 2006. |
||||||
|
. Energy storage sales for the three months ended March 31, 2007 were $93.9 million, an increase of $10.7 |
||||||
|
million, or 12.9%. |
||||||
|
. The increase in energy storage sales was primarily due to higher lead-acid and lithium battery separator |
||||||
|
sales volume, higher average sales prices for lead-acid battery separators and the positive impact of |
||||||
|
dollar/euro exchange rate fluctuations of $2.5 million. |
||||||
|
. Lead-acid separator volume growth of 6.6% was driven by the increasing size of the automotive market, |
||||||
|
particularly in Asia, and the trend of conversion from alternative separator materials to superior |
||||||
|
performing polyethylene-based separators. |
||||||
|
. In addition, average sales prices increased due to global price increases implemented in the three months |
||||||
|
ended December 30, 2006 to offset higher raw material and energy costs. The increase in sales volumes of |
||||||
|
15.3% for lithium battery separators was driven by strong demand for consumer electronic products and |
||||||
|
expanding applications for lithium batteries. |
||||||
|
> Separations media sales for the three months ended March 31, 2007 were $35.9 million, an increase of |
||||||
|
$3.8 million, or 11.8% from the same period in the prior year. |
||||||
|
. The increase in separations media sales was due to higher sales of industrial and specialty filtration |
||||||
|
products and the positive impact of dollar/euro exchange rate fluctuations of $2.2 million. |
||||||
|
. The 29.8% growth in sales of industrial and specialty filtration products was due to continued growth in |
||||||
|
demand for high performance filtration applications. |
||||||
|
. In total, hemodialysis sales for the three months ended March 31, 2007 were comparable to the three |
||||||
|
months ended April 1, 2006. Synthetic membrane sales volumes increased due to continued market growth |
||||||
|
for synthetic membranes. The increase in synthetic membrane sales was offset by the decline in cellulosic |
||||||
|
membrane sales. |
||||||
|
. During 2006, produced sufficient quantities of cellulosic membranes to meet our customers' needs and |
||||||
|
ceased production of cellulosic membranes. Expects to sell the majority of our remaining quantities of |
||||||
|
cellulosic membranes during 2007. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
> Within the energy storage segment, primary competitors in the market for membrane separators used in |
||||||
|
lead-acid batteries for transportation and industrial applications are Entek International LLC ("Entek") in |
||||||
|
North America and Europe and Nippon Sheet Glass Co., Ltd. in Japan. In addition, we have a number of |
||||||
|
smaller competitors in South Korea, Indonesia, China, and North America. |
||||||
|
. Also competes with Asahi Kasei Chemicals Corporation, Tonen Chemical Corporation (a subsidiary of |
||||||
|
ExxonMobil) and Ube Industries Limited as well as a number of smaller competitors elsewhere in Asia in |
||||||
|
the market for membrane separators used in lithium batteries. |
||||||
|
> Within the separations media segment, competes primarily with Fresenius Medical Care, Gambro AG, |
||||||
|
Asahi Kasei Medical Co., Ltd. and Toyobo Co. Ltd. for membranes used in dialysis. |
||||||
|
. In addition, we compete primarily with Terumo Medical Corp. in the blood oxygenation market and Asahi |
||||||
|
Kasei Medical Co., Ltd. and Fresenius Medical Care in the plasmapheresis market. |
||||||
|
. Also within the separations media segment, our industrial and specialty filtration business competes |
||||||
|
across multiple markets and applications; principal competitors include Pall Corporation, Millipore |
||||||
|
Corporation, Koch Membrane Systems (a division of Koch Industries), Norit B.V., and Dainippon Ink and |
||||||
|
Chemicals, Inc. Product innovation and performance, quality, service, utility and cost are the primary |
||||||
|
competitive factors, with technical support being highly valued by the largest customers. |
||||||
|
Use of $294mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
Repay debt |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
PROS Holdings |
PRO, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
pricing/revenue optimization software |
Post-IPO shrs: 26m |
|||||
|
Houston, TX |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$32 |
$35 |
$46 |
$10 |
$13 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
59% |
62% |
66% |
66% |
69% |
$284 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$4 |
$3 |
$7 |
$1.0 |
$2.3 |
@$11 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
11.4% |
9.7% |
15.2% |
10.4% |
18.4% |
|
|
*quarter ended March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
PROS Holdings (PRO) |
$284 |
5.3 |
31 |
12.5 |
12.5 |
26% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
1.5 |
1 |
6.5 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. A leading provider of pricing and revenue optimization software, an emerging category of enterprise |
||||||
|
applications designed to allow companies to improve financial performance by enabling better pricing. |
||||||
|
. By using PRO's software products, customers gain insight into their pricing strategies, identify |
||||||
|
detrimental pricing practices, optimize their pricing decision-making and improve their business processes |
||||||
|
and financial performance. |
||||||
|
Products |
||||||
|
Software products incorporate advanced pricing science, which includes operations research, forecasting |
||||||
|
and statistics. |
||||||
|
. Innovative science-based software products analyze, execute and optimize pricing strategies using data |
||||||
|
from traditional enterprise applications, often augmenting it with real-time and historical data. |
||||||
|
. Also provides a range of services that include analyzing a company's current pricing processes and |
||||||
|
implementing software products to improve pricing performance. |
||||||
|
Customers |
||||||
|
As of March 31, 2007, had 90 customers across five industries in 42 countries with over 200 |
||||||
|
implementations of our software products. |
||||||
|
. 60%, 63% and 67% of our total revenue came from customers outside the United States in 2005, 2006 and |
||||||
|
the three months ended March 31, 2007, respectively. |
||||||
|
. This international growth began with efforts initially to market products to the global airline industry. |
||||||
|
Industry background |
||||||
|
. Pricing is an important component of an enterprise's business processes and financial performance |
||||||
|
. According to a 2006 Gartner Research report, on average, a 1% improvement in price translated to an |
||||||
|
11% increase in profitability. In contrast, according to the same report, a 1% improvement in fixed costs or |
||||||
|
variable costs only increases profitability by 3% and 7%, respectively. |
||||||
|
Market opportunity |
||||||
|
. In 2005, PRO began to experience increased demand for our pricing and revenue optimization software |
||||||
|
products. |
||||||
|
. In December 2005, Yankee Group published the results of a survey conducted in July 2005 of 389 |
||||||
|
respondents in the distribution industry and the high-technology, industrial and chemical manufacturing |
||||||
|
industries, 98% of which had annual revenue over $500 million. |
||||||
|
. Of the respondents, 77% stated that they did not have a price management or profit optimization software |
||||||
|
solution but planned to purchase one and had developed a business case to do so. |
||||||
|
Trends |
||||||
|
o Growth in the market |
||||||
|
An August 2006 AMR Research report estimated that the price management applications market will be |
||||||
|
$348 million in 2007 and will grow to approximately $1.1 billion in 2010, a compound annual growth rate |
||||||
|
of 46%. |
||||||
|
. PRO believes that the overall pricing and revenue optimization software market includes additional |
||||||
|
elements not considered in the AMR Research report |
||||||
|
o Growth in revenues from non-airline industries. |
||||||
|
. Historically, a substantial portion of revenue has come from the airline industry. However, as we began to |
||||||
|
diversify our product offering, we saw our revenue growth driven by increases in sales to non-airline |
||||||
|
industry customers. |
||||||
|
. Expects the percentage of revenue from the airline industry to continue to decrease over time although |
||||||
|
revenue from the airline industry may remain flat or grow in absolute dollars. |
||||||
|
. Intends to diversify. As a result of this diversification of products and customers, PRO believes that a |
||||||
|
proportionately larger share of revenue will come from these industries compared to revenues from the |
||||||
|
airline industry. |
||||||
|
Quarter ended March 31, 2006 compared to quarter ended March 31, 2007 |
||||||
|
> License and implementation (2/3 of revenues). |
||||||
|
. License and implementation revenue increased $3.3 million from $5.7 million in the three months ended |
||||||
|
March 31, 2006 to $9.0 million in the three months ended March 31, 2007, representing a 58% increase. |
||||||
|
. During the three months ended March 31, 2007, license and implementation revenue from industries other |
||||||
|
than the airline industry increased to 66% of total license and implementation revenue. |
||||||
|
> Maintenance and support (1/3 of revenues) |
||||||
|
Maintenance and support revenue increased $518,000 from $3.9 million in the three months ended March |
||||||
|
31, 2006 to $4.4 million in the three months ended March 31, 2007, representing a 13% increase |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
. Several privately held pricing and revenue optimization software vendors such as Rapt, Revenue |
||||||
|
Technologies, Symphony-Metreo, Vendavo and Zilliant |
||||||
|
. Also with several large enterprise application providers, such as JDA Software, Oracle and SAP that have |
||||||
|
developed offerings that include pricing and revenue optimization functionality. JDA Software and Oracle |
||||||
|
entered the market primarily through their acquisitions of Manugistics and Siebel Systems, respectively, |
||||||
|
and SAP resells Vendavo's products |
||||||
|
> In addition, there are a number of vendors that provide pricing and revenue optimization software for |
||||||
|
specific industries |
||||||
|
> In the hotel industry, we compete with IDeaS and Easy RMS, and in the airline industry, competes with |
||||||
|
Sabre Airline Solutions and Lufthansa Systems. |
||||||
|
. One industry in which PRO does not compete is retail, where vendors include DemandTec, JDA |
||||||
|
Software, Oracle and SAP. Oracle and SAP entered this retail market through their acquisitions of |
||||||
|
ProfitLogic and Khimetrics, respectively. |
||||||
|
Use of $50mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 5.1mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intend to sell 1.7mm shares) |
||||||
|
. $20mm to repay debt |
||||||
|
. $30mm for working capital |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Quark Pharmaceuticals |
QURK, C, 6 |
|||||
|
RNA interference-based treatments |
Post-IPO shrs: 18m |
|||||
|
Fremont, CA |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$5 |
$3 |
$4 |
$0 |
$15 |
Cap (mm) |
|
R&D ($mm) |
$16.1 |
$9.0 |
$18.9 |
$5.9 |
$5.3 |
$238 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$16 |
-$8 |
-$17 |
-$6.1 |
$7.5 |
@$13 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-330.6% |
-220.6% |
-404.8% |
-2033.3% |
51.7% |
|
|
*quarter ended March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Quark Pharma (QURK) |
$238 |
4.1 |
8 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
27% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
|
|
Note: revenue from lumpy collaborration agreements |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing novel therapeutics |
||||||
|
based on proprietary gene discovery science and technology, with an initial focus on RNA interference |
||||||
|
based therapeutics for the treatment of diseases associated with oxidative stress |
||||||
|
. From inception in 1993 through March 31, 2007, we has funded operations primarily through gross |
||||||
|
proceeds of $83.0 million from the sale of equity securities and $100.0 million pursuant to our license and |
||||||
|
collaboration agreements with pharmaceutical companies. |
||||||
|
Collaboration agreements |
||||||
|
. Through 2005, a substantial portion of our revenues were from QURK's BiFAR gene discovery |
||||||
|
collaboration agreements with several pharmaceutical companies. |
||||||
|
. In connection with the expiration of research funding under some of those agreements, ceased certain of |
||||||
|
product development efforts. |
||||||
|
. In September 2006, licensed drug candidates that inhibit RTP801 to Pfizer, and may seek to license other |
||||||
|
product candidates to third parties in the future. |
||||||
|
. For the next several years, expects that revenues will consist primarily of payments from Pfizer and any |
||||||
|
future licensees and collaborators |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
Pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, public and private universities, |
||||||
|
government agencies and research organizations |
||||||
|
Use of $67mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
o $36 million to complete Phase II clinical trials, and begin preparations for Phase III clinical trials of |
||||||
|
current product candidates AKIi-5 and AHLi-11, subject to the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals |
||||||
|
and achievement of other milestones. |
||||||
|
o $13 million for research and development of future products; and |
||||||
|
o remainder to fund sales, marketing, general and administrative expenses, and to fund working capital and |
||||||
|
other general corporate purposes. |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
ShoreTel |
SHOR, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
IP telecommunications systems |
June 30 fiscal |
Post-IPO shrs: 41m |
||||
|
Sunnyvale, CA |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$19 |
$36 |
$62 |
$43 |
$69 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
50% |
52% |
56% |
54% |
62% |
$392 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$6 |
-$1 |
$4 |
$2.3 |
$4.2 |
@$9.5 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-33.5% |
-3.9% |
6.5% |
5.4% |
6.1% |
|
|
*nine months ended March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
ShoreTel (SHOR) |
$392 |
4.3 |
70 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
19% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. A leading provider of IP telecommunications solutions for enterprises. |
||||||
|
. Solution is comprised of ShoreGear switches, ShorePhone IP phones and ShoreWare software |
||||||
|
applications. |
||||||
|
. Founded in September 1996 and shipped first system in 1998. Continued to develop and enhance our |
||||||
|
product line since that time. |
||||||
|
. Currently offers nine models of switches and five models of IP phones. |
||||||
|
Distribution |
||||||
|
. Sell products primarily through channel partners that market and sell systems to enterprises across all |
||||||
|
industries, including to small, medium and large companies and public institutions. |
||||||
|
. SHOR believes the channel strategy allows it to reach a larger number of prospective enterprise customers |
||||||
|
more effectively than if SHOR were to sell directly. |
||||||
|
. The number of authorized channel partners has more than doubled since June 30, 2004 to more than 400 |
||||||
|
as of March 31, 2007, including 30 in Europe. |
||||||
|
9-month period ended March 31, 2007 compared to nine-month period ended March 31, 2006 |
||||||
|
Revenue. |
||||||
|
. Total revenue increased $26.4 million, or 62%, from $42.5 million in the nine-month period ended March |
||||||
|
31, 2006, to $68.9 million in the nine-month period ended March 31, 2007. |
||||||
|
. Product revenue increased by $23.5 million, or 62%, from $38.0 million in the nine-month period ended |
||||||
|
March 31, 2006, to $61.5 million in the nine-month period ended March 31, 2007. |
||||||
|
. Support and services revenue increased $2.9 million, or 63%, from $4.5 million in the nine-month period |
||||||
|
ended March 31, 2006, to $7.4 million in the nine-month period ended March 31, 2007, as a result of |
||||||
|
increased revenue associated with post-contractual support contracts accompanying new system sales, post |
||||||
|
contractual support contract renewals and increased revenue from training services and installations. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
As a result of the convergence of voice and data networking technologies that characterize IP enterprise |
||||||
|
telecommunications systems, SHOR competes with providers of enterprise voice communications systems, |
||||||
|
such as: |
||||||
|
o Providers of IP systems, including 3Com and Cisco Systems; and |
||||||
|
o Providers of hybrid systems, including Alcatel-Lucent, Avaya, Inter-Tel, Mitel Networks |
||||||
|
(which recently announced plans to acquire Inter-Tel) and Nortel Networks. |
||||||
|
Use of $68mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. Working capital and other general corporate purposes. |
||||||
|
. May use up to $5.0 million of the net proceeds acquire technology from an unrelated third party that |
||||||
|
SHOR expects will extend and enhance the functionality of existing products. |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Spectra Energy L.P. |
SEP, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
natural gas transporation/storage L.P. |
Post-IPO shrs: 44.6m |
|||||
|
Houston, TX |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$82 |
$80 |
$83 |
$22 |
$26 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Operating Income % |
41% |
33% |
46% |
24% |
56% |
$892 |
|
Equity in earnings of** |
$36 |
$46 |
$41 |
$7.1 |
$11.4 |
@$20 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$53 |
$57 |
$64 |
$9.5 |
$21.7 |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
64.6% |
71.3% |
77.2% |
42.8% |
82.2% |
|
|
Adjusted EBITDA ($mm) |
$55 |
$50 |
$56 |
$10 |
$20 |
|
|
EBITDA % |
67.1% |
62.5% |
67.8% |
45.0% |
74.2% |
|
|
Cash available for distr ($mm) |
$74 |
$78 |
$80 |
$21 |
$36 |
|
|
Cash available for distr: rev% |
90.2% |
97.5% |
96.9% |
94.6% |
136.4% |
|
|
**uncosolidated affiliates |
*quarter ended March 31, pro forma |
|||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Spectra Energy LP (SEP) |
$892 |
8.4 |
10 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
22% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Unit offering |
||||||
|
LP Units: Initial distribution rate |
||||||
|
. $1.20 per year |
||||||
|
. 6% annual rate |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Limited partnership recently formed by Spectra Energy (NYSE: SE, $16.6bb market cap)to own and |
||||||
|
operate natural gas transportation and storage assets. |
||||||
|
. Initial assets consist of interests in two interstate natural gas pipeline systems located in the southeastern |
||||||
|
United States with over 2,100 miles of pipelines, interests in two natural gas storage facilities in Texas and |
||||||
|
Louisiana with aggregate working gas storage capacity of approximately 35 billion cubic feet, or Bcf, and a |
||||||
|
liquefied natural gas, or LNG, storage facility in Tennessee. |
||||||
|
Growth plan |
||||||
|
. Intends to utilize the significant experience of Spectra Energy's management team to execute the growth |
||||||
|
strategy, including the acquisition and construction of additional energy assets. |
||||||
|
. Spectra Energy, which is comprised of the former natural gas businesses of Duke Energy Corporation |
||||||
|
(NYUSE: DUK, $23bb market cap), became a stand-alone publicly traded company in January 2007. |
||||||
|
. At December 31, 2006, Spectra Energy had approximately 17,500 miles of natural gas transportation |
||||||
|
pipelines and approximately 265 Bcf of natural gas storage capacity (including the assets to be contributed |
||||||
|
to SEP). |
||||||
|
SE assets |
||||||
|
o East Tennessee System. owns and operates 100% of the approximately 1,400-mile East Tennessee |
||||||
|
interstate natural gas transportation system, which extends from central Tennessee eastward into southwest |
||||||
|
Virginia and northern North Carolina, and southward into northern Georgia. East Tennessee also owns and |
||||||
|
operates an LNG storage facility in Kingsport, Tennessee with working gas storage capacity of |
||||||
|
approximately 1.0 Bcf and regasification capability of 150 MMcf/d. |
||||||
|
o Gulfstream System. owns a 24.5% interest in the approximately 690-mile Gulfstream interstate natural |
||||||
|
gas transportation system, which extends from Pascagoula, Mississippi and Mobile, Alabama across the |
||||||
|
Gulf of Mexico and into central Florida. |
||||||
|
o Market Hub System. owns a 50.0% interest in Market Hub, which owns and operates two high |
||||||
|
deliverability salt cavern natural gas storage facilities located in Louisiana and Texas with aggregate |
||||||
|
working gas storage capacity of approximately 35 Bcf. |
||||||
|
Results of Operations - Unconsolidated Affiliates |
||||||
|
. Account for Gulfstream and Market Hub using the equity method of accounting. |
||||||
|
. As such, the 24.5% interest in Gulfstream's net operating results and the 50.0% interest in Market Hub's |
||||||
|
net operating results are reflected as equity in earnings of unconsolidated affiliates in SEP's Consolidated |
||||||
|
Statement of Operations |
||||||
|
Use of $188mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
o purchase approximately $145.3 million of qualifying investment grade securities, which will be assigned |
||||||
|
as collateral to secure the term loan portion of the credit facility; |
||||||
|
o pay approximately $7.2 million of expenses associated with the offering and related formation |
||||||
|
transactions; |
||||||
|
o Distribute $25.0 million in cash to subsidiaries of Spectra Energy as reimbursement for capital |
||||||
|
expenditures incurred by subsidiaries of Spectra Energy prior to this offering related to the assets to be |
||||||
|
contributed to upon the closing of this offering, which distribution will be made in partial consideration of |
||||||
|
the assets contributed to SEP upon the closing of this offering; and |
||||||
|
o use remaining proceeds of $10.0 million to fund working capital. |
||||||
|
> Entered into a $500 million credit facility under which SEP expects to borrow approximately $145.3 |
||||||
|
million in term debt and $125 million in revolving debt upon the closing of this offering. |
||||||
|
. Will distribute the aggregate amount of the proceeds of such borrowings to subsidiaries of Spectra |
||||||
|
Energy, which distribution will be made in partial consideration of the assets contributed to upon the |
||||||
|
closing of this offering |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Spreadtrum Com |
SPRD, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
Chinese designer of wireless handset ICs |
Post-IPO shrs: 41mm ADSs equiv |
|||||
|
Zhangjiang, Shanghai, China |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$13 |
$38 |
$107 |
$20 |
$26 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
22% |
23% |
41% |
31% |
43% |
$497 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$11 |
-$12 |
$14 |
$0.6 |
$2.0 |
@$12 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
-88.4% |
-30.6% |
13.4% |
3.0% |
7.6% |
|
|
Employees |
316 |
416 |
576 |
419 |
637 |
|
|
*quarter ended March 31 |
||||||
|
Quarterly results |
6-Jun |
Sept 06 |
Dec 06 |
March 07 |
||
|
Revenue |
||||||
|
. Baseband |
$12 |
$16 |
$23 |
$21 |
||
|
. Turnkey |
$18 |
$11 |
$8 |
$6 |
||
|
Total revenue |
$30 |
$27 |
$31 |
$26 |
||
|
Profit ($mm) |
$5 |
$4 |
$5 |
$2 |
||
|
Profit % of reve |
16% |
14% |
17% |
8% |
||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Spreadtrum Com (SPRD) |
$497 |
4.7 |
62 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
21% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Fabless semiconductor company that designs, develops and markets baseband processor solutions for the |
||||||
|
wireless communications market. |
||||||
|
. Combines semiconductor design expertise with our software development capabilities to deliver highly |
||||||
|
integrated baseband processors with multimedia functionality and power management. |
||||||
|
. Have developed solutions based on an open development platform, enabling our customers to develop |
||||||
|
customized wireless products that are feature-rich and meet their cost and time-to-market requirements. |
||||||
|
SPRD is a recognized leader in the emerging China semiconductor industry as indicated by various third |
||||||
|
party awards received that are based, in part, on the technological innovation of SPRD's baseband |
||||||
|
semiconductors. |
||||||
|
Awards include |
||||||
|
. By the China Semiconductor Industry Association as one of the integrated circuit design companies in |
||||||
|
China with the highest growth potential for 2005, |
||||||
|
. The People's Republic of China National Science and Technology Advancement First Class Award |
||||||
|
awarded by the State Council in 2006 and |
||||||
|
. The award by the Management Case Center of Peking University and Communications Weekly as one of |
||||||
|
the top telecommunications equipment suppliers for 2006. |
||||||
|
Industry overview |
||||||
|
. The wireless communications market is highly dynamic and represents one of the most important |
||||||
|
communications markets in the world. |
||||||
|
. According to iSuppli Corporation, or iSuppli, a leading market research firm focused on the electronics |
||||||
|
industry, global wireless (mobile handset) subscribers reached 2.2 billion in 2005, and are expected to grow |
||||||
|
to 3.7 billion in 2010. |
||||||
|
. In particular, China represents the world's largest wireless market, with 487.4 million wireless subscribers |
||||||
|
as of April 2007 according to the Ministry of Information Industry. |
||||||
|
> The baseband semiconductor |
||||||
|
. The baseband semiconductor is the most critical semiconductor component in the wireless handset. |
||||||
|
. It is commonly referred to as the engine of a wireless handset, equivalent to the central processing unit of |
||||||
|
a computer. According to iSuppli, revenue from worldwide GSM, GPRS, EDGE and WCDMA baseband |
||||||
|
semiconductor shipments reached $8.5 billion in 2005 and is expected to grow to $13.1 billion by 2010 |
||||||
|
. According to iSuppli, the baseband semiconductor market in China is expected to grow from $3.5 billion |
||||||
|
in 2005, representing 30.6% of the worldwide market, to $6.8 billion in 2010, representing 41.3% of the |
||||||
|
worldwide market. |
||||||
|
Customers and concentration |
||||||
|
. SPRD's top five customers in 2004, 2005, 2006 and the three months ended March 31, 2007 collectively |
||||||
|
accounted for 66.1%, 52.2%, 40.4% and 54.7%, respectively, of revenue. |
||||||
|
. Currently sells substantially products to brand manufacturers, independent design houses, or IDHs, |
||||||
|
vendors who specialize exclusively in the design of wireless handsets based on customer specifications, and |
||||||
|
original design manufacturers, or ODMs, contract manufacturers who use their own designs and intellectual |
||||||
|
property to develop and manufacture wireless handsets for customers |
||||||
|
Portfolio |
||||||
|
. Of highly-integrated baseband processor solutions that support a broad range of wireless communications |
||||||
|
standards, including GSM, GPRS and TD-SCDMA, an international 3G standard for wireless |
||||||
|
communications promoted by China. |
||||||
|
. A baseband processor is the most critical semiconductor component of a wireless handset, responsible for |
||||||
|
encoding and decoding wireless communications transmissions, serving as a platform for the handset's |
||||||
|
operating system and multimedia applications, managing storage and directing short range connectivity |
||||||
|
such as Bluetooth traffic. |
||||||
|
. SPRD solutions also offer a wide array of multimedia capabilities such as TV-out, MP3 digital audio |
||||||
|
playback, Motion JPEG, MPEG4 and H.264 digital video playback and 64-channel polyphonic ringtone |
||||||
|
playback. |
||||||
|
Milestones |
||||||
|
SPRD's business model has enabled the rapid development of advanced products. |
||||||
|
. Within the first 15 months of inception, had fully developed the first series of integrated baseband |
||||||
|
semiconductors for the GSM/GPRS market. |
||||||
|
. In June 2005, commercially introduced what SPRD believes to be the world's first fully integrated analog |
||||||
|
and digital baseband semiconductor with power management and multimedia functionality. |
||||||
|
. In the 3G area, has been instrumental in the development, trialing and planned commercial rollout of the |
||||||
|
TD-SCDMA standard. |
||||||
|
. In April 2004, developed what SPRD believes to be the world's first dual-mode TD-SCDMA/GSM |
||||||
|
baseband processor. |
||||||
|
. In addition, is an active member of the TD-SCDMA Industry Alliance, which is responsible for |
||||||
|
developing and enhancing the standard globally. |
||||||
|
> In February 2007, announced development of a TD-SCDMA baseband semiconductor that supports |
||||||
|
HSDPA. |
||||||
|
. Intends to offer samples of a baseband processor that supports EDGE in the second half of 2007, and are |
||||||
|
developing solutions that will support other 3G wireless standards, such as WCDMA/UMTS. |
||||||
|
. In addition, working to develop advanced products to further expand the current portfolio, including |
||||||
|
solutions that incorporate smart phone functionality, advanced multimedia applications and other |
||||||
|
applications such as mobile digital TV, which allows subscribers to receive television transmissions |
||||||
|
through their wireless handsets. |
||||||
|
3 Months Ended March 31, 2007 Compared to Three Months Ended March 31, 2006 |
||||||
|
Revenue |
||||||
|
Revenue increased by 32.9% to $26.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 from $19.7 |
||||||
|
million for the same period in 2006. |
||||||
|
. This increase was primarily due to an increase in units of baseband semiconductors shipped to 3.7 million |
||||||
|
units in the first quarter of 2007 from approximately 722,000 units in the first quarter of 2006, partially |
||||||
|
offset by a decline of 61.7% in the average selling price. |
||||||
|
. The decline in average selling price was due, in large part, to the change in product mix. |
||||||
|
> Basedband semiconductors |
||||||
|
Baseband semiconductors, which typically carry lower average selling prices, accounted for 78.7% of total |
||||||
|
revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2007 as compared to 24.6% for the same period in 2006. |
||||||
|
> Turnkey solutions |
||||||
|
Turnkey solutions, which typically carry higher average selling prices, accounted for 21.3% of total |
||||||
|
revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2007 as compared to 75.4% for the same period in 2006. |
||||||
|
Revenue affected somewhat by seasonality |
||||||
|
. Revenue has generally increased from quarter to quarter, although SPRD experienced declines in revenue |
||||||
|
in the first quarter of 2007 to $26.2 million from $31.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2006, in the first |
||||||
|
quarter of 2006 to $19.7 million from $20.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2005 and in the third quarter of |
||||||
|
2006 to $26.7 million from $29.7 million in the second quarter of 2006. |
||||||
|
. These quarter to quarter declines in revenue in the first and third quarters of 2006 and the first quarter of |
||||||
|
2007 were primarily due to the seasonality factors, which increased revenue in the preceding quarters. |
||||||
|
> Baseband semiconductor sales |
||||||
|
Revenue from baseband semiconductor sales has generally increased from quarter to quarter since SPRD |
||||||
|
commenced large volume shipments in the third quarter of 2005 while revenue from turnkey solution sales |
||||||
|
increased from quarter to quarter in 2005 and then decreased from quarter to quarter in 2006 except an |
||||||
|
increase in the second quarter of 2006 as compared to the first quarter of 2006. |
||||||
|
. These trends are consistent with a shift in focus toward generating revenue from sales of higher margin |
||||||
|
baseband semiconductors, which SPRD began to implement in the first quarter of 2006. |
||||||
|
> Baseband seasonality |
||||||
|
In the first quarter of 2007, revenue from the sale of baseband semiconductors was 9.1% lower than the |
||||||
|
fourth quarter of 2006. |
||||||
|
. Shipped approximately 3.7 million units of baseband semiconductors in the first quarter of 2007 as |
||||||
|
compared to approximately 3.5 million units in the fourth quarter of 2006 |
||||||
|
. Although the decline in average selling price had a greater impact than the increase in shipping volume. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
The baseband semiconductor industry is highly competitive and dynamic and is characterized by rapid |
||||||
|
technological changes, evolving industry standards, price reductions and rapid product obsolescence. |
||||||
|
. Currently sells substantially all of SPRD's products to brand manufacturers, IDHs (Independent Design |
||||||
|
Houses) and ODMs (Original Design Manufacturers, a contract manufacturer that uses its own designs and |
||||||
|
intellectual property) |
||||||
|
. Primarily competes in China with baseband processor solutions providers, such as Analog Devices, |
||||||
|
Infineon, MediaTek and Texas Instruments. |
||||||
|
. SPRD expands its business, it may compete in the future with additional baseband processor solutions |
||||||
|
providers, such as Broadcom, Freescale and NXP. |
||||||
|
Use of $85.5mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. Working capital and other general corporate purposes, including to finance our growth, develop new |
||||||
|
products and fund capital expenditures |
||||||
|
. In addition, we may choose to expand our current business through acquisitions of other businesses, |
||||||
|
products or technologies. |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Financial Performance & Scoring -- © 2007 Gaskins IPO Desktop/IPOdesktop |
||||||
|
Pre-IPO analysis, grading & scoring -- updated June 19 |
||||||
|
. Business Model Rating Criteria |
||||||
|
A = high growth market, potential leader; B = more competitive market; C= 'public venture capital' |
||||||
|
. Calculations |
||||||
|
. IPO Price to annualized Sales Ratio -- (Price / Sales) |
||||||
|
Numerator |
Denominator |
|||||
|
IPO market capitalization… |
Annualized Sales (based on recent results) |
|||||
|
(post-IPO # of shares times mid-point of IPO price range) |
||||||
|
. IPO Price to annualized Earnings (loss) -- (Price / Earnings) |
||||||
|
Numerator |
Denominator |
|||||
|
IPO market cap |
Annualized Earnings (loss) from the last quarter |
|||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Blackstone |
BX, B-, 8 |
|||||
|
alternative investment mgr |
Post-IPO units:1084mm |
|||||
|
New York, NY |
IPO market cap: $32.5bb (at $30 per share) |
|||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Blackstone (BX) |
$32,520 |
n/a |
n/a |
2.0 |
4.4 |
12% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
|
|
Compare & Contrast (annualizing recent quarterly results) |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
June 19 |
|
|
Merril Lynch (MER) |
$78,410 |
0.9 |
9.3 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
$90.40 |
|
Goldman (GS) |
$99,900 |
1.1 |
7.9 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
$229.47 |
|
Blackstone (BX) |
$33,604 |
n/a* |
n/a* |
2.0 |
4.4 |
@$31 |
|
Fortress Inv LLC (FIG) |
$10,520 |
n/a* |
n/a* |
58.1 |
58.1 |
$25.88 |
|
Greenhil (GHL) |
$1,900 |
10.9 |
54.5 |
12.3 |
13.9 |
$66.75 |
|
(independent investment banking firm) |
*n/a = not available on a comparable basis |
|||||
|
Historical (see NOTES) |
||||||
|
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
|
Rev ($mm) |
$503 |
$494 |
$1,120 |
$221 |
$480 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Expense % |
55.1% |
72.4% |
49.4% |
44.8% |
35.8% |
@$30 |
|
Profit (loss) $mm* |
$1,523 |
$1,330 |
$2,266 |
$487.0 |
$1,133.0 |
$32,520 |
|
*includes net gains from investment activities |
*quarter ending March 31 |
|||||
|
Proforma (see NOTES) |
||||||
|
New York, NY |
2006 |
March, 07* |
||||
|
Rev ($mm) |
$2,335 |
$1,113 |
||||
|
Expense ($mm) |
$4,785 |
$1,331 |
||||
|
Net loss ($mm) |
-$550 |
-$58.0 |
||||
|
*includes net gains from investment activities |
*quarter ending March 31 |
|||||
|
NOTES |
||||||
|
Historical results not indicative |
||||||
|
. The summary historical financial data is not indicative of the expected future operating results of The |
||||||
|
Blackstone Group L.P. following the reorganization and this offering. |
||||||
|
. In particular, following this offering The Blackstone Group L.P. will no longer consolidate in its financial |
||||||
|
statements the investment funds that have historically been consolidated in financial statements, with the |
||||||
|
exception of proprietary hedge funds and four of the funds of hedge funds. |
||||||
|
. In addition, the general partners of certain legacy Blackstone funds that do not have a meaningful amount |
||||||
|
of unrealized investments and a number of investment vehicles through which existing owners and other |
||||||
|
third parties have made commitments to or investments in or alongside of Blackstone's investment funds |
||||||
|
will not be contributed to Blackstone Holdings |
||||||
|
Unaudited Pro Forma Statement of Income |
||||||
|
. The following unaudited condensed consolidated pro forma statements of income for the three months |
||||||
|
ended March 31, 2007 and the year ended December 31, 2006 and the unaudited condensed consolidated |
||||||
|
pro forma statement of financial condition as of March 31, 2007 are based upon historical financial |
||||||
|
statements. |
||||||
|
. In addition, the following pro forma measure of Economic Net Income for the three months ended March |
||||||
|
31, 2007 and the year ended December 31, 2006, which represents a supplemental measure used by |
||||||
|
management to assess financial performance |
||||||
|
Growth plan comments |
||||||
|
It appears that BX has several obvious growth plan strategies |
||||||
|
. Acquire companies and organizations which compete in the two "Competition" categories (below): Asset |
||||||
|
Management and Financial Advisory |
||||||
|
. Implement BX's proven private equity/real estate growth formula in China, with the help of the Chinese |
||||||
|
government |
||||||
|
. Increase funds under management, perhaps also targeting Chinese government funds now invested in US |
||||||
|
Treasuries and other US debt instruments |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. A leading global alternative asset manager and provider of financial advisory services. |
||||||
|
. One of the largest independent alternative asset managers in the world, with assets under management of |
||||||
|
$88.4 billion as of May 1, 2007 |
||||||
|
Four business segments: |
||||||
|
o Corporate Private Equity |
||||||
|
. Through corporate private equity funds, pursues transactions throughout the world, including not only |
||||||
|
typical leveraged buyout acquisitions of seasoned companies but also transactions involving start-up |
||||||
|
businesses in established industries, turnarounds, minority investments, corporate partnerships and industry |
||||||
|
consolidations. |
||||||
|
. Corporate private equity assets under management have grown significantly from $7.6 billion as of |
||||||
|
December 31, 2001 to $32.3 billion as of March 31, 2007, representing compound annual growth of 31.8%. |
||||||
|
. For the year ended December 31, 2006 and the three months ended March 31, 2007, the corporate private |
||||||
|
equity segment generated income before taxes of $1,009.9 million and $197.8 million, respectively. |
||||||
|
o Real Estate |
||||||
|
. Real estate opportunity funds have made significant investments in lodging, major urban office buildings, |
||||||
|
residential properties, distribution and warehousing centers and a variety of real estate operating |
||||||
|
companies. |
||||||
|
. Real estate assets under management have grown significantly from $3.0 billion as of December 31, 2001 |
||||||
|
to $19.5 billion as of March 31, 2007, representing compound annual growth of 42.9%. |
||||||
|
. For the year ended December 31, 2006 and the three months ended March 31, 2007, the real estate |
||||||
|
segment generated income before taxes of $902.7 million and $762.0 million, respectively. |
||||||
|
o Marketable Alternative Asset Management |
||||||
|
. Comprised of our management of funds of hedge funds, mezzanine funds and senior debt vehicles, |
||||||
|
proprietary hedge funds and publicly-traded closed-end mutual funds. |
||||||
|
. Marketable alternative assets under management have grown significantly from $3.5 billion as of |
||||||
|
December 31, 2001 to $31.4 billion as of March 31, 2007, representing compound annual growth of 51.8%. |
||||||
|
. For the year ended December 31, 2006 and the three months ended March 31, 2007, the marketable |
||||||
|
alternative asset management segment generated income before taxes of $191.7 million and $113.2 million, |
||||||
|
respectively. |
||||||
|
o Financial Advisory |
||||||
|
. Corporate and mergers and acquisitions advisory services, restructuring and reorganization advisory |
||||||
|
services and fund placement services for alternative investment funds. |
||||||
|
. Over the past full five years, revenues in the financial advisory segment have grown to $260.3 million, |
||||||
|
representing compound annual growth of 22.7%. |
||||||
|
. For the year ended December 31, 2006 and the three months ended March 31, 2007, the financial advisory |
||||||
|
segment generated income before taxes of $193.9 million and $73.1 million, respectively. |
||||||
|
Three Months Ended March 31, 2007 Compared to Three Months Ended March 31, 2006 |
||||||
|
> Revenues |
||||||
|
. $479.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007, an increase of $258.4 million or 116.9% |
||||||
|
versus the three months ended March 31, 2006. |
||||||
|
. The increase was primarily due to increased fund management fees in the real estate segment of $189.5 |
||||||
|
million related to the acquisition of Equity Office Properties Trust in 2007, and the commencement of the |
||||||
|
new real estate fund, Blackstone Real Estate Partners VI, in February 2007. |
||||||
|
. In addition, fund management fees increased in the marketable alternative asset management segment by |
||||||
|
$36.0 million as a result of growth in assets under management. |
||||||
|
. Additionally, revenues in the financial advisory segment increased by $55.2 million primarily from |
||||||
|
increased activity in the fund placement business and increases in mergers and acquisition engagements |
||||||
|
. The increases in revenues were partially offset by a decrease in portfolio company related fees of $24.1 |
||||||
|
million related to the corporate private equity segment primarily due to a decrease in LP capital deployed. |
||||||
|
> Net Gains from Investment Activities |
||||||
|
. Were $3.8 billion (including $631.0 million of general partner carried interest allocation) for the three |
||||||
|
months ended March 31, 2007, an increase of $2.1 billion or 124.4% versus the three months ended March |
||||||
|
31, 2006. |
||||||
|
. The increase was primarily due to an increase in net appreciation in the real estate segment of $2.1 billion |
||||||
|
attributed to the funds' office and limited service hospitality portfolios. |
||||||
|
. In particular, the funds' office portfolio appreciated based upon pricing achieved on dispositions of assets |
||||||
|
associated with the recent acquisition of Equity Office Properties Trust. Approximately $1.6 billion of the |
||||||
|
increase in net gains from investment activities was allocated to minority interest holders. |
||||||
|
> Assets Under Management |
||||||
|
. Were $83.1 billion at March 31, 2007, an increase of $25.6 billion or 44.6% versus March 31, 2006. |
||||||
|
. The increase was due to increases in assets under management of $3.5 billion in the corporate private |
||||||
|
equity segment, $10.3 billion in the real estate segment and $11.9 billion in the marketable alternative asset |
||||||
|
management segment. |
||||||
|
> Capital Deployed |
||||||
|
. LP capital invested and carry dollars* created were $4.0 billion and $794.7 million, respectively, for the |
||||||
|
three months ended March 31, 2007, which represent increases of $2.5 billion (161.8%) and $491.2 million |
||||||
|
(161.8%), respectively, versus the three months ended March 31, 2006. |
||||||
|
. The increases were primarily due to the investment of $3.5 billion related to the acquisition of Equity |
||||||
|
Office Properties Trust in the real estate segment, partially offset by a decrease in LP capital deployed by |
||||||
|
the corporate private equity segment of $804.3 million. |
||||||
|
*Definition: Carry Dollars Created |
||||||
|
. Carry Dollars Created is an operating measure of the value created for BX when BX carry funds make an |
||||||
|
investment. |
||||||
|
. Carry Dollars Created is calculated by multiplying the aggregate amount of Limited Partner capital |
||||||
|
invested by the carry funds in transactions during a given period by the contractual percentage (generally |
||||||
|
20%) of the profits that BX earns as a preferred allocation of income (a carried interest) from these |
||||||
|
investments, assuming BX achieves specified cumulative investment returns. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
> Asset Management |
||||||
|
Depending on the investment, expects to face competition primarily from other private equity funds, |
||||||
|
specialized investment funds, hedge fund sponsors, other financial institutions, corporate buyers and other |
||||||
|
parties |
||||||
|
> Financial Advisory |
||||||
|
. Primary competitors are large financial institutions, many of which have far greater financial and other |
||||||
|
resources and much broader client relationships than BX and (unlike BX) have the ability to offer a wide |
||||||
|
range of products, from loans, deposit-taking and insurance to brokerage and a wide range of investment |
||||||
|
banking services, which may enhance their competitive position. |
||||||
|
. Competitors also have the ability to support investment banking, including financial advisory services, |
||||||
|
with commercial banking, insurance and other financial services revenue in an effort to gain market share, |
||||||
|
which puts BX at a competitive disadvantage and could result in pricing pressures that could materially |
||||||
|
adversely affect BX'srevenue and profitability. In addition, Park Hill Group operates in a highly |
||||||
|
competitive environment and the barriers to entry into the fund placement business are low. |
||||||
|
Employees |
||||||
|
. As of March 31, 2007, employed approximately 770 people, including our 60 senior managing directors |
||||||
|
. With 340 investment and advisory professionals |
||||||
|
. Which puts a $100mm market valuation per investment & advisory professional |
||||||
|
Distribution policy |
||||||
|
Until December 31, 2009, existing owners will not receive distributions in respect of their Blackstone |
||||||
|
Holdings partnership units for a year unless and until |
||||||
|
. Common unit holders receive aggregate distributions of $1.20 per common unit on an annualized basis for |
||||||
|
such year. |
||||||
|
. BX does not intend to maintain this priority allocation after December 31, 2009. |
||||||
|
. After December 31, 2009, all the income (and accordingly distributions) of Blackstone Holdings will be |
||||||
|
allocated pro rata to all partners of the Blackstone Holdings partnerships in accordance with their respective |
||||||
|
partnership interests. |
||||||
|
Use of $3.83bb in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
Plus proceeds from the sale of non-voting common units to the (China) State Investment Company, |
||||||
|
estimated to be $3.0 billion. |
||||||
|
> $3.90 billion to purchase interests from our existing owners |
||||||
|
> Remaining proceeds of $2.93 billion to purchase newly issued Blackstone partnership interests, and |
||||||
|
intends to cause Blackstone Holdings to use $1.2 billion to repay short-term borrowings and the remainder: |
||||||
|
o to facilitate the growth of existing asset management and financial advisory businesses, including |
||||||
|
funding a portion of general partner capital commitments to BX's carry funds; |
||||||
|
o to provide capital to facilitate expansion into new businesses that are complementary to existing asset |
||||||
|
management and financial advisory businesses and that can benefit from being affiliated with BX, |
||||||
|
including possibly through selected strategic acquisitions |
||||||
|
o for other general corporate purposes. |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Financial Performance & Scoring -- © 2007 Gaskins IPO Desktop/IPOdesktop |
||||||
|
Pre-IPO analysis, grading & scoring -- updated June 9 |
||||||
|
. Business Model Rating Criteria |
||||||
|
A = high growth market, potential leader; B = more competitive market; C= 'public venture capital' |
||||||
|
. Calculations |
||||||
|
. IPO Price to annualized Sales Ratio -- (Price / Sales) |
||||||
|
Numerator |
Denominator |
|||||
|
IPO market capitalization… |
Annualized Sales (based on recent results) |
|||||
|
(post-IPO # of shares times mid-point of IPO price range) |
||||||
|
. IPO Price to annualized Earnings (loss) -- (Price / Earnings) |
||||||
|
Numerator |
Denominator |
|||||
|
IPO market cap |
Annualized Earnings (loss) from the last quarter |
|||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
SEARCH BY COMPANY |
In your browser use 'Edit/Find' to search for companies |
|||||
|
or ticker for analysis |
scheduled below |
|||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
June 11wk week IPO schedule |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Aegerion Pharm (AEGR) |
$242 |
n/a |
-17 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
27% |
|
small-molecule therapeutics: C, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs: 18.6m |
|||||
|
BioFuel Energy (BIOF) |
$553 |
n/a |
n/a |
3.2 |
2.4 |
29% |
|
to build five ethanol plants: C, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 32.5m |
|||||
|
BWAY Holding (BWY) |
$369 |
0.2 |
12 |
2.9 |
-1.3 |
54% |
|
rigid metal & plastic containers: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 22m |
|||||
|
GeoVera Ins (GEOV) |
$366 |
1.8 |
7 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
27% |
|
specialty residential property insurance: C+, 7 |
Post-IPO shrs: 21.5m |
|||||
|
June 11wk financials, analysis, grading, scoring |
||||||
|
Aegerion Pharma |
AEGR, C, 6 |
|||||
|
small-molecule therapeutics |
Post-IPO shrs: 18.6m |
|||||
|
Bridgewater, NJ |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
||
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$6 |
-$1 |
-$3.5 |
$241.8 |
||
|
*quarter ending March 31 |
$242 |
|||||
|
@$13 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Aegerion Pharm (AEGR) |
$242 |
n/a |
-17 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
27% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of drug products |
||||||
|
consisting of single molecules, called small-molecule therapeutics, to treat cardiovascular and metabolic |
||||||
|
disease. |
||||||
|
. Current product candidates are microsomal triglyceride transfer protein inhibitors that limit secretion of |
||||||
|
cholesterol and triglycerides, collectively referred to as lipids, from the intestine and liver and have |
||||||
|
demonstrated in humans an ability to significantly reduce low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, or LDL-C. |
||||||
|
Two product candicates |
||||||
|
. AEGR-733 and AEGR-427 (implitapide), in clinical development. |
||||||
|
. Holds exclusive worldwide rights to certain know-how and patents applicable these compounds pursuant |
||||||
|
to license agreements completed in 2006 with The Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania and Bayer |
||||||
|
Healthcare AG, respectively. |
||||||
|
Clinical trials |
||||||
|
. In 2007, expect additional Phase II clinical trials of AEGR-733 will be initiated to further evaluate its |
||||||
|
potential role in reducing LDL-C in patients with hypercholesterolemia, and in the second half of 2007 |
||||||
|
expects a Phase III clinical trial of AEGR-733 for patients with homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia |
||||||
|
will be initiated. |
||||||
|
. In the second half of 2007, expects a Phase II dose ranging trial will be initiated to evaluate the efficacy |
||||||
|
and safety/tolerability profile of AEGR-427 (implitapide) in doses ranging from 30 mg to 50 mg, and a |
||||||
|
Phase II pharmacokinetics trial will be initiated to evaluate the ability of AEGR-427 (implitapide) to be |
||||||
|
used in combination with statins. |
||||||
|
Intellectual property |
||||||
|
. AEGR-733 patent portfolio consists of five issued U.S. patents, one pending U.S. non-provisional patent |
||||||
|
application and related patents and pending applications in Europe, Australia, Japan, Canada, and Israel. |
||||||
|
AEGR holds an exclusive worldwide license from The Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania to these |
||||||
|
patents and patent applications. The issued patents described above contain claims directed to the |
||||||
|
compound, AEGR-733, and various methods of use, including methods of treating atherosclerosis, |
||||||
|
hyperlipidemia or hypercholesterolemia, and methods of reducing serum lipid levels, cholesterol and/or |
||||||
|
triglycerides. The patents are scheduled to expire betAEGRen 2013 and 2019. |
||||||
|
. AEGR-427 (implitapide) patent portfolio consists of four issued U.S. patents, two pending U.S. non |
||||||
|
provisional applications, and related patents and pending applications in Europe, Australia, Asia, Africa, |
||||||
|
and South America. AEGR holds an exclusive worldwide license from Bayer Healthcare AG to these |
||||||
|
patents and patent applications. The issued patents described above contain claims directed to the |
||||||
|
compound, AEGR-427 (implitapide), methods for treating obesity and atherosclerosis, and processes for |
||||||
|
making AEGR-427 (implitapide). The patents are scheduled to expire betAEGRen 2015 and 2017. |
||||||
|
. In addition to the patents and patent applications described above, AEGR has filed four U.S. patent |
||||||
|
applications (three non-provisional applications and one provisional application) and four international |
||||||
|
applications directed to pharmaceutical combinations of a microsomal triglyceride transfer protein inhibitor |
||||||
|
(for example, AEGR-733 or AEGR-427 (implitapide)) and other cholesterol loAEGRring drugs, and to |
||||||
|
methods of using such combinations in certain dosing regimens to reduce serum cholesterol and/or |
||||||
|
triglyceride concentrations, or to treat and/or control obesity. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
Expects that AEGR-733 and AEGR-427 (implitapide), if approved, will compete with the following: |
||||||
|
o Other microsomal triglyceride transfer protein inhibitors. |
||||||
|
Currently, there are no microsomal triglyceride transfer protein inhibitor compounds approved by the FDA |
||||||
|
for the treatment of hyperlipidemia. In November 2006, Pfizer Inc. announced that it is developing a |
||||||
|
microsomal triglyceride transfer protein inhibitor. AEGR believe that this compound has either recently |
||||||
|
entered into a Phase II clinical trial, or will shortly. AEGR also understands that Surface Logix, Inc., a |
||||||
|
privately-held drug development company, is developing an intestine- specific microsomal triglyceride |
||||||
|
transfer protein inhibitor, called SLX-4090 and has recently completed a Phase I clinical trial for this |
||||||
|
product candidate. In addition, AEGR understands that Japan Tobacco, Inc. is working on a microsomal |
||||||
|
triglyceride transfer protein inhibitor, called JTT-130 that is currently in Phase II trials in Japan and |
||||||
|
overseas. AEGR believes that other large pharmaceutical companies may be investigating microsomal |
||||||
|
transfer protein inhibitor compounds, but all are believed to be in early stages of development. |
||||||
|
o Combination Therapies. |
||||||
|
AEGR believes that its product candidates have the potential to address significant unmet medical needs |
||||||
|
when used in combination with existing lipid lowering therapies, in particular statins and cholesterol |
||||||
|
absorption inhibitors. As such, product candidates, if approved, will compete to varying degrees with fixed |
||||||
|
dosage combination therapies, such as Vytorin (ezetimibe / simvastatin) which is marketed by a joint |
||||||
|
venture betAEGRen Schering-Plough Corporation and Merck & Co., Inc. and Advicor (niacin extended |
||||||
|
release / lovastatin tablets) which is marketed by Abbott Laboratories. |
||||||
|
o Statins. |
||||||
|
AEGR believes that product candidates have the potential to address significant unmet medical needs when |
||||||
|
used in combination with statin therapies. However, to a limited extent product candidates, if approved, |
||||||
|
will compete directly with statins, including: Lipitor (atorvastatin) which is marketed by Pfizer Inc.; |
||||||
|
Crestor (rosuvastatin) which is marketed by AstraZeneca PLC; and Zocor (simvastatin), which is marketed |
||||||
|
by Merck & Co., Inc. |
||||||
|
o Cholesterol Absorption Inhibitors. |
||||||
|
AEGR believes that its product candidates have the potential to address significant unmet medical needs |
||||||
|
when used in combination with cholesterol absorption inhibitors. However, to a significant extent product |
||||||
|
candidates, if approved, will also compete directly with this drug class, particularly as a combination |
||||||
|
therapy with statins to treat patients with hyperlipidemia, including: Zetia (ezetimibe) which is marketed as |
||||||
|
a monotherapy by Schering-Plough Corporation and is currently the only FDA-approved cholesterol |
||||||
|
absorption inhibitor on the market. In addition, AEGR understands that Microbia, Inc., a privately-held |
||||||
|
drug development company, is developing a cholesterol absorption inhibitor, called MD-0727, that is |
||||||
|
currently in Phase I clinical trials. Sanofi-Aventis has also recently announced that it is developing a |
||||||
|
cholesterol absorption inhibitor, called AVE-5530, that is currently in Phase IIb clinical development. |
||||||
|
AEGR believe that other pharmaceutical companies may be developing cholesterol absorption inhibitor |
||||||
|
compounds, but all are believed to be in early stages of development. |
||||||
|
o Other Lipid-Lowering |
||||||
|
Therapies. Although AEGR believes that its product candidates have the potential to be used in |
||||||
|
combination with other lipid-lowering therapies, to a significant extent our product candidates, if approved, |
||||||
|
will compete directly with these therapies in the treatment of hyperlipidemia, including: Tricor (fenofibrate |
||||||
|
tablets) and Niaspan (niacin), both of which are marketed by Abbott Laboratories. Isis Pharmaceuticals is |
||||||
|
developing an antisense apoB-100 inhibitor for lowering high cholesterol and has initiated a Phase II |
||||||
|
clinical trial for this product candidate. |
||||||
|
Use of $57mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. $10mm to repay debt |
||||||
|
. $20.0 to $25.0 million to fund the continued clinical development of AEGR-733, including the initiation |
||||||
|
in 2007 of additional Phase II trials and in the second half of 2007 of the Phase III trial in patients with |
||||||
|
homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia to be conducted by UPenn, which AEGR believes will fund |
||||||
|
these trials through their completion; |
||||||
|
. $12.0 to $17.0 million of these net proceeds to fund the continued clinical development of AEGR-427 |
||||||
|
(implitapide), including the initiation in the second half of 2007 of two additional Phase II trials, which |
||||||
|
AEGR believes will fund these trials through their completion; and |
||||||
|
. Remaining proceeds for general corporate purposes |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
BioFuel Energy |
BIOF, C, 7 |
|||||
|
to build five ethanol plants |
Post-IPO shrs: 32.5m |
|||||
|
Denver, CO |
2006 |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|||
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$3 |
-$0.2 |
Cap (mm) |
|||
|
$553 |
||||||
|
*quarter ending March 31 |
@$17 |
|||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
BioFuel Energy (BIOF) |
$553 |
n/a |
n/a |
3.2 |
2.4 |
29% |
|
Note: the figures in the filing appear to be inconsistent, because the price-to-tangible book value |
||||||
|
ratio by definition is always equal to are greater than the price-to-book value |
||||||
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Development stage company whose goal is to become a leading ethanol producer in the United States. |
||||||
|
. Currently constructing two 115 Mmgy ethanol plants in the Midwestern corn belt. |
||||||
|
. In addition, expects to commence construction of a third 115 Mmgy ethanol plant later this year. |
||||||
|
. Once complete, the initial three plants are expected to produce 345 Mmgy of fuel grade ethanol and |
||||||
|
1. million tons of distillers grain annually |
||||||
|
Cargill |
||||||
|
. At each location, Cargill, with whom BIOF has an extensive relationship, has a strong local presence and, |
||||||
|
directly or through affiliates, owns adjacent grain storage facilities. |
||||||
|
. Three similar sites are being developed in anticipation of the possible construction of additional plants |
||||||
|
. All six sites were selected primarily based on access to favorably priced corn as well as availability of rail |
||||||
|
transportation and natural gas. |
||||||
|
. BIOF ultimately expects to grow, at least in part, through acquisitions. |
||||||
|
. However, in current market conditions, BIOF believes it is more attractive financially to build rather than |
||||||
|
4buy. |
||||||
|
. BIOF will continue to assess the build versus acquire trade-off as BIOF considers initiating construction |
||||||
|
on one or more of the next three sites. |
||||||
|
About Cargill |
||||||
|
. Cargill is one of the world's leading agribusiness companies. Cargill will handle corn procurement, |
||||||
|
marketing of ethanol and distillers grain and transportation logistics for BIOF's two initial plants under |
||||||
|
long-term contracts. |
||||||
|
. In addition, they will lease BIOF their adjacent grain storage and handling facilities. |
||||||
|
. BIOF expects to enter into similar agreements for its third plant. |
||||||
|
. Finally, BIOF will have access to Cargill's risk management services, which BIOF believes to be |
||||||
|
particularly attractive with regard to corn given their virtually unique position in that market. |
||||||
|
Market statistics |
||||||
|
. According to the RFA, world ethanol production rose to 13.5 billion gallons in 2006. |
||||||
|
. The United States and Brazil are the world's largest producers of ethanol. |
||||||
|
. According to the RFA, industry capacity in the United States was approximately 4.9 Bgpy in 2006, with |
||||||
|
an additional 6.2 Bgpy of capacity under construction as of April 2007. |
||||||
|
. The ethanol industry in the United States consists of more than 100 production facilities and is primarily |
||||||
|
corn-based, while ethanol production in Brazil is primarily sugar cane-based. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
. Daniels Midland Company, the largest ethanol producer in the United States. According to the RFA, as of |
||||||
|
April 2007, Archer Daniels had 1,070 Mmgy of current annual capacity, representing approximately 18% |
||||||
|
of total production capacity in the United States. Historically, Archer Daniels' ethanol plants have used |
||||||
|
wet-mill technology with a focus on the co-products of ethanol production. Archer Daniels has announced |
||||||
|
that it intends to increase its ethanol production capacity by approximately 51% by mid-2008 through the |
||||||
|
construction of new dry-mill ethanol plants. |
||||||
|
. According to the RFA, as of April 2007, the next nine largest domestic ethanol producers accounted for |
||||||
|
approximately 26% of domestic production capacity. |
||||||
|
. Other large ethanol producers such as VeraSun Energy Corporation, ASAlliances Biofuels, Inc., Aventine |
||||||
|
Renewable Energy, Inc., Abengoa Bioenergy Corporation, US BioEnergy Corporation and Hawkeye |
||||||
|
Holdings Inc. |
||||||
|
. One such competitor, ASAlliances Biofuels, Inc., has commercial arrangements in place with Cargill |
||||||
|
similar to BIOF and Cargill, through a subsidiary, has made an equity investment in that company. In |
||||||
|
addition, Cargill has announced plans to expand production at an existing ethanol facility by approximately |
||||||
|
110 Mmgy and to develop four new 100 Mmgy ethanol plants in the Midwestern United States. |
||||||
|
Use of $147mm in IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
. $50mm to repay debt |
||||||
|
. All remaining proceeds will ultimately be used to fund the equity portion of the construction costs of the |
||||||
|
Alta plant. |
||||||
|
. Also intends to borrow up to $125 million of additional debt to finance the remaining costs of |
||||||
|
construction of the Alta plant. |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
BWAY Holding |
BWY, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
rigid metal & plastic containers |
Post-IPO shrs: 22m |
|||||
|
Atlanta, GA |
proforma ==> |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
|
Rev ($mm) |
$969 |
$456 |
$436 |
Cap (mm) |
||
|
Gross Profit % |
14% |
11% |
15% |
$369 |
||
|
Operating Income % |
5% |
4% |
7% |
@$17 |
||
|
Interest expense % |
4% |
4% |
4% |
|||
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$6 |
$0.5 |
$8.0 |
|||
|
Profit (loss) % |
0.7% |
0.1% |
1.8% |
|||
|
EBITDA % |
11.9% |
10.5% |
11.7% |
|||
|
*six months ending April 2 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
BWAY Holding (BWY) |
$369 |
0.2 |
12 |
2.9 |
-1.3 |
54% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. A leading North American manufacturer of general line rigid metal and plastic containers |
||||||
|
. Estimates that it has a number one market share in products that together represented approximately 78% |
||||||
|
of fiscal 2006 net sales. |
||||||
|
. In fiscal 2006, total net sales were $918.5 million, or $968.9 million on a pro forma basis for the |
||||||
|
acquisition of substantially all of the assets of ICL in July 2006. |
||||||
|
History |
||||||
|
. Since 2003, the management team has lead a successful transformation of the company through |
||||||
|
diversification into the general line rigid plastics business. |
||||||
|
. In three years, completed four strategic acquisitions, diversified into plastics with $365.5 million in plastic |
||||||
|
segment net sales for fiscal 2006 and have achieved a market leading position for the products |
||||||
|
manufactured. |
||||||
|
Relative segment growth |
||||||
|
. The general line rigid plastic container market is growing faster than the general line rigid metal container |
||||||
|
market |
||||||
|
. On a pro forma basis for the ICL acquisition, plastics packaging segment net sales were 41.5% and metal |
||||||
|
packaging net sales were 58.5% in fiscal 2006. |
||||||
|
Segments |
||||||
|
> Metal packaging segment operates primarily in North America in the general line segment of the metal |
||||||
|
container market. In the United States, BWY is the leading producer of steel paint cans, the third largest |
||||||
|
producer of steel aerosol cans and we has established significant market positions in most of our other |
||||||
|
product lines. |
||||||
|
> BWY believes that it is the largest manufacturer of general line rigid plastic containers in the North |
||||||
|
American market and produces products in five broad categories: (1) open-head containers; (2) tight-head |
||||||
|
containers; (3) "F"-style plastic bottles; (4) plastic drums; and (5) plastic paint bottles. |
||||||
|
Customers |
||||||
|
. BWY's plastics packaging segment customers include some of the world's leading paint, food and |
||||||
|
industrial companies, several of which are also customers of the metal packaging segment. |
||||||
|
. Has long-term relationships with customers and in many cases are the exclusive supplier of the customers' |
||||||
|
plastic packaging requirements. |
||||||
|
. In fiscal 2006, sales to the 10 largest plastics packaging segment customers accounted for approximately |
||||||
|
40% of the segment's net sales. Of the fiscal 2006 segment net sales, approximately 18% were to The |
||||||
|
Sherwin-Williams Company. |
||||||
|
Use of Proceeds from sale of 11.76mm shares |
||||||
|
(Kelso Investment Associates VI will be the seller of 9.1mm shares) |
||||||
|
100% to selling shareholders |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
GeoVera Insurance |
GEOV, C+, 7 |
|||||
|
specialty residential property insurance |
Post-IPO shrs: 21.5m |
|||||
|
Hamilton, Bermuda |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
||
|
Total revenues ($mm) |
$175 |
$40 |
$50 |
Cap (mm) |
||
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$35 |
$3.5 |
$13.4 |
$366 |
||
|
Profit (loss) % |
20% |
9% |
27% |
@$17 |
||
|
Ratios |
||||||
|
. Gross loss |
34% |
48% |
23% |
|||
|
. Combined (exp & loss) |
83% |
85% |
80% |
|||
|
*quarter ending March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
GeoVera Ins (GEOV) |
$366 |
1.8 |
7 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
27% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Business |
||||||
|
. Provider of specialty residential property insurance |
||||||
|
. Focuses on two lines of business, Specialty Homeowners and Residential Earthquake, in certain markets |
||||||
|
that GEOV believes is suffering from short-and long-term dislocation and where GEOV has strong |
||||||
|
underwriting expertise. |
||||||
|
. For 2006 60% or revenue from specialty homeowners insurance, 40% from earthquake insurance. |
||||||
|
. Sells Specialty Homeowners products primarily on a non-admitted, or excess and surplus lines, basis in |
||||||
|
hurricane-exposed states such as Florida, South Carolina and Texas, and Residential Earthquake products |
||||||
|
primarily on an admitted basis in earthquake-prone states, such as California, Oregon and Washington. |
||||||
|
--------- |
||||||
|
. Excess line insurance companies (Excess & Surplus) typically insure risks not covered by the standard lines market. |
||||||
|
. They are broadly referred as being all insurance placed with non-admitted insurers. |
||||||
|
. Non-admitted insurers are not licenced in the states where the risks are located. |
||||||
|
. These companies have more flexibility and can react faster than standard insurance companies because |
||||||
|
they don't have the same regulations as standard insurance companies. |
||||||
|
. State laws generally require insurance placed with surplus line agents and brokers to not be available |
||||||
|
through standard licensed insurers. |
||||||
|
--------- |
||||||
|
Competitive strengths |
||||||
|
o Leading specialty residential property insurer with expertise in dislocated, underserved markets. |
||||||
|
. December 31, 2006, was the largest non-admitted homeowners insurer in Florida as ranked by premiums |
||||||
|
written, according to publicly available data from the Florida Surplus Lines Service Office. |
||||||
|
. For the year ended December 31, 2005, the most recent year for which data is available, was the largest |
||||||
|
private insurer of residential earthquake risk in California as ranked by premiums written, according to |
||||||
|
publicly available data from the California Department of Insurance. |
||||||
|
o Automated, "no-exceptions" individual risk underwriting platform |
||||||
|
Is a primary insurer, providing specialty residential property coverage to individual policyholders. |
||||||
|
o Flexibility as a non-admitted primary insurer |
||||||
|
Sells Specialty Homeowners products primarily on a non-admitted basis, which provides more flexibility |
||||||
|
than admitted carriers to set and adjust premium rates, customize policy forms and enter and exit markets in |
||||||
|
response to changing underwriting conditions |
||||||
|
History |
||||||
|
. Travelers Insurance is the former parrent |
||||||
|
. Since GeoVera Holdings had no operations prior to the Acquisition, which occurred on November 1, |
||||||
|
2005, it has limited historical financial and operating information |
||||||
|
. Prior to the Acquisition, substantially all of the gross premiums written, gross premiums earned, losses |
||||||
|
and loss adjustment expenses incurred, underwriting expenses and investment income produced by |
||||||
|
GEOV's U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries were ceded to Travelers, the former parent, pursuant to various quota |
||||||
|
share reinsurance agreements. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
In the Specialty Homeowners business, competes with state-sponsored residual insurance markets, regional |
||||||
|
and single-state insurance companies and, to a lesser extent, national homeowners insurers such as The |
||||||
|
Allstate Corporation, State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Company, The Travelers Companies, Inc., |
||||||
|
Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company, Liberty Mutual Holding Company Inc., Safeco Corporation and |
||||||
|
others. |
||||||
|
. In Florida, primary competitor is Citizens, a state-sponsored residual insurer formed in 2002 to provide |
||||||
|
homeowners policies to Florida residents who are unable to secure coverage in the admitted market. For the |
||||||
|
year ended December 31, 2006, we were the largest non-admitted homeowners insurer in Florida, as ranked |
||||||
|
by premiums written. |
||||||
|
. In Texas, competes for certain coastal exposures principally with other non-admitted homeowners insurers |
||||||
|
such as the underwriters at Lloyd's and with admitted insurers who write their policies in conjunction with |
||||||
|
the Texas Wind Insurance Association, or TWIA. Also underwrites admitted homeowners business in |
||||||
|
certain inland counties in Texas, where GEOVcompetes with a broad group of other admitted homeowners |
||||||
|
insurers such as Safeco Corporation and Republic Companies Group, Inc. |
||||||
|
. In South Carolina, we underwrite Specialty Homeowners policies primarily in coastal counties, where we |
||||||
|
compete primarily with Lexington Insurance Company and AXIS Capital Holding Ltd., both of which |
||||||
|
operate on a non-admitted basis. |
||||||
|
. In California, state law requires all homeowners insurers to offer their homeowners policyholders a |
||||||
|
separate catastrophic residential earthquake policy with statutorily mandated deductibles, coverage |
||||||
|
limitations and other state-mandated provisions every two years. Currently, companies that account for |
||||||
|
approximately 70% of the California homeowners insurance market on a direct premium basis participate |
||||||
|
in the CEA. |
||||||
|
. Other than the CEA and homeowners insurers offering state-mandated mini-policies, GEOV believes that |
||||||
|
it currently has only two direct competitors for residential earthquake business in California: AXIS Capital |
||||||
|
Holding Ltd. and Pacific Specialty Insurance Company. |
||||||
|
. In Oregon and Washington, homeowners insurers typically offer residential earthquake coverage as an |
||||||
|
endorsement to existing homeowners policies. Some homeowners insurers in these states, such as Allstate |
||||||
|
Insurance Company, have stopped offering residential earthquake coverage to their policyholders, while |
||||||
|
others have raised deductible levels and restricted new business in certain areas. GEOV believes that its |
||||||
|
product design and customer service capabilities compare favorably with those carriers who continue to |
||||||
|
offer residential earthquake coverage in these states. |
||||||
|
Use of $29mm in IPO proceeds from sale of 2mm shares |
||||||
|
(shareholders intent to sell 3.9mm shares) |
||||||
|
. Contributions to the capital of Insurance Subsidiaries and for other general corporate purposes |
||||||
|
. Selling shareholder is the parent GeoVera Insurance Group Holdings, Ltd., who will own 73% post-ipo |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
Financial Performance & Scoring -- © 2007 Gaskins IPO Desktop/IPOdesktop |
||||||
|
Pre-IPO analysis, grading & scoring -- updated June 6 |
||||||
|
. Business Model Rating Criteria |
||||||
|
A = high growth market, potential leader; B = more competitive market; C= 'public venture capital' |
||||||
|
. Calculations |
||||||
|
. IPO Price to annualized Sales Ratio -- (Price / Sales) |
||||||
|
Numerator |
Denominator |
|||||
|
IPO market capitalization… |
Annualized Sales (based on recent results) |
|||||
|
(post-IPO # of shares times mid-point of IPO price range) |
||||||
|
. IPO Price to annualized Earnings (loss) -- (Price / Earnings) |
||||||
|
Numerator |
Denominator |
|||||
|
IPO market cap |
Annualized Earnings (loss) from the last quarter |
|||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
SEARCH BY COMPANY |
In your browser use 'Edit/Find' to search for companies |
|||||
|
or ticker for analysis |
scheduled below |
|||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
June 4wk week IPO schedule |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Einstein Noah Rst BAGL |
$313 |
0.8 |
67 |
-7.7 |
-2.9 |
32% |
|
3 brands of bagel specialty restL C, 6.5 |
Post-IPO shrs: 15.6m |
|||||
|
FBR Capital (FBCM) |
$1,098 |
1.9 |
25 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
19% |
|
REIT sub of Friedman Billings: C+, 6 |
Post-IPO shrs:65m |
|||||
|
Infinera Corp (INFN) |
$915 |
4.7 |
-12 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
17% |
|
(photonic-based) optical networking: B-, 8 |
Post-IPO shrs: 83m |
|||||
|
Limelight Net (LLNW) |
$861 |
15.4 |
-11 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
18% |
|
delivers rich media over the Internet: B-, 8.5 |
Post-IPO shrs: 78m |
|||||
|
Response Gtncs (RGDX) |
$76 |
11.9 |
-27 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
30% |
|
diagnostic tests for cancer: C, 5.5 |
Post-IPO shrs: 10m |
|||||
|
Starent Networks STAR |
$624 |
5.6 |
68 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
17% |
|
multimedia infrastructure for mobile oper: B-, 8 |
Post-IPO shrs: 62m |
|||||
|
Yingli Green Energy YGE |
$1,548 |
7.0 |
358 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
22% |
|
Vertically integrated photovoltaic prod: B-, 8 |
Post-IPO shrs: 129m |
|||||
|
Total |
$5,435 |
|||||
|
June 4wk financials, analysis, grading, scoring |
||||||
|
Einstein Noah Rest |
BAGL, C, 6.6 |
|||||
|
3 brands of bagel specialty rest |
Post-IPO shrs: 15.6m |
|||||
|
Golden, CO |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$374 |
$389 |
$390 |
$97 |
$96 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Gross Profit % |
18% |
19% |
20% |
19% |
20% |
$313 |
|
Depreciation & amortization% |
6.2% |
2.5% |
@$20 |
|||
|
Operating Income % |
1% |
2% |
5% |
2% |
6% |
|
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
-$17 |
-$14 |
-$7 |
-$12.0 |
$1.2 |
|
|
Profit (loss) % |
-4.7% |
-3.6% |
-1.8% |
-12.4% |
1.2% |
|
|
EBITDA % |
9.2% |
9.8% |
10.8% |
8.5% |
9.4% |
|
|
*quarter ending March 31 |
||||||
|
Note: operating income increased in the March 07 quarter in large part because depreciaton & amortization |
||||||
|
decreased to 2.5% from 6.2% |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
Einstein Noah Rst BAGL |
$313 |
0.8 |
67 |
-7.7 |
-2.9 |
32% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
1.5 |
1 |
6.5 |
|
|
Secondary - traded on pink sheets - symbol: NWRG.PK between $18 & $20, with an average daily volume |
||||||
|
of 6200 shares |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. BAGL believes it is the largest owner/operator, franchisor and licensor of bagel specialty restaurants in |
||||||
|
the US. |
||||||
|
. 600 restaurants in 36 states and the District of Columbia under the Einstein Bros. Bagels, Noah's New |
||||||
|
York Bagels and Manhattan Bagel brands. |
||||||
|
. As a leading fast-casual restaurant chain, BAGL's restaurants specialize in high quality foods for |
||||||
|
breakfast, lunch and afternoon snacks in a café atmosphere with a neighborhood emphasis. |
||||||
|
Locations |
||||||
|
. Einstein Bros. restaurants are 33 states and the District of Columbia |
||||||
|
. Noah's restaurants in three states on the West Coast |
||||||
|
. Manhattan Bagel restaurants concentrated in the Northeast. |
||||||
|
. Einstein Bros. and Noah's restaurants are company-owned or licensed, while Manhattan Bagel restaurants |
||||||
|
are predominantly franchised. |
||||||
|
Operations |
||||||
|
. As of April 3, 2007, have identified 20 company-owned restaurants that anticipated to close over the next |
||||||
|
three years as their leases expire. Generally, these restaurants have an AUV (annual unit volume) of |
||||||
|
$550,000 or less and contribute negligible cash flow. |
||||||
|
. Recently implemented a number of initiatives in an effort to drive sales and improve profitability |
||||||
|
including quality service checklists, secret shopper inspections, improved ordering systems and enhanced |
||||||
|
training programs. |
||||||
|
. These initiatives have led to positive comparable store sales over the past nine quarters, which reversed a |
||||||
|
two-year negative trend. |
||||||
|
New Restaurant Openings |
||||||
|
. During 2004, 2005 and 2006, opened four, four and five new company-owned restaurants, respectively |
||||||
|
. In 2007, plans to open a total of 11 to 15 new company-owned restaurants. |
||||||
|
. For Einstein Bros., has targeted Atlanta, Chicago, Las Vegas, Phoenix, and various cities in Florida for development. |
||||||
|
. For Noah's, intends to focus development efforts on Portland, Seattle and various cities in California. |
||||||
|
. As of April 3, 2007, opened one new Noah's location located in Portland, Oregon. |
||||||
|
Current restaurant base |
||||||
|
As of April 3, 2007, owned and operated, franchised or licensed 597 restaurants. |
||||||
|
. Current base of company-owned restaurants under core brands includes 336 Einstein Bros. restaurants and |
||||||
|
74 Noah's restaurants. |
||||||
|
. Also, franchises 79 Manhattan Bagel restaurants and licenses/franchises 97 Einstein Bros. restaurants and |
||||||
|
three Noah's restaurants. |
||||||
|
. In addition, has eight restaurants operates under non-core brands. |
||||||
|
History |
||||||
|
. Commenced operations as an operator and franchisor of coffee cafes in 1993. |
||||||
|
. Substantial growth in the restaurant counts occurred through a series of acquisitions. |
||||||
|
. In 1998, we acquired the stock of Manhattan Bagel Company. In 1999, acquired the assets of Chesapeake |
||||||
|
Bagel Bakery. |
||||||
|
. Largest acquisition was in 2001 when BAGL acquired substantially all the assets of Einstein/Noah Bagel |
||||||
|
Corp. in an auction conducted by the bankruptcy court. |
||||||
|
. To consummate this acquisition, engaged in several rounds of financing that included the issuance of |
||||||
|
$165.0 million of debt and $65.0 million of mandatorily redeemable preferred stock. |
||||||
|
. In mid-2003, recapitalized our balance sheets with the issuance of $160.0 million of indentures and the |
||||||
|
issuance of $57.0 million of mandatorily redeemable preferred stock. |
||||||
|
. In late 2003, the current management team assumed their respective roles. This team focused on our core |
||||||
|
business, the operation of company-owned restaurants and the improvements necessary to generate positive |
||||||
|
operating income and cash flow. |
||||||
|
. In early 2006, based on improved financial condition and favorable market conditions, redeemed the |
||||||
|
$160.0 million indenture and replaced it with the current debt structure. |
||||||
|
Competition |
||||||
|
. Competes in the fast-casual segment of the restaurant industry |
||||||
|
. Also considers other restaurants in the fast-food, specialty food and full-service segments to be |
||||||
|
competitors. |
||||||
|
Use of $90mm IPO proceeds |
||||||
|
Repay debt |
||||||
|
=================== |
||||||
|
FBR Capital Markets |
FBCM, C+, 6 |
|||||
|
REIT sub of Friedman Billings |
Post-IPO shrs:65m |
|||||
|
Arlington, VA |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
March, 06* |
March, 07* |
IPO Mkt |
|
Rev ($mm) |
$583 |
$574 |
$419 |
$128 |
$148 |
Cap (mm) |
|
Profit (loss) $mm |
$90 |
$48 |
-$10 |
$4.8 |
$11.0 |
$1,098 |
|
Profit (loss) % |
15.4% |
8.4% |
-2.3% |
3.8% |
7.4% |
@$17 |
|
*quarter ending March 31 |
||||||
|
VALUATION RATIOS |
IPO Mrkt |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
Price / |
% offered |
|
Cap (mm) |
Sales |
Earnings |
BookValue |
TangibleBV |
in IPO |
|
|
FBR Capital (FBCM) |
$1,098 |
1.9 |
25 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
19% |
|
SCORECARD |
Mgt |
Market |
Market Do- |
Proprie- |
Total |
|
|
1-5, 5 is high |
Growth |
mination |
tary |
rating |
||
|
20 is perfect |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Price range of stock |
||||||
|
. Prior to this offering, no public trading market currently existed for FBCM's common stock. |
||||||
|
. However, shares of FBCM common stock originally issued in connection with the 2006 private offering |
||||||
|
became eligible for resale to qualified institutional buyers in accordance with Rule 144A under the |
||||||
|
Securities Act and for reporting on Nasdaq PORTAL market |
||||||
|
. The stock has traded at $15.25 on the PORTAL market. |
||||||
|
Business |
||||||
|
. An indirect majority-owned taxable REIT subsidiary of FBR Group, and investment bank |
||||||
|
. Formed in June 2006 as a Virginia corporation to be the holding company for FBR Gro | ||||||